| Literature DB >> 19907631 |
Sowath Ly1, Philippe Buchy, Nay Yim Heng, Sivuth Ong, Nareth Chhor, Hervé Bourhy, Sirenda Vong.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Rabies, a fatal but preventable zoonosis, is a major public health problem in developing countries. In Cambodia the disease burden is largely underestimated because patients with encephalitis following dog bites are rarely hospitalized and die at home. Since 1998 Institut Pasteur in Cambodia (IPC), Phnom Penh has been the only source of free post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) and post-mortem diagnosis.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2009 PMID: 19907631 PMCID: PMC2731168 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0000511
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis ISSN: 1935-2727
Figure 1Probability tree for estimating the probability of death following a suspected rabid dog bite injury.
Figure 2Geographic distribution of rabies in dogs and humans, and incidence of post-exposure treatment, Cambodia, 1998–2007.
Positive predictive values of suspected rabid dog characteristics when reported alone - dogs from 14 provinces in Cambodia, 2007.
| Clinical Characteristics in Dogs | Virology Testing | Positive Predictive Values | ||
| Negative | Positive | |||
| Reported sick alone (n = 38) | Yes | 1 | 13 | 93% |
| No | 24 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spontaneous death alone (n = 30) | Yes | 5 | 1 | 17% |
| No | 24 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unprovoked bites alone (n = 105) | Yes | 71 | 10 | 12% |
| No | 24 | 0 | 0 | |
Model parameters for estimating the probability of human deaths caused by rabies virus infection, Cambodia, 2007.
| Estimation parameters, year 2007 | Mean | Minimum | Maximum |
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| Number of SRDBI in Cambodia | 53,728 | 52,062 | 54,846 |
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| Number of SRDBI in Phnom Penh | 5,398 | ||
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| Incidence of dog bite injuries in Phnom Penh, per 100,000 | 591 | 578 | 604 |
| Number of dog bite injuries in Phnom Penh | 8,263 | ||
| Number of patients receiving PEP at IPC | 14,475 | ||
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| Unprovoked bites (C1) | 96.26 | 95.86 | 96.63 |
| Spontaneous death (C2) | 1.47 | 1.23 | 1.73 |
| Reported sick (C3) | 2.27 | 1.98 | 2.59 |
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| Unprovoked bites (PrC1) | 12.00 | 6.00 | 22.00 |
| Spontaneous death (PrC2) | 17.00 | 0.42 | 64.00 |
| Reported sick (PrC3) | 93.00 | 66.00 | 100 |
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| Head [H] (L1) | 5.72 | 5.34 | 6.12 |
| Upper limb [UL] (L2) | 22.83 | 22.13 | 23.54 |
| Body [B] (L3) | 10.11 | 9.61 | 10.62 |
| Lower limb [LL] (L4) | 59.28 | 58.45 | 60.10 |
| H-UL (L5) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H-B (L6) | 0.34 | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| H-LL (L7) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| UL-B (L8) | 0.70 | 0.57 | 0.85 |
| UL-LL (L9) | 1.03 | 0.86 | 1.21 |
| B-LL (L10) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H-UL-B (L11) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H-LL-B (L12) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H-UL-LL (L13) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| UL-LL-B (L14) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H-UL-B-LL (L15) | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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| Head [H] (PrL1) | 45.00 | 30.00 | 60.00 |
| Upper limb [UL] (PrL2) | 28.00 | 15.00 | 40.00 |
| Body [B] (PrL3) | 5.00 | 0.01 | 10.00 |
| Lower limb [LL] (PrL4) | 5.00 | 0.01 | 10.00 |
| H-UL (PrL5) | 60.40 | 40.50 | 76.00 |
| H-B (PrL6) | 47.80 | 30.00 | 64.00 |
| H-LL (PrL7) | 47.80 | 30.00 | 64.00 |
| UL-B (PrL8) | 31.60 | 15.00 | 46.00 |
| UL-LL (PrL9) | 31.60 | 15.00 | 46.00 |
| B-LL (PrL10) | 9.80 | 0.02 | 19.00 |
| H-UL-B (PrL11) | 61.10 | 40.50 | 73.60 |
| H-LL-B (PrL12) | 50.10 | 30.00 | 66.40 |
| H-UL-LL (PrL13) | 61.10 | 40.50 | 73.60 |
| UL-LL-B (PrL14) | 34.90 | 15.00 | 50.60 |
| H-UL-B-LL (PrL15) | 62.80 | 40.50 | 74.80 |
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| At risk population in Cambodia | 13,920,243 | 13,920,243 | 13,920,243 |
| Population of Phnom Penh | 1,398,555 | 1,398,555 | 1,398,555 |
Note: SRDBI: Suspected rabid dog bite injuries; PEP: Post-exposure treatment; IPC: Institut Pasteur in Cambodia.