Prognostic value of myocardial perfusion scintigraphy in type 2 diabetic patients with mild, stable angina pectoris.

AIM: To determine the prognostic value of reversible myocardial perfusion defects on myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (MPS) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and mild anginal complaints. METHODS AND
RESULTS: In the MERIDIAN trial, patients with diabetes mellitus type 2, stable, mild anginal symptoms (Canadian Cardiovascular Society classification (CCS) I-II/IV) and reversible perfusion defects were randomized to either continued pharmacological treatment or early invasive treatment. In this sub analysis, the severity of the myocardial perfusion defect was related to the occurrence of cardiac death and non-fatal myocardial infarction, in 319 patients (63% male, 65 +/- 9 years). During follow-up (2.2 +/- 0.6 years), 14 patients had a cardiac event: 3 in 171 patients without myocardial ischemia and 11 in 148 patients with myocardial ischemia. Annual event rates rose from 0.8% to 5.8% with increasing severity of myocardial ischemia. Multivariable analysis identified the presence of severe myocardial ischemia (hazard ratio (HR) 5.45, 95%CI 1.89-15.71) and insulin use (HR 4.00, 95%CI 1.25-12.75) as independent predictors of cardiac events.
CONCLUSIONS: Type 2 diabetics with mild anginal symptoms with no or moderate myocardial ischemia have a low annual cardiac event rate. In patients with severe myocardial ischemia event rate increased 3-6 fold.

RCT Entities:   Population Interventions Outcomes

Introduction

To date, approximately 150 million people worldwide are diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus and this number is expected to double before 2025.1 Diabetic patients are at a 2-4 fold higher risk of coronary artery disease (CAD).2 Furthermore, in diabetics CAD develops at a younger age and, when CAD becomes overt, these patients have a poor cardiovascular prognosis.2-4 Finally, approximately 75% of patients with diabetes mellitus type 2 will die from a cardiac cause.4

Patients with diabetes mellitus are more likely to have an atypical or less distinct expression of their anginal symptoms. Myocardial ischemia is already present in ±20% of asymptomatic patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.5 Early recognition of CAD is warranted to install dietary and lifestyle adaptation, pharmacological risk factor modification and optimization of anti-anginal treatment.

Several (sub)-studies have reported on the prognostic value of myocardial perfusion defects on MPS in a variety of diabetic patients. However, limited information is available on the significance of myocardial ischemia as assessed with MPS in type 2 diabetic patients with mild anginal complaints (Canadian Cardiovascular Society classification (CCS) I-II/IV).6-8 Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic value of myocardial ischemia, as assessed with myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (MPS), in a well-defined patient population with type 2 diabetes mellitus and mild, stable anginal complaints (CCS I-II/IV).

Methods

Setting

This study consisted of 319 patients who underwent a MPS to establish eligibility for the randomized multicenter MERIDIAN trial (Multicenter trial of Early Revascularization In patients with DIabetes mellitus and mild ANginal symptoms) at the Cardiology and Internal Medicine out-patient clinics of 26 Dutch hospitals (see Appendix for participating centers). Detailed descriptions of the study design and of the principal results have been published previously.9 The aim of the MERIDIAN trial was to investigate if an early coronary revascularization strategy would reduce cardiovascular complications in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and mild, stable anginal symptoms (CCS I-II/IV). Only patients with myocardial ischemia as assessed with MPS were eligible for randomization to an early invasive approach including coronary angiography and revascularization if feasible or a continued pharmacological treatment. Patients without myocardial ischemia on MPS were treated according to local routine.

The trial was based on an intention to treat principle and was complied with the Declaration of Helsinki. The medical ethical committees of the participating centers approved the protocol. All patients gave written informed consent before MPS.

The MERIDIAN trial was prematurely terminated because of a too slow recruitment rate. Although the study was now underpowered to test the hypothesis, no differences between the treatment strategies were observed.9 In view of the lack of difference between the two treatment strategies, the current analysis on the prognostic value of myocardial perfusion defects ignores the differences in (randomized) treatment, therefore all patients with reversible defects, including patients who underwent revascularization and patients who were treated medically, were included in the analysis.

