| Literature DB >> 20087414 |
Mathieu Hägi1, Jean-François Schémann, Frédéric Mauny, Germain Momo, Doulaye Sacko, Lamine Traoré, Denis Malvy, Jean-François Viel.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Active trachoma is not uniformly distributed in endemic areas, and local environmental factors influencing its prevalence are not yet adequately understood. Determining whether clustering is a consistent phenomenon may help predict likely modes of transmission and help to determine the appropriate level at which to target control interventions. The aims of this study were, therefore, to disentangle the relative importance of clustering at different levels and to assess the respective role of individual, socio-demographic, and environmental factors on active trachoma prevalence among children in Mali. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPALEntities:
Mesh:
Year: 2010 PMID: 20087414 PMCID: PMC2799671 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000583
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis ISSN: 1935-2727
Figure 1Prevalence of active trachoma among children in Mali (203 villages, 1996–1997).
Random effects variances of active trachoma among children from the best multilevel “null” model (Mali, 1996–1997).
|
| σ2
| SD |
| % |
|
| 1.052 | 0.311 | <10−3 | 24.7 |
| Caretaker | 1.081 | 0.166 | <10−10 | 25.3 |
| Household | 0.566 | 0.096 | <10−8 | 13.3 |
| Village | 1.564 | 0.233 | <10−10 | 36.7 |
*: Random effect variance.
†: Standard deviation.
Active trachoma prevalence odds ratios (95% confidence interval for IGLS* model, 95% credibility interval for Bayesian models) in multilevel models including field-collected and environmental variables (fixed effects).
| Variables | Category | IGLS | BHM | |
|
|
| |||
| Age (years) | <3 | 1 | 1 | |
| 3 to 5 | 1.91 (1.75–2.08) | 2.17 (1.88–2.49) | ||
| 6 to 10 | 0.98 (0.89–1.08) | 1.00 (0.87–1.14) | ||
| Dirty face | No | 1 | 1 | |
| Yes | 3.73 (3.37–4.13) | 4.91 (3.99–6.03) | ||
| Flies on the face | No | 1 | 1 | |
| Yes | 2.36 (1.95–2.85) | 2.85 (2.18–3.73) | ||
|
| ||||
| Wiping after washing | No | 1 | 1 | |
| Yes | 0.76 (0.65–0.89) | 0.72 (0.59–0.88) | ||
|
| ||||
| Radio | No | 1 | 1 | |
| Yes | 0.81 (0.69–0.95) | 0.77 (0.63–0.94) | ||
| Motorcycle | No | 1 | 1 | |
| Yes | 0.89 (0.75–1.04) | 0.86 (0.71–1.04) | ||
|
| ||||
| Women's association | No | 1 | 1 | |
| Yes | 0.60 (0.45–0.81) | 0.55 (0.36–0.84) | ||
|
|
| |||
| Maximum temperature | <34.6°C | 1 | 1 | |
| 34.6–38.7°C | 0.56 (0.37–0.87) | 0.51 (0.29–0.90) | ||
| >38.7°C | 1.02 (0.61–1.70) | 1.03 (0.51–2.05) | ||
| Sunshine fraction | <62.8% | 1 | 1 | |
| 62.8–69.9% | 0.66 (0.47–0.92) | 0.61 (0.41–0.91) | ||
| >69.9% | 0.55 (0.38–0.79) | 0.50 (0.32–0.79) | ||
| Number of rainy days | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 and more | 0.63 (0.41–0.97) | 0.57 (0.31–1.07) | ||
|
| ||||
| Mean temperature | <27.3°C | 1 | 1 | |
| 27.3–28.1°C | 0.54 (0.40–0.74) | 0.49 (0.32–0.74) | ||
| >28.1°C | 0.63 (0.45–0.89) | 0.57 (0.36–0.90) |
*: Iterative generalized least square.
†: Bayesian hierarchical model.
Random effects variances of active trachoma among children from the multivariate Bayesian model (Mali, 1996–1997).
| Level | σ2
| SD |
| % |
| Child | 0.652 | 0.340 | 0.06 | 20.8 |
| Caretaker | 1.112 | 0.193 | <10−8 | 35.4 |
| Household | 0.456 | 0.086 | <10−6 | 14.5 |
| Village | 0.920 | 0.157 | <10−8 | 29.3 |
*: Random effect variance.
†: Standard deviation.