OBJECTIVE: Community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (CA-MRSA) has caused a nationwide epidemic of skin and soft-tissue infections in ambulatory pediatrics. Antibiotic treatment recommendations suggest incorporating local epidemiology for the prevalence of CA-MRSA. We sought to identify the antibiotic strategy with the highest probability of activity and to identify threshold values for epidemiologic variables including bacterial prevalence and antibiotic resistance. METHODS: We used decision analysis to evaluate 3 empiric antibiotic strategies: clindamycin, trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole (T/S), and cephalexin. We calculated the probability of activity against the bacteria causing the infection (CA-MRSA, methicillin-sensitive S. aureus and group A Streptococcus [GAS]) by incorporating estimates of prevalence and antibiotic resistance to determine the optimal strategy. Sensitivity analysis was used to identify thresholds for prevalence and antibiotic resistance where 2 strategies were equal. RESULTS: Clindamycin (0.95) and T/S (0.89) had substantially higher probability of activity than cephalexin (0.28) using baseline estimates for bacterial prevalence and antibiotic resistance. Cephalexin was the optimal antibiotic only when CA-MRSA prevalence was <10%. The probability of activity for clindamycin and T/S was highly sensitive to changes in the values for bacterial prevalence (both CA-MRSA and GAS) and CA-MRSA resistance to clindamycin. CONCLUSIONS: Empiric treatment of skin and soft-tissue infections with either clindamycin or T/S maximizes the probability that the antibiotic will be active when CA-MRSA prevalence is >10%. Deciding between T/S and clindamycin requires consideration of antibiotic resistance and prevalence of GAS. This model can be customized to local communities and illustrates the importance of ongoing epidemiologic surveillance in primary care settings.
OBJECTIVE: Community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (CA-MRSA) has caused a nationwide epidemic of skin and soft-tissue infections in ambulatory pediatrics. Antibiotic treatment recommendations suggest incorporating local epidemiology for the prevalence of CA-MRSA. We sought to identify the antibiotic strategy with the highest probability of activity and to identify threshold values for epidemiologic variables including bacterial prevalence and antibiotic resistance. METHODS: We used decision analysis to evaluate 3 empiric antibiotic strategies: clindamycin, trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole (T/S), and cephalexin. We calculated the probability of activity against the bacteria causing the infection (CA-MRSA, methicillin-sensitive S. aureus and group A Streptococcus [GAS]) by incorporating estimates of prevalence and antibiotic resistance to determine the optimal strategy. Sensitivity analysis was used to identify thresholds for prevalence and antibiotic resistance where 2 strategies were equal. RESULTS:Clindamycin (0.95) and T/S (0.89) had substantially higher probability of activity than cephalexin (0.28) using baseline estimates for bacterial prevalence and antibiotic resistance. Cephalexin was the optimal antibiotic only when CA-MRSA prevalence was <10%. The probability of activity for clindamycin and T/S was highly sensitive to changes in the values for bacterial prevalence (both CA-MRSA and GAS) and CA-MRSA resistance to clindamycin. CONCLUSIONS: Empiric treatment of skin and soft-tissue infections with either clindamycin or T/S maximizes the probability that the antibiotic will be active when CA-MRSA prevalence is >10%. Deciding between T/S and clindamycin requires consideration of antibiotic resistance and prevalence of GAS. This model can be customized to local communities and illustrates the importance of ongoing epidemiologic surveillance in primary care settings.
Authors: Dennis L Stevens; Alan L Bisno; Henry F Chambers; E Dale Everett; Patchen Dellinger; Ellie J C Goldstein; Sherwood L Gorbach; Jan V Hirschmann; Edward L Kaplan; Jose G Montoya; James C Wade Journal: Clin Infect Dis Date: 2005-10-14 Impact factor: 9.079
Authors: Theoklis E Zaoutis; Philip Toltzis; Jaclyn Chu; Tara Abrams; Michael Dul; Jason Kim; Karin L McGowan; Susan E Coffin Journal: Pediatr Infect Dis J Date: 2006-04 Impact factor: 2.129
Authors: Kristina G Hultén; Sheldon L Kaplan; Blanca E Gonzalez; Wendy A Hammerman; Linda B Lamberth; James Versalovic; Edward O Mason Journal: Pediatr Infect Dis J Date: 2006-04 Impact factor: 2.129
Authors: Catherine Liu; Christopher J Graber; Michael Karr; Binh An Diep; Li Basuino; Brian S Schwartz; Mark C Enright; Simon J O'Hanlon; Jonathon C Thomas; Francoise Perdreau-Remington; Shelley Gordon; Helen Gunthorpe; Richard Jacobs; Peter Jensen; Gifford Leoung; James S Rumack; Henry F Chambers Journal: Clin Infect Dis Date: 2008-06-01 Impact factor: 9.079