Literature DB >> 19573510

Modelling of the influenza A(H1N1)v outbreak in Mexico City, April-May 2009, with control sanitary measures.

G Cruz-Pacheco1, L Duran, L Esteva, Aa Minzoni, M Lopez-Cervantes, P Panayotaros, A Ahued Ortega, I Villasenor Ruiz.   

Abstract

We use a time dependent modification of the Kermack and McKendrick model to study the evolution of the influenza A(H1N1)v epidemic reported in the Mexico City area under the control measures used during April and May 2009. The model illustrates how the sanitary measures postponed the peak of the epidemic and decreased its intensity. It provides quantitative predictions on the effect of relaxing the sanitary measures after a period of control. We show how the sanitary measures reduced the maximal prevalence of the infected population from 10% to less than 6% of the total population. We also show how the model predicts the time of maximal prevalence and explains the effect of the control measures.

Entities:  

Mesh：

Year:  2009        PMID： 19573510

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Euro Surveill        ISSN： 1025-496X


  26 in total

1.  Modelling the initial phase of an epidemic using incidence and infection network data: 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Israel as a case study.

Authors:  G Katriel; R Yaari; A Huppert; U Roll; L Stone
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2011-01-19       Impact factor: 4.118

2.  Seroprevalence of antibodies to influenza A/H1N1/2009 among transmission risk groups after the second wave in Mexico, by a virus-free ELISA method.

Authors:  Leticia Elizondo-Montemayor; Mario M Alvarez; Martín Hernández-Torre; Patricia A Ugalde-Casas; Lorena Lam-Franco; Humberto Bustamante-Careaga; Fernando Castilleja-Leal; Julio Contreras-Castillo; Héctor Moreno-Sánchez; Daniela Tamargo-Barrera; Felipe López-Pacheco; Pamela J Freiden; Stacey Schultz-Cherry
Journal:  Int J Infect Dis       Date:  2011-08-19       Impact factor: 3.623

3.  Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic model.

Authors:  Vittoria Colizza; Alessandro Vespignani; Nicola Perra; Chiara Poletto; Bruno Gonçalves; Hao Hu; Duygu Balcan; Daniela Paolotti; Wouter Van den Broeck; Michele Tizzoni; Paolo Bajardi; Jose J Ramasco
Journal:  PLoS Curr       Date:  2009-11-11

4.  Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm.

Authors:  Michele Tizzoni; Paolo Bajardi; Chiara Poletto; José J Ramasco; Duygu Balcan; Bruno Gonçalves; Nicola Perra; Vittoria Colizza; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  BMC Med       Date:  2012-12-13       Impact factor: 8.775

5.  Onset of a pandemic: characterizing the initial phase of the swine flu (H1N1) epidemic in Israel.

Authors:  Uri Roll; Rami Yaari; Guy Katriel; Oren Barnea; Lewi Stone; Ella Mendelson; Michal Mandelboim; Amit Huppert
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2011-04-14       Impact factor: 3.090

6.  Human mobility networks, travel restrictions, and the global spread of 2009 H1N1 pandemic.

Authors:  Paolo Bajardi; Chiara Poletto; Jose J Ramasco; Michele Tizzoni; Vittoria Colizza; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2011-01-31       Impact factor: 3.240

Review 7.  The GLEaMviz computational tool, a publicly available software to explore realistic epidemic spreading scenarios at the global scale.

Authors:  Wouter Van den Broeck; Corrado Gioannini; Bruno Gonçalves; Marco Quaggiotto; Vittoria Colizza; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2011-02-02       Impact factor: 3.090

8.  Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility.

Authors:  Duygu Balcan; Hao Hu; Bruno Goncalves; Paolo Bajardi; Chiara Poletto; Jose J Ramasco; Daniela Paolotti; Nicola Perra; Michele Tizzoni; Wouter Van den Broeck; Vittoria Colizza; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  BMC Med       Date:  2009-09-10       Impact factor: 8.775

9.  Estimation of the reproduction number of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in South Korea using heterogeneous models.

Authors:  Yunjeong Lee; Dong Han Lee; Hee-Dae Kwon; Changsoo Kim; Jeehyun Lee
Journal:  BMC Infect Dis       Date:  2021-07-07       Impact factor: 3.090

10.  School closures and influenza: systematic review of epidemiological studies.

Authors:  Charlotte Jackson; Emilia Vynnycky; Jeremy Hawker; Babatunde Olowokure; Punam Mangtani
Journal:  BMJ Open       Date:  2013-02-26       Impact factor: 2.692
View more

北京卡尤迪生物科技股份有限公司 © 2022-2023.