Literature DB >> 19324668

A dynamic model of annual foliage growth and carbon uptake in trees.

A C Fowler1, Oliver Clary, Tiina Roose.   

Abstract

The growth of trees and other plants occurs through the interactive combination of photosynthesis and carbon (and other nutrient) assimilation. Photosynthesis enables the production of carbohydrate that can then be used in growing foliage, whereby photosynthesis is enabled. We construct a mathematical model of carbon uptake and storage, which allows the prediction of the growth dynamics of trees. We find that the simplest model allows uncontrolled foliage production through the positive feedback outlined above, but that leaf shading provides an automatic saturation to carbon assimilation, and hence to foliage production. The model explains the necessity for finite leaf area production at outbreak, and it explains why foliage density reaches a constant value during a growing season, while also non-leaf tissue also continues to grow. It also explains why trees will die when their carbon stores are depleted below a certain threshold, because the cost of foliage growth and maintenance exceeds the dynamic supply of carbon by photosynthesis.

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Year:  2009        PMID: 19324668      PMCID: PMC2827446          DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2009.0010

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J R Soc Interface        ISSN: 1742-5662            Impact factor:   4.118


Introduction

In the current ongoing debate about climate change, the role of the carbon cycle is of major importance (Bigg 2003). The net flux of carbon (as CO2) to the atmosphere is some 2 Gt (gigatonnes or 1012 kg), but the contribution from fossil fuel consumption is more than twice this, and deforestation is almost as important as that. In fact, the fluxes between the various reservoirs are much larger, and so an understanding of the way in which carbon is transferred is of some importance. The growth of plants and trees is an interesting and important process in the discussion of climate, because of their huge importance as a sink of CO2 in the atmosphere: the net removal by vegetation is some 5 Gt a year. Therefore the quantitative and predictive understanding of carbon uptake by plants is an issue of much current interest. On the other hand, the consequent effect of climate change on the dynamics of plant growth is of equal importance for the understanding of crop dynamics. The interaction of plant growth with carbon uptake is a problem in plant physiology, which has attracted much attention in the botanical and ecological literature, but less so in the applied mathematical community. An understanding of the processes of development and growth is important both scientifically and practically, since the response of plants and trees to nutrient deficiency and attacks by viruses and pests has important implications for crop and forestry management. In this paper, we develop and analyse a mathematical model for the growth of trees, which considers the continuous evolution of two critical variables, the carbon store and the foliage density. Our model finds its origins in the pioneering work of Thornley (1976; see also Thornley & Johnson 1990), and indeed our model closely resembles the whole plant model developed in Thornley's book (see his eqns (7.13) and (7.14)). However, we go beyond Thornley's model in two respects. The first is that we give a derivation of the equations of the model from first principles, describing the processes of water and nutrient transport within the tree; and second, we analyse the model and show that, in its simplest form, it exhibits an unphysical indefinite growth of foliage. We then go on to include the effects of leaf shading and show that the resultant augmented model allows for growth to a stable steady state, consistent with annual foliage development in mature trees. In a subsequent paper, we will use this model as a constituent in studying the defoliative effects on mountain birch forests in Lapland of outbreaks of the autumnal moth Epirrita autumnata, and with this in mind we will parametrize the present model with values suitable for the growth of a mountain birch. The outline of the paper is the following. In §2 we describe the necessary tree physiology to develop the model, and in §3 we develop the model from first principles. We show that the model allows unbounded growth, and thus in §4 we seek a modification that prevents this happening. This is at hand in the form of leaf shading (Thornley 1976, ch. 3), which causes the photosynthetic rate to become saturable. We show in §4 that the inclusion of this effect causes the model to behave in ways consistent with observation. Conclusions follow in §5.

Tree physiology

We begin by discussing the physiology of tree growth, with specific reference where appropriate to mountain birch. Early growth of foliage in trees is thought to depend on carbohydrates accumulated during the previous growing season. Carbohydrates are the direct product of photosynthesis, and are involved in many different processes in plants, such as respiration and maintenance. The leaves use carbon dioxide, water and energy from sunlight to produce carbohydrates, which are then translocated to different parts of the tree, which need them. A significant fraction of carbohydrate produced from photosynthesis is used for the growth of plant tissue (new wood in the case of trees). Another large fraction is stored for use during times when there is no production from photosynthesis, and a large amount of this stored carbohydrate is then used for initial leaf growth in early spring. There is also a considerable amount of carbohydrate that is oxidized in respiration, which releases the energy for tree growth and metabolic processes.