Study Population

Inclusion and exclusion criteria have previously been described. In short patients ≥30 years with mild, stable (≥2 months) complaints of angina pectoris (CCS class I-II/IV) and type 2 diabetes mellitus were eligible for screening. Medical treatment was considered mandatory based upon the symptomatic status of the patients. Type 2 diabetes mellitus was defined as having either one of the following: fasting glucose of >7.0 mmol/L or non-fasting glucose >11.0 mmol/L in 2 samples on 2 separate days; treatment with oral anti-diabetic medication; treatment with insulin following initial treatment with oral anti-diabetic medication; or onset of insulin treatment at age ≥50 years.

All patients underwent initial clinical evaluation prior to MPS. ECG-abnormalities were defined as the presence of ST-T abnormalities, Q-waves, T-wave inversion or left bundle branch block. All patients were followed at the out-patient clinic until January 1st, 2006, for the occurrence of cardiac death and spontaneous, non-procedural related, non-fatal MI. All deaths were considered cardiac unless an unequivocal non-cardiac cause can be established. The events were independently reviewed by the senior author (JP), who was not aware of the patients treatment allocation and the MPS data. Myocardial infarctions were defined as CK MB levels greater than or equal to twice the upper limit of normal. Procedural-related infarctions were excluded from the analyses.

Myocardial Perfusion Scintigraphy

Stress and rest myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (with single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT)) was performed with 99mTc labeled perfusion tracers (Tetrofosmin or sesta-MIBI) or Thallium-201, according to the guidelines of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology.10,11 The use of ECG-gated SPECT was at the discretion of the nuclear physician.

Symptom limited exercise (bicycle or treadmill ergometry) was the preferred stress modality. Pharmacological vasodilatory stress with adenosine or dipyridamole was applied if there was insufficient increase of heart rate (<85% age predicted maximal heart-rate) during physical exercise, in the presence of a left bundle branch block, or if the anti-anginal medication had not been adequately discontinued beforehand.11

Dobutamine stress testing was performed in patients with a contra-indication for adenosine or dipyridamole.

Image Analysis

A local panel of 2-3 nuclear physicians analyzed the images using a 17 myocardial segment model. Segments were scored with a 5-point scoring system (0 = normal; 1 = equivocal; 2 = moderate reduction; 3 = severe reduction; 4 = absent activity). Summed stress score (SSS) and summed rest score (SRS) were obtained by adding the scores of all segments of stress and rest images, respectively. The summed difference score (SDS) was calculated by subtracting the SRS from the SSS. Reversible myocardial perfusion defects, indicative for myocardial ischemia, were defined as SDS ≥ 3. The MPS outcome for reversible defects was further categorized into: no ischemia (SDS < 3); moderate ischemia (SDS 3-7) and severe ischemia (SDS of 8 or higher (SDS ≥ 8)). Fixed defects (defects also present at rest) were defined as SRS ≥ 3. Any perfusion abnormality was defined as SDS ≥ 3 and/or SRS ≥ 3.12

Statistical Analysis

Data are presented as number of patients and proportion or as mean ± standard deviation (SD). Continuous variables with Gaussian distributions were compared by Student’s unpaired t test or Mann-Whitney test; categorical variables were compared by χ2 or Fisher’s exact test where appropriate.

The annual event rates were calculated by dividing the actual number of events by the total exposure years. Kaplan-Meier cumulative survival rates were compared using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine independent predictors of cardiac death or non-fatal MI. Criterion for entry of variables into the multivariable analysis was set on P ≤ .2. The predictive value was expressed as the hazard ratio (HR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI). The discriminating value of this model was calculated by C-index. The SPSS package for windows version 12.0 (SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL, USA) was used for these purposes. Values of P < .05 were considered statistically significant.

Results

Baseline Characteristics

Between October 2002 and July 2004, 329 patients were referred for MPS as part of the screening phase of the MERIDIAN trial. Ten patients were excluded from the present analysis because of crescendo angina pectoris during MPS (2), inconclusive MPS (2), or withdrawal of consent (6). The remaining 319 patients were eligible for the current analysis (Figure 1). One patient, however, withdrew his consent after the first follow-up visit.

