Epidemic history of Hepatitis C virus in Brazil.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) subtypes 1a, 1b and 3a are the most prevalent strains in Brazil, but very little is known about the epidemic history of these subtypes in the country. A total of 231 HCV NS5B gene sequences (subtype 1a=89, subtype 1b=56, and subtype 3a=86) isolated in Brazil between 1995 and 2007 were analyzed in the present study. Sequences (328-pb) were subjected to phylogenetic analyses and statistical tests of phylogenetic mixing by sampling location and risk group. Our results revealed important variations in the pattern of HCV transmission among subtypes. Transmission of subtype 1a was characterized by dissemination of one major Brazilian lineage with a random virus exchange between different geographical regions but not between IDU and non-IDU populations. Transmission of subtype 1b was characterized by concurrent dissemination of multiple HCV lineages with a restricted virus exchange between country regions and risk groups. Transmission of subtype 3a was characterized by simultaneous spreading of multiple HCV lineages and random phylogenetic mixing by risk group and sampling location. Epidemic histories of major subtypes 1a, 1b and 3a Brazilian clades were estimated using a Bayesian coalescent approach. Our results indicate that all major HCV Brazilian clades probably start to circulate in the country during the second half of the 20th century and displayed roughly similar epidemic histories characterized by an initial phase of exponential expansion and by reduction of growth rates since 1980-1995. This suggests that the expansion of HCV may have been effectively controlled in Brazil. Copyright 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.