Vascular system

Nearly all living plants have a vascular system that is crucial for the transport of water, minerals, food and other substances to the different parts of the plant. This vascular system consists of two main pathways: the xylem and the phloem. The main difference between these is that the phloem is used to transport substances down the plant, whereas the xylem is used to transport substances (water and other minerals) up the plant. The phloem is considered to be the main pathway for carbohydrate transport, and generally very little carbohydrate is thought to travel in the xylem. It is thought that most of the reserve carbohydrates are stored in parenchyma cells in the xylem of the trunk for birch species. This was found by Olofinboba (1969) while comparing storage carbohydrates in African and European trees. These storage cells are thought to constitute 10 per cent of the xylem; the rest of the pathway is made up of dead cells, i.e. their only function is structural, and they do not store carbohydrate. Xylem is the main pathway for the transport of water and nutrients up the tree; the phloem is the main pathway for the products of photosynthesis down the tree. Transport down the phloem is driven largely by osmotic pressure differences; the flow of water up the xylem is driven by a pressure gradient that is induced by transpiration at the leaves, such that the water pressure in the xylem is below the saturation vapour pressure. This is known as the cohesion–tension theory (Dixon & Joly 1895) and, although well accepted, it is still controversial (Tyree 1997). Xylem is made up of microscopic tubular vessels, which are distributed across the trunk in small clusters. Takahashi (1987) measured the diameters and distributions of xylem vessels in six birch species that grow in Siberia. For a birch species with characteristics similar to those of mountain birch, he measured an average vessel diameter of 47 μm, and a distribution of approximately 100 per mm2, with an average spacing of 23 μm. The vessels are never much longer than 4 mm, but the transported water can easily pass from one vessel to another by passing through small pits before entering another xylem vessel. For simplicity, we will suppose the vessels run continuously up the tree trunk. Mineral nutrients and carbohydrates are transported in the vascular system as solutes in water. We suppose that stored carbohydrate in parenchyma cells is released to the water in the system in a diffusive fashion.

Photosynthesis

The production of carbohydrates occurs through photosynthesis in the leaves of the plant. Photosynthesis is the mechanism that reduces atmospheric CO2 to carbohydrates using the energy from light and the release of oxygen from water. The basic chemical reaction can be described by and occurs at chloroplast cells within the leaves. These lie below the epidermis of the leaves, in which there are small openings called stomata. The stomata open and close, depending on climatic conditions such as temperature and wind strength. Atmospheric CO2 is absorbed through the stomata, where it reacts as in (2.1) with water derived through the xylem from the roots. The excess water produced is then released by evaporation to the atmosphere through the stomata, this process being called transpiration, while the products of photosynthesis, the photosynthates, are transported away from the leaf through the phloem. The carbohydrates thus produced are removed to the parts of the tree where they are needed, and to the storage cells. The amount of carbohydrate produced depends on how much water, CO2 and light are available, and on how much foliage is present. Many experiments have been performed to measure how much CO2 is absorbed in plants and then transformed into carbohydrate, and the results can vary considerably between species (James 1973; Kozlowski & Pallardy 1997; Newell ).