Figure 1

Study design

The baseline characteristics are described in Table 1. The distribution of classical cardiac risk factors was typical for a diabetic population. The mean duration of diabetes was 8 years, and 38% of the patients were insulin dependent. Almost half of patients (47%) had documented coronary artery disease (PCI, MI or CABG). Of all patients, 84% were on aspirin, 73% on lipid-lowering therapy and 73% on beta-blockade.

Table 1

Clinical characteristics and myocardial perfusion scintigraphic parameters

	All patients n = 319	No myocardial ischemia n = 171	Myocardial ischemia n = 148	P-value
Clinical characteristics
Male	201 (63)	93 (54)	108 (73)	.001
Age (years)	65 (9)	64 (9)	66 (9)	.04
CCS II/IV	130 (41)	61 (36)	69 (47)	.05
Medical history (%)
Previous MI	92 (29)	43 (25)	49 (33)
Previous PCI	87 (27)	55 (32)	32 (22)	.04
Previous CABG	56 (18)	30 (18)	26 (18)
Duration diabetes (years)	8 (7)	8 (7)	8 (7)
<5 years	119 (38)	62 (38)	57 (39)
>10 years	92 (30)	46 (28)	46 (31)
Insulin	122 (38)	67 (39)	55 (37)
Risk factors (%)
Hypertension	176 (55)	98 (57)	78 (53)
Smoking	56 (18)	26 (15)	30 (20)
Previous smoker	162 (51)	84 (49)	78 (53)
Family history	116 (36)	71 (42)	45 (30)	.04
Hypercholesterolemia	201 (63)	108 (63)	93 (63)
Body mass index kg/m2 (BMI)	29.4 (4)	30 (4)	29 (4)
Normal, <24.9	36 (11)	17 (10)	19 (13)
Obesitas, I > 29.9	128 (40)	69 (41)	59 (40)
Drug therapy (%)
Aspirin	268 (84)	140 (82)	128 (87)
Statin	233 (73)	130 (76)	103 (70)
ACE-inhibition	130 (41)	74 (43)	56 (38)
Beta blockade	233 (73)	128 (75)	105 (71)
Long-acting nitrate	122 (38)	52 (30)	70 (47)	.002
Calcium-antagonist	139 (44)	64 (37)	75 (51)	.02
Insulin	122 (38)	67 (39)	55 (37)
ECG-abnormalities	158 (50)	72 (42)	86 (58)	.004
MPS results
SSS	8 (8)	4.4 (6.8)	12.3 (6.8)	<.001
SRS	4.3 (6)	3.9 (6.7)	4.8 (6.1)
SDS	3.7 (4.5)	0.4 (0.7)	7.5 (4.0)	<.001
Any perfusion abnormality	208 (65)	60 (35)	148 (100)
At least one fixed defect*	138 (43)	60 (35)	78 (53)

Values are presented as n (%) or as mean (SD) unless otherwise indicated.

CCS, Canadian Cardiovascular Society; MI, myocardial infarction; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting; ACE, angiotensin-converting enzyme; SSS, summed stress score; SRS, summed rest score; SDS, summed difference score.

*Also included patients with mixed defects: fixed and reversible.

MPS Results

Of 319 patients, 200 (63%) adequately performed an exercise test, in 113 patients (36%) vasodilatory stress was applied, and in 6 (2%) dobutamine stress test was performed. In 290 (91%) patients 99mTc-labeled perfusion tracers were used. Semi-quantitative scores are described in Table 1. Perfusion abnormalities (fixed or reversible) were found in 208 (65%) patients; 60 (19%) had only fixed defects, 78 (24%) mixed defects and 70 (22%) patients had only reversible defects. Thus, 148 (46%) patients showed reversible perfusion defects; 85 (26%) patients had moderate and 63 (20%) severe ischemia. These 148 patients were eligible for randomization into the MERIDIAN trial, 76 patients were randomized to early invasive treatment and 72 patients to continued pharmacological treatment.

Patients with reversible defects were older, predominantly male, had a higher prevalence of CCS II/IV, and were less likely to have undergone PCI procedures. Furthermore, these patients received more intensive anti-anginal therapy and had more ECG-abnormalities (Table 1).

