Bayesian analysis for monotone hazard ratio.

We propose a Bayesian approach for estimating the hazard functions under the constraint of a monotone hazard ratio. We construct a model for the monotone hazard ratio utilizing the Cox's proportional hazards model with a monotone time-dependent coefficient. To reduce computational complexity, we use a signed gamma process prior for the time-dependent coefficient and the Bayesian bootstrap prior for the baseline hazard function. We develop an efficient MCMC algorithm and illustrate the proposed method on simulated and real data sets.