A mathematical model

There are three different types of carbohydrates (monosaccharides, oligosaccharides and polysaccharides) present in most plants (Barbaroux ), but we will lump these together in our model. One of the variables of the model will thus be the carbon store, denoted C, which is measured in units of weight of carbohydrate, kilograms of carbohydrate (kgC). A second variable is the amount of foliage, denoted F, which is measured in units of weight of foliage, kilograms of foliage (kgF). The final variable is the woody biomass, denoted W, which is measured in units of weight of woody biomass, kilograms of woody biomass (kgW). More realistic models would include further compartments, but we avoid such complications here for purposes of simplicity. We model the continuous variation of foliage, woody biomass and carbon by three ordinary differential equations, which take the form In these equations, P denotes the rate of production of carbohydrate by photosynthesis; S 1 denotes the rate of consumption of carbohydrate in foliage and woody tissue production; MRC denotes the rate of consumption of carbohydrate in supporting metabolic processes; S 2 is the rate of production of foliage; MRF represents foliage respiration; S 3 is the rate of production of woody biomass; and MRW is the rate of woody biomass respiration. The production of carbohydrate by photosynthesis is assumed to be proportional to leaf surface area, and we therefore take it to be proportional to F, thus Thornley (1976) suggested a similar relationship. The coefficient a will depend on received photosynthetically active radiation and water supply. A discussion of this (assuming wet conditions) is given by Thornley & Johnson (1990, p. 224 ff.). In the present notation, we write where σ l is the leaf areal density, in units of kgF m−2, and P l (Thornley & Johnson's P n) is the specific photosynthetic rate, in units of kgCO2 m−2 d−1. The molecular weights of organic carbon and of CO2 provide the relevant conversion from carbon dioxide weight to carbohydrate weight. P l is described by a diffusive flux from the atmosphere, thus where r s and r b are stomatal and boundary-layer resistances, respectively, measured in units of d m−1, and C a and C l are free air and leaf air concentrations of CO2, in units of kg m−3. Thornley & Johnson suppose a specific leaf respiration rate of R d, which is the local production rate of CO2. The leaf CO2 concentration is then determined by equating the net production of CO2 to its removal by photosynthesis, described by a Michaelis–Menten-like pair of equations; this leads to where I is the leaf irradiance, and α p and K p are constants associated with the photosynthetic reactions. From these, we can eliminate C l (as the unique positive solution of a quadratic equation), and thus obtain an expression for a in terms of I, C a and r s+r b. In the following, we assume it to be constant, as is commonly done (e.g. Magnani ). The metabolic rates MRC, MRF and MRW are simply taken to be proportional to C, F and W, respectively, thus and then the specific leaf respiration rate R d is given by where (kgC kgF−1) is the carbohydrate fraction of leaf tissue. It is clear that the rates in (3.6) must go to zero as C, F and W go to zero, respectively. Since MRF represents a decay rate, a linear dependence seems appropriate. Carbon use must saturate at high levels of carbon, since the tree has a finite capacity for carbon uptake. We ignore this here, partly because our later concern will be with trees under attack, where it is more likely that a linear dependence of metabolism on C is appropriate. The sink and source terms S 1, S 2 and S 3 are more complicated. If S 1 is known, then we assume that where r and r′ are conversion factors that determine foliage and woody biomass production in terms of carbohydrate consumed. These are simplifying assumptions, since they suppose a direct connection between foliage production and carbon release from storage. Thornley (1976) proposes a similar connection between the sink and source terms. It then remains to prescribe S 1, and we discuss this in some detail. First, we find in appendix A that the water flux q is defined implicitly by the equation where and the various constants are defined in appendix A, as well as in table 1.
Table 1

Assumed typical values of the constants of the model. (Units: 1 kPa=103 Pa; 1 day=8.64×104 s.)