Symptom-Driven Interventions

A description of the coronary interventions performed during follow-up, not including randomization driven procedures, is presented here. Of the 148 patients with reversible defects, the interventions are presented in relation to the treatment strategies. During follow-up, 13 (8%) of the 171 patients without reversible defects had an increase of their anginal complaints and underwent elective, coronary angiography. Subsequent revascularization was performed in 3 (2%) of these patients. Furthermore, one patient underwent a rescue-CABG after MI.

Of 72 patients with reversible myocardial perfusion defects, randomized to continued pharmacological treatment, 18 (25%) underwent elective coronary angiography and 11 (15%) underwent subsequent revascularization. In 3 patients (4%) with an acute MI a primary PCI (2) or rescue-CABG (1) was performed. One patient underwent a repeat PCI after 10 months for in-stent restenosis.

All 76 patients assigned to early invasive treatment underwent CAG. No or only non-significant coronary abnormalities were detected in 17 (23%) patients. In 3 patients (2 patients with single-vessel disease and 1 patient with multi-vessel disease) no intervention was possible and 1 patient refused further treatment. Of the remaining patients, 37 were referred for PCI and 18 for CABG. One patient underwent repeat CABG 2 years after the randomization-driven CABG. Furthermore, 1 patient underwent primary PCI for an acute MI, 9 months after the randomization-driven PCI.

Cardiac Events

A description of events per MPS category is presented in Table 2. The mean follow-up period of 148 patients with and 171 patients without reversible defects was 2.2 ± 0.7 and 2.1 ± 0.6 years, respectively (min-max: 2.3-38.5 months). During follow-up 3 of 171 (1.8%) patients without reversible defects, 3 of 83 patients with moderate ischemia and 8 of 65 patients with severe ischemia on MPS had a non-fatal myocardial infarction or died from a cardiac cause. The differences in event rate between patients without and patients with moderate or severe ischemia were statistically significant (P = .004).

Table 2

The occurrence of events described per MPS category

Clinical events	No myocardial ischemia (SDS < 3)			Myocardial ischemia (SDS ≥ 3)			P-value*
	No defects (n = 111)	Only fixed (n = 60)	Total (n = 171)	Total (n = 148)	SDS 3-7 (n = 85)	SDS ≥ 8 (n = 63)	SDS < 3 vs SDS 3-7	SDS < 3 vs SDS ≥ 8	SDS 3-7 vs SDS ≥ 8
Composite events	1 (0.4)	2 (1.6)	3 (0.8)	11 (3.3)	3 (1.5)	8 (5.8)	–	<.001	.01
Cardiac death	0 (0)	1 (0.8)	1 (0.3)	7 (2.1)	2 (1.0)	5 (3.6)	–	.02	<.04
Non-fatal MI	1 (0.4)	1 (0.8)	2 (0.5)	7 (2.1)	2 (1.0)	5# (3.6)	–	.01	–
Hospitalization UAP	4 (1.6)	2 (1.6)	6 (1.6)	4 (1.2)	4 (2.0)	0 (0)	–	–	–
All-cause mortality	1 (0.4)	4 (3.1)	5 (1.4)	11 (3.2)	4 (2.0)	7 (4.9)	–	–	–

All clinical events are described as n (annual event rate). Composite events taking account of the first occurrence of cardiac death or non-fatal MI.

MI, Myocardial infarction; UAP, unstable angina pectoris.

#One myocardial infarction was procedure related this MI was not considered as a cardiac event for the current analyses.

Calculated annual event rates were 0.8 for patients without defects, and 1.5 and 5.8 for patients with respectively moderate and severe ischemia. Kaplan-Meier curves for the occurrence of cardiac death or non-fatal MI are shown in Figure 2. The pattern of the three survival curves was preserved when the data were analyzed by randomized treatments (data not shown).

