Environmental effects on vector competence and virogenesis of bluetongue virus in Culicoides: interpreting laboratory data in a field context.

Environmental factors profoundly affect vectorial capacity, governing dynamics and intensity of vector-vertebrate contact in time and space (e.g. seasonal vector population densities, biting rates, and feeding frequencies). Temperature influences vector developmental rates and life history parameters, and may modify vector competence. Studies should move iteratively from field to laboratory, as attempts are made to understand complex epidemiological patterns. Simulation models can be extremely helpful in identifying and predicting geographic and seasonal trends in virus occurrence. Field and laboratory data from the Culicoides sonorensis-bluetongue virus system in North America are incorporated into preliminary estimates of virus prevalence and geographic occurrence along a latitudinal (and temperature) gradient. Geographic information systems technology is likely to be helpful in understanding vector and virus occurrence on a broader scale, especially in temperate latitudes that typify sporadic or emerging transmission zones, areas of particular concern for animal movement.