[Consensus conference on acute bronchiolitis (VI): prognosis of acute bronchiolitis. Review of scientific evidence].

We present a review of the evidence on prognosis of acute bronchiolitis, risk factors for severe forms, symptom or severity scores and risk of post-bronchiolitis asthma. Documented risk factors of long stay or PICU admission in hospitalized patients are: bronchopulmonary dysplasia and/or chronic lung disease, prematurity, congenital heart disease and age less than 3 months. Other less well documented risk factors are: tobacco exposure, history of neonatal mechanical ventilation, breastfeeding for less than 4 months, viral co-infection and other chronic diseases. There are several markers of severity: toxic appearance, tachypnea, hypoxia, atelectasis or infiltrate on chest radiograph, increased breathing effort, signs of dehydration, tachycardia and fever. Although we have some predictive models of severity, none has shown sufficient predictive validity to recommend its use in clinical practice. While there are different symptom or severity scores, none has proven to be valid or accurate enough to recommend their preferable application in clinical practice. There seems to be a consistent and strong association between admission due to bronchiolitis and recurrent episodes of wheezing in the first five years of life. However it is unclear whether this association continues in subsequent years, as there are discordant data on the association between bronchiolitis and asthma. Copyright 2009 Asociación Española de Pediatría. Published by Elsevier Espana. All rights reserved.