Figure 2

Kaplan-Meier estimates of the cumulative rate of cardiac death or non-fatal MI, related to the MPS outcome. Kaplan-Meier cumulative event rates estimates for the occurrence of the cardiac death or non-fatal MI by the presence or absence of myocardial perfusion defects. Black line = SDS ≥ 8; dark grey = SDS 3-7; light grey = SDS < 3. Cumulative curves according to the severity of myocardial ischemia of all patients without myocardial ischemia compared to all patients with reversible myocardial ischemia

Variables Associated with the Occurrence of the Combined Endpoint

The frequencies and hazard ratios of the different clinical and diagnostic variables are shown in Table 3. In multivariable analysis, severe myocardial ischemia (SDS ≥ 8) (HR 5.45, 95%CI 1.89-15.71, P ≤ .001), and the use of insulin (HR 4.00, 95%CI 1.25-12.75, P ≤ .02) were independent predictors of cardiac death and non-fatal MI. Previous myocardial infarction did not reach statistical significance as an independent predictor of events (HR 2.93, 95% CI 0.99-8.78, P = .05). The deviance (−2 log likelihood) of the model including previous MI and insulin is 128.215. The change from the previous (chi square) by adding MPS outcome is 11.363, P < .001. The C-index of MPS outcome as a single variable is 0.726, whereas the C-index of previous MI and insulin use is 0.737. The combination MPS outcome, previous MI and insulin use results in a C-index of 0.838. We can conclude that the variable MPS outcome therefore adds approximately 10% to the model.

Table 3

Frequencies and hazard ratios of the occurrence of cardiac death or non-fatal MI according to the presence of a characteristic

Characteristic	Present	Absent	Univariable	Multivariable	P-value
			HR (95%) CI	HR (95%) CI
Male gender	9/201	5/118	1.09 (0.36-3.25)
CCS II/IV	3/130	11/189	0.39 (0.11-1.38)
BMI ≥ 29.9 kg/m2 (n = 315)	8/128	6/187	1.71 (0.57-5.08)
Age 65 years or older	10/168	4/151	2.08 (0.64-6.74)
Previous MI	7/92	7/227	2.94 (0.99-8.75)*
Previous revascularization	7/121	7/198	1.63 (0.57-4.67)
Aspirin	14/268	0/51	26.53 (0.06-11990)
Statin	11/233	3/86	1.21 (0.33-4.41)
Insulin	10/122	4/197	4.25 (1.33-13.57)*	4.00 (1.25-12.75)	.02
Abnormal rest ECG	11/158	3/161	3.44 (0.95-12.50)‡
MPS: Severe ischemia	8/63	6/256	5.70 (2.00-16.60)*	5.446 (1.89-15.71)	≤.001

Variables are described as the number of patients with the event in relation to the total amount of patients with this characteristic. The variables: a history of MI, use of insulin and severe ischemia on MPS (SDS ≥ 8) were entered in the Cox proportional hazards model.

HR, Hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; LBBB, left bundle branch block; EF, ejection fraction; other abbreviations as described in Table 1.

‡ P < .1; *P < .05 in the univariable analysis.

Discussion

In this study, we have shown that in almost 50% of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and mild angina pectoris myocardial ischemia is present. Secondly, we have shown that severe myocardial ischemia is an independent predictor for cardiac events. In addition to the severity of myocardial ischemia, the use of insulin is an independent predictor of cardiac death and non-fatal MI. Patients without myocardial ischemia are at a low annual risk, irrespective of the presence of fixed defects (0.4-0.8%).

Comparison with Previous Studies

Several reports have been published on the use of MPS in diabetic patients.5,6,8,13-15 One of these studies was performed in asymptomatic diabetic patients, and they stated that ischemia was already present in 20% of diabetics without any anginal complaint. However, both the abovementioned study as well as others concerned the value of MPS in asymptomatic diabetic patients, or in symptomatic patients in whom the classification of anginal complaints was not provided. To our knowledge, our study is the first to assess the prognostic value of MPS in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and well-defined, mild angina pectoris, CCS I-II/IV.

