| Literature DB >> 20082711 |
David J Savory1, Kenneth L Cox, Michael Emch, Farrokh Alemi, David C Pattie.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The Department of Defense Military Health System operates a syndromic surveillance system that monitors medical records at more than 450 non-combat Military Treatment Facilities (MTF) worldwide. The Electronic Surveillance System for Early Notification of Community-based Epidemics (ESSENCE) uses both temporal and spatial algorithms to detect disease outbreaks. This study focuses on spatial detection and attempts to improve the effectiveness of the ESSENCE implementation of the spatial scan statistic by increasing the spatial resolution of incidence data from zip codes to street address level.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2010 PMID: 20082711 PMCID: PMC2819064 DOI: 10.1186/1476-072X-9-1
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Health Geogr ISSN: 1476-072X Impact factor: 3.918
ESSENCE Influenza-Like Illness Syndrome
| 079.99 | VIRAL INFECTION NOS |
| 382.9 | OTITIS MEDIA NOS |
| 460 | ACUTE NASOPHARYNGITIS |
| 461.9 | ACUTE SINUSITIS NOS |
| 465.9 | ACUTE URI NOS |
| 466.0 | ACUTE BRONCHITIS |
| 486 | PNEUMONIA, ORGANISM NOS |
| 490 | BRONCHITIS NOS |
| 780.6 | FEVER |
| 780.60 | FEVER, UNSPECIFIED |
| 780.64 | CHILLS (WITHOUT FEVER) |
| 786.2 | COUGH |
Spatial Detection Scenarios
| ESSENCE - Zip | Poisson | Zip Code | Baseline-Mean Approach |
| Bernoulli - Zip | Bernoulli | Zip Code | ILI/Non-ILI |
| Bernoulli - Street | Bernoulli | Street Address | ILI/Non-ILI |
Figure 1Study Area.
Geocoding Success Rates
| Street Address | 80.128 | 73.491 |
| Zip Code | 15.727 | 13.471 |
| MTF | 4.145 | 4.145 |
| MTF - 100 Mile | --- | 8.893 |
Figure 2Cluster Placement Example: 10 Miles West of Beale Air Force Base.
Simulated Cluster Specifications
| 2 | 25 | 2 |
| 5 | 75 | 1 |
| 10 | 150 | 0.5 |
Simulated Cluster Displacement Statistics
| 3.45 | 4.24 | 1.20 | ||
| Mean | 6.49 | 6.54 | 2.25 | |
| 8.38 | 8.94 | 5.77 | ||
| Coefficient of Variation ( | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.38 | |
| 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.54 | ||
| 0.58 | 0.44 | 0.38 | ||
Figure 3Displacement of Detected 2 Mile Radius Simulated Clusters by MTF.
Figure 4Displacement of Detected 5 Mile Radius Simulated Clusters by MTF.
Figure 5Displacement of Detected 10 Mile Radius Simulated Clusters by MTF.
Figure 6Size Distribution of Detected 2 Mile Radius Clusters.
Figure 7Size Distribution of Detected 5 Mile Radius Clusters.
Figure 8Size Distribution of Detected 10 Mile Radius Clusters.
Rate of Zero Radius Clusters at Simulated Radii
| ESSENCE - ZIP | 0.78 | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| Bernoulli - Zip | 0.53 | 0.27 | 0.03 |
| Bernoulli - Street | 0 | 0 | 0 |