| Literature DB >> 20579009 |
Elizabeth L C Merrall1, Azar Kariminia, Ingrid A Binswanger, Michael S Hobbs, Michael Farrell, John Marsden, Sharon J Hutchinson, Sheila M Bird.
Abstract
AIMS: The transition from prison back into the community is particularly hazardous for drug-using offenders whose tolerance for heroin has been reduced by imprisonment. Studies have indicated an increased risk of drug-related death soon after release from prison, particularly in the first 2 weeks. For precise, up-to-date understanding of these risks, a meta-analysis was conducted on the risk of drug-related death in weeks 1 + 2 and 3 + 4 compared with later 2-week periods in the first 12 weeks after release from prison.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2010 PMID: 20579009 PMCID: PMC2955973 DOI: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2010.02990.x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Addiction ISSN: 0965-2140 Impact factor: 6.526
Studies Included in the meta-analysis.
| Bird & Hutchinson 2003 [ | Scotland, UK | 1996–1999 July–December only | 19 486 male index releases after 14+ days imprisonment, age at release: 15–35 years. | Index release was first release for a person within a calendar year. A person may have index releases in more than one calendar year. Period at liberty is censored at earlier of date of death or date of first re-incarceration within 12 weeks of index release. Crude drug-related mortality during first 12 weeks post-release was 15.0 per 1000 person-years. |
| Farrell & Marsden 2005, 2008 [ | England & Wales, UK | 1998–2000 | 48 771 index releases (36 513 men, 12 258 women), age at release: 15+ years, of whom 49% were aged 15–34 years. | Female releases were oversampled, taken from monthly index database. For men, index releases were taken during 3 months in each year. No consideration given to subsequent incarcerations and so the RRs may have been slightly underestimated. Estimate person-years from no. in sample × days of at-risk period (days halved per deaths). Crude drug-related mortality during the first year after release was 5.2 and 5.9 per 1000 person-years for men and women, respectively. Includes intentional drug-related deaths. |
| Hobbs | Western Australia, Australia | 1995–2001 | 12 867 index releases (11 303 men, 1564 women), mean age at release: 30.3 years (SD = 9.9) (range = 17–91; with 74% aged 15–35 years). | Additional checks by Hobbs |
| Kariminia | New South Wales, Australia | 1988–2002 | 85 196 (76 376 men, 8820 women), mean age at release: 30.2 years (SD = 9.1) (range = 18–86; with 77% aged 18–35 years). | Time at risk defined as period between release from prison and death, re-incarceration, or end of study. Crude drug-related mortality over median follow-up period of 7.7 years was 2.9 and 3.5 per 1000 person-years in men and women, respectively. Includes intentional drug-related deaths. |
| Binswanger | Washington State, USA | 1999–2003 | 30 237 (26 270 men, 3967 women), mean age at release: 33.4 years (SD = 9.8) (range = 18–84; with 58% aged 18–34 years). | Time at risk defined as period between release from prison and death, re-incarceration, or end of study. Crude drug-related mortality over a mean follow-up period of 1.9 years was 1.8 per 1000 person-years. |
| Krinsky | New Mexico State, USA | 2001–2003 | 8380 (men and women—proportions not specified), 10 277 releases: 6600 released once, 1671 released twice, 101 released three times, eight released four times. | Unable to ascertain whether times at risk included re-incarceration or death from other cause, and so periods at liberty may have been slightly overestimated. Estimated person-years from number of releases × assumed days of at-risk period (days halved per deaths), all prior at-risk periods were survived by individuals with multiple releases; no account taken of subsequent incarcerations within 12 weeks after release). |
RR: relative risk; SD: standard deviation.
Figure 1Quality of Reporting of Meta-analyses (QUOROM) diagram of studies included and excluded from meta-analysis
Meta-analysis of drug-related deaths in the first 12 (13 weeks for Farrell & Marsden [4,5]) weeks post-release from prison.a
| Scotland | 33 | 720 | 9 | 680 | 10 | 2 397 | 7.4 (4.6–12.0) | 11.0 (6.3–19.3) | 3.2 (1.4–7.4) |
| Bird & Hutchinson 2003 [ | 46 per 1000 pys | 16 per 1000 pys | 5 per 1000 pys | ||||||
| England and Wales | 59 | 1868 | 11 | 1866 | 32 | 8 392 | 7.5 (5.4–10.5) | 8.3 (5.8–11.9) | 1.5 (0.8–3.1) |
| Farrell & Marsden 2005, 2008 [ | 32 per 1000 pys | 6 per 1000 pys | 4 per 1000 pys | ||||||
| Interim totals | 92 | 2588 | 20 | 2546 | 42 | 10 789 | |||
| 36 per 1000 pys | 8 per 1000 pys | 4 per 1000 pys | |||||||
| Western Australia | 10 | 484 | 3 | 477 | 8 | 1 842 | 4.4 (2.0–9.5) | 4.8 (2.1–11.0) | 1.4 (0.4–5.4) |
| Hobbs | 21 per 1000 pys | 6 per 1000 pys | 4 per 1000 pys | ||||||
| New South Wales | 177 | 7275 | 61 | 6939 | 136 | 25 492 | 4.0 (3.3–4.8) | 4.6 (3.7–5.6) | 1.6 (1.2–2.2) |
| Kariminia | 24 per 1000 pys | 9 per 1000 pys | 5 per 1000 pys | ||||||
| Interim totals | 187 | 7759 | 64 | 7416 | 144 | 27 334 | |||
| 24 per 1000 pys | 9 per 1000 pys | 5 per 1000 pys | |||||||
| Washington State | 27 | 1466 | 5 | 1426 | 10 | 5 409 | 8.4 (5.0–14.2) | 10.0 (5.5–17.9) | 1.9 (0.7–5.4) |
| Binswanger | 18 per 1000 pys | 4 per 1000 pys | 2 per 1000 pys | ||||||
| New Mexico State | 8 | 394 | 3 | 394 | 10 | 1 573 | 3.1 (1.3–7.1) | 3.2 (1.3–7.7) | 1.2 (0.3–4.3) |
| Krinsky | 20 per 1000 pys | 8 per 1000 pys | 6 per 1000 pys | ||||||
| Heterogeneity measure: | 74% (40–88%) | 74% (39–89%) | 0% (0–50%) | ||||||
Both sexes combined for all except Scotland (males only).
Using authors' method A: censors at earlier of first re-incarceration or death.
Next 9 weeks (versus next 8 weeks). CI: confidence interval.
Figure 2Forest plot of relative risks of drug-related death. (a) In weeks 1–2 versus weeks 3–12. (b) In weeks 1–2 versus weeks 5–12. (c) In weeks 3–4 versus weeks 5–12; CI: confidence interval