OBJECTIVE: To build a prognostic system for patients with carotid transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. DESIGN: Inception cohort study with 2-year follow-up. SETTING: Urban community teaching hospital. PATIENTS: Eligible patients (n = 142), identified on a carotid ultrasound roster, had been hospitalized between 1984 and 1987 within 30 days of a first carotid transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. MEASUREMENTS: Stroke or death within 2 years. MAIN RESULTS: Three factors were associated with stroke or death: age of more than 65 years, diabetes, and hypertension. Based on regression coefficients, age of more than 65 years was assigned 3 points; diabetes, 3 points; and hypertension, 2 points. An initial prognostic system comprised risk groups 1 (0 points), 2 (1 to 5 points), and 3 (6 to 8 points). Outcome rates in the three groups were 2%, 31%, and 54% (P less than 0.0001), respectively. In an independent test sample, the corresponding outcome rates for the initial system were 12%, 21%, and 31% (P = 0.04). A final prognostic system, including two additional predictors (coronary heart disease [1 point] and the distinction between stroke and transient ischemic attack for the baseline event [2 points]), comprised risk groups 1 (0 to 2 points), 2 (3 to 6 points), and 3 (7 to 11 points). Corresponding outcome rates were 3%, 27%, and 48% (P less than 0.001) in the original cohort and 10%, 21%, and 59% (P less than 0.001) in the test cohort. CONCLUSION: For selected patients with carotid transient ischemia or minor stroke, five clinical features can be combined to stratify effectively the risk for a subsequent stroke or death.
OBJECTIVE: To build a prognostic system for patients with carotid transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. DESIGN: Inception cohort study with 2-year follow-up. SETTING: Urban community teaching hospital. PATIENTS: Eligible patients (n = 142), identified on a carotid ultrasound roster, had been hospitalized between 1984 and 1987 within 30 days of a first carotid transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. MEASUREMENTS: Stroke or death within 2 years. MAIN RESULTS: Three factors were associated with stroke or death: age of more than 65 years, diabetes, and hypertension. Based on regression coefficients, age of more than 65 years was assigned 3 points; diabetes, 3 points; and hypertension, 2 points. An initial prognostic system comprised risk groups 1 (0 points), 2 (1 to 5 points), and 3 (6 to 8 points). Outcome rates in the three groups were 2%, 31%, and 54% (P less than 0.0001), respectively. In an independent test sample, the corresponding outcome rates for the initial system were 12%, 21%, and 31% (P = 0.04). A final prognostic system, including two additional predictors (coronary heart disease [1 point] and the distinction between stroke and transient ischemic attack for the baseline event [2 points]), comprised risk groups 1 (0 to 2 points), 2 (3 to 6 points), and 3 (7 to 11 points). Corresponding outcome rates were 3%, 27%, and 48% (P less than 0.001) in the original cohort and 10%, 21%, and 59% (P less than 0.001) in the test cohort. CONCLUSION: For selected patients with carotid transient ischemia or minor stroke, five clinical features can be combined to stratify effectively the risk for a subsequent stroke or death.
Authors: David A Brenner; Rich M Zweifler; Camilo R Gomez; Brett M Kissela; Deborah Levine; George Howard; Bruce Coull; Virginia J Howard Journal: J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis Date: 2010-05-15 Impact factor: 2.136
Authors: Dawn M Bravata; Laura J Myers; Greg Arling; Edward J Miech; Teresa Damush; Jason J Sico; Michael S Phipps; Alan J Zillich; Zhangsheng Yu; Mathew Reeves; Linda S Williams; Jason Johanning; Seemant Chaturvedi; Fitsum Baye; Susan Ofner; Curt Austin; Jared Ferguson; Glenn D Graham; Rachel Rhude; Chad S Kessler; Donald S Higgins; Eric Cheng Journal: JAMA Neurol Date: 2018-04-01 Impact factor: 18.302
Authors: Natalia S Rost; Kaitlin Fitzpatrick; Alessandro Biffi; Allison Kanakis; William Devan; Christopher D Anderson; Lynelle Cortellini; Karen L Furie; Jonathan Rosand Journal: Stroke Date: 2010-10-14 Impact factor: 7.914
Authors: Douglas D Thompson; Gordon D Murray; Martin Dennis; Cathie L M Sudlow; William N Whiteley Journal: BMC Med Date: 2014-04-04 Impact factor: 8.775