Literature DB >> 19853087

A three-group model to predict mortality in emergent coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

Bernhard C Danner1, Vassilios N Didilis, Tomislav Stojanovic, Aron Popov, Marius Grossmann, Ralf Seipelt, Friedrich A Schöndube.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Emergent coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) for acute myocardial infarction is associated with an increased operative risk. For estimation of mortality risk, the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) is appropriate up to a medium risk score (<6 points). To predict mortality risk more accurately in cases of higher EuroSCORE, additional cardiac data can be helpful.
METHODS: Over a 3-year period, patient data including acute myocardial infarction and emergent CABG were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analysis for in-hospital mortality was performed. The EuroSCORE analysis and follow-up was investigated.
RESULTS: Overall in-hospital mortality was 18.3%. Preoperative cardiac related predictors for in-hospital mortality were cardiogenic shock (p < 0.001), very poor left ventricular function (p = 0.001), and ST-segment elevation (p = 0.012). In multivariate regression analysis, age, cardiogenic shock, and pulmonary hypertension were independent preoperative risk factors. According to the EuroSCORE, we could define three statistically different groups: intermediate-risk, high-risk, and very high risk, with an observed mortality of 3.3%, 20.0%, and 63.2%, respectively. The EuroSCORE correlates with but overestimates the mortality risk. In subgroup analysis, the creatine kinase-myocardial band/hour ratio for the intermediate-risk group and ST-segment elevation for the high-risk group were additional cardiac risk factors.
CONCLUSIONS: Patients with an acute myocardial infarction and emergency aortocoronary CABG have an elevated operative risk. Logistic EuroSCORE overestimates the mortality rate. Three different risk groups can be defined, in which creatine kinase-MB/h-ratio and ST-segment elevation can more accurately predict operative risk.

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Year:  2009        PMID: 19853087     DOI: 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2009.06.059

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Ann Thorac Surg        ISSN: 0003-4975            Impact factor:   4.330


  1 in total

1.  Emergency coronary artery bypass grafting using minimized versus standard extracorporeal circulation--a propensity score analysis.

Authors:  Michael Ried; Assad Haneya; Philipp Kolat; Alois Philipp; Reinhard Kobuch; Michael Hilker; Christof Schmid; Claudius Diez
Journal:  J Cardiothorac Surg       Date:  2013-04-02       Impact factor: 1.637

  1 in total

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