The presence of reversible defects on MPS is associated with annual cardiac event rates ranging from approximately 3% to 10%, in different diabetic populations.7,8,14,16 Furthermore, recent MPS studies have documented a positive relationship between the severity and extent of the perfusion defect and the cardiac event rate.6,13,16-19 However, the abovementioned annual event rates are lower than what one might expect based on the early observations from the LIPID trial and the study of Haffner et al, i.e. annual event rates were estimated to be ±15-20%.20,21 Our findings that type 2 diabetic patients with anginal complaints (CCS I-II/IV) and severe reversible defects have a 3-6 fold higher annual event are in line with more recent studies.22,23

Significance of a Normal MPS

In the general population a normal MPS is associated with a low annual event rate of ≤1%.17 The prognostic value of a normal MPS in type 2 diabetic patients has not yet been crystallized completely. Some of the aforementioned studies reported low cardiac event rates for patients with a normal MPS (1.2-2%), although higher event rates of 2.5-3% were also described.7,8,13,16,24 These higher rates might be explained by the different populations studied: the use of insulin, inability to perform exercise-stress testing and the severity of complaints.

Awareness regarding the MPS definitions used is of importance when comparing event rates. Many investigators use a SSS < 4 to define a normal MPS. In this study, we focused on reversible defects, using SDS < 3 to define a non-ischemic MPS. This definition resulted in an annual event rate of 0.8%. A SDS < 3, however, does not rule out the presence of fixed defects and it therefore might lead to an overestimation of the event rate. The annual event rate of a clinical normal MPS (SDS < 3 and SRS < 3) was indeed lower (0.4%).

Irrespective of the cut-off value used for normality, our favorable prognostic result of a normal MPS is comparable with event rates in the general population. This low event rate might be amplified by the fact that at time of screening, a high percentage of patients received risk modifying medication. Secondly, patients with an LVEF < 35% were excluded from the study. An impaired LVEF is a well-known prognostic factor.25 The exclusion of patients with an LVEF < 35% might therefore have resulted in a lower event rate.

It has been suggested that the ‘warrantee’ period of a normal MPS in diabetics has a maximum of 2 years, after which the event rates will start to increase rapidly.8,18 The follow-up period of our population was too short to confirm or contradict this hypothesis.

Insulin Use and Incidence of Cardiac Events

In our study, the use of insulin was independently related to the occurrence of cardiac events. This finding is in line with several other studies, all concluding that patients requiring insulin are more likely to develop adverse events.20,26,27 This is most likely due to a more advanced state of diabetes and its related morbidity, including atherosclerosis. However, no relation was found with the duration of diabetes mellitus. This lack of relation might be explained by the fact that the majority of patients are diagnosed years after onset of the glucometabolic abnormalities, thereby negatively influencing the power of this variable.28

Previous Myocardial Infarction and Incidence of Cardiac Events

Previous myocardial infarction negatively influences outcome in both diabetic and non-diabetic patients. However, in our population this relation did not reach our beforehand defined level of significance (P < .05). This is most likely due to sampling of the population.

Limitations

The premature discontinuation of the MERIDIAN trial resulted in a lower number of patients and a shorter follow-up period and consequently a low number of events. Furthermore, the current study was based on a pre-specified population with different treatment strategies; it is possible that the randomization has interfered with the outcome of the MPS-related cardiac event rate. However, no differences between the treatment strategies were observed in the MERIDIAN trial, and a recent study has found similar results in approximately 3,000 non-diabetic patients with stable coronary artery disease and evidence of myocardial ischemia.29

Theoretically there is a substantial chance of detecting spurious associations with the multivariable analysis described in this article; however, the outcome of this analysis confirms the results of previous studies in which these variables were also found to be independent predictors of cardiac death.

Conclusion and Clinical Implications

In our study, we found that type 2 diabetic patients with only mild anginal complaints present with a wide range of reversible perfusion defects on MPS. Patients with severe myocardial ischemia are at a 3-6 times higher risk of cardiac death and non-fatal MI compared to patients without or with moderate myocardial ischemia. The incidence of cardiac events in the patients with no or moderate ischemia, irrespective of the presence of fixed defects, is much lower than would have been expected based on previous studies. These findings are line with those of Hachamovitch et al.17 This implies that the amount ischemia determines appropriate therapeutic strategies. It is conceivable that these patients with no or moderate ischemia, conform their non-diabetic counterparts, will not benefit from an invasive approach and subsequent revascularization. Consequently it seems more reasonable to focus on life-style advices, optimized pharmacological therapy and close surveillance of symptoms. However, in patients with severe ischemia, a more aggressive and invasive approach seems justified.