Decomposing the determinants of health care expenditure: the case of Spain.

The aim of this paper is to analyze the determinants of regional health-care expenditure in Spain. The coexistence of several models concerning the degree of spending power decentralization and financing systems makes Spain a singular case. It also allows us to draw conclusions relevant to other countries in decentralizing their health-care systems, and to understand cross-country differences with estimated parameters. Using data from the Spanish regions for the period 1992-2005, we show that the estimated health public expenditure income elasticity does change depending on the omission of relevant variables, econometric specifications and techniques, and institutional arrangements. Moreover, while demographic structure is a very relevant factor when explaining health-care expenditure dynamics, multicollinearity biases econometric parameter estimates.