symbolvaluemeaning
a 0.08–0.1 kgC kgF−1 d−1 photosynthetic assimilation rate; Hoogesteger & Karlsson (1992) and Sveinbjörnsson (2001)
A c 3 m2 tree canopy area; Aradottir et al. (2001)
c p 103 J kg−1 K−1 specific heat of moist air; Tan et al. (1978)
d 0.6×10−4 mxylem vessel diameter; Petty (1978)
D 0.37×10−11 m2 s−1 carbohydrate diffusivity; Briggs & Robertson (1948, p. 276); Steward (1930), tables 3 and 4
h 2 mtree height; Aradottir et al. (2001)
k l 0.6leaf shading parameter; McMurtrie & Wolf (1983)
l 1.2×10−4 mxylem vessel spacing; Petty (1978)
L 2.45×106 J kg−1 latent heat; Tan et al. (1978)
m C 0.5×10−3 d−1 carbon metabolic rate; Kozlowski & Pallardy (1997, p. 139)
m F 0.015 d−1 foliage metabolic rate; Kozlowski & Pallardy (1997, pp. 16, 146); Thornley & Johnson (1990, p. 265)
m W 0.5×10−3 d−1 woody biomass metabolic rate; Kozlowski & Pallardy (1997, p. 139)
M v 18×10−3 kg mol−1 molecular weight of water
p a =Hp sat, e.g. 1.4 kPaair water vapour pressure
p sat 1.7 kPasaturation water vapour pressure (at 15°C)
P 0 5 kgC m−2 yr−1 photosynthetic rate; McMurtrie & Wolf (1983)
r 0.2 kgF kgC−1 foliage conversion factor; Barbaroux et al. (2003)
r0.3 kgF kgC−1 woody biomass conversion factor; Barbaroux et al. (2003)
r b <3 s cm−1 boundary-layer resistance; Tan et al. (1978) and Kozlowski & Pallardy (1997)
r s 1–50 s cm−1 stomatal resistance; Tan et al. (1978) and Kozlowski & Pallardy (1997)
R 8.3 J mol−1 K−1 universal gas constant
T 288 Kambient absolute temperature
V s 0.006 m3 carbon volume store (we use 10% of an estimated tree volume of 0.06 m3)
w 5×10−6 mxylem vessel wall thickness; Kukkola et al. (2004)
γ0.066 kPa K−1 psychrometric constant; Tan et al. (1978) and Ventura et al. (1999)
η 1.1×10−3 Pa sviscosity of water; Batchelor (1967)
ρ a 1.2 kg m−3 moist air density; Tan et al. (1978)
ρ c 300 kgC m−3 carbohydrate concentration in wood; Barbaroux et al. (2003)
ρ w 103 kg m−3 water density; Batchelor (1967)
σ 0.1–0.2available carbohydrate fraction; Barbaroux et al. (2003)
σ l 0.05–0.08 kgF m−2 leaf areal density; Hoogesteger & Karlsson (1992); Sveinbjörnsson (2001)
ψ r −0.2 MParoot hydraulic potential; Tyree & Ewers (1991)
Assumed typical values of the constants of the model. (Units: 1 kPa=103 Pa; 1 day=8.64×104 s.) This defines q implicitly in terms of F. Using values from table 1, we find p w≈133 MPa, which compares with the typical measured leaf values of hydraulic potential of ψ l≈−0.7 MPa. Because we expect , it follows from (A 5) that p l≈p sat, which thus defines q through (A 4) and (A 3), and then (A 1) determines the value of ψ l, given ψ r. Specifically, we have note that this is independent of tree height h. To calculate the carbon transport to the foliage, we denote by c w the concentration of carbon in the water in the xylem, measured as the weight of carbohydrate equivalent per unit volume of water (kgC m−3), so that S 1=qc w is the flux to the leaves. In appendix B, we show that where the new constants are defined in appendix B and table 1. Gathering together (3.2), (3.6), (3.8) and (3.12), equation (3.1) can be written in the form The flux q(F) is implicitly defined by (3.9) and, we anticipate, by (3.11).

Non-dimensionalization

To simplify the model, we scale the variables as We define the relative humidity and choose We anticipate that , and an appropriate balance of terms then suggests that we choose with F 0 being as yet undetermined. The corresponding dimensionless equations are then where the dimensionless parameters are defined by The dimensionless version of (3.9) is then where p w is defined in (A 5) and k 0 in (B 8). To estimate the scales and parameters, we use the values in table 1. These values have been chosen for mountain birch where possible, or, where not, from trees of similar size and from similar climates. Using these values (and particularly σ l=0.08 kgF m−2, r s+r b=40 s cm−1, σ=0.1, a=0.1 kgC kgF−1 d−1), we find then we find the scales if we take a nominal value of F 0=0.4 kgF, then we obtain the dimensionless parameters

Phase plane analysis

A first comment concerns the woody biomass equation for w. Because , we see that w changes little over the course of a growing season and can be taken as approximately constant. This of course simply represents the fact that trees grow over a much longer time scale than a year. In any case, the equation for w uncouples from those for c and f, unless account is taken of the variation of stomatal conductance 1/r s, and thus μ, and thus α and β (via C 0), on tree height (and hence w) (Ryan ). This dependence would cause α and β to decrease somewhat with w, but, since w itself changes slowly, this coupling has little effect on a seasonal time scale. We thus formally put δ′=0 and consider only the first two equations in (3.19). We begin by ignoring the very small terms in ϵ, δ r and δ a. We then have (which corresponds to (3.11)), and the equations (3.19) take the approximate form where, for convenience, we now drop the asterisk on the dimensionless time t *. These two ordinary differential equations are easily studied in the (c,f) phase plane. The solutions should represent the evolution of carbon store and foliage density during a growing season. We might expect that f would increase towards a steady state, and carbon store might do so as well or gradually increase. Carbon stores are depleted during winter when photosynthesis is inoperative. There are two steady states, c=f=0, and which is in the positive quadrant if, as we assume, α>β (and the relative humidity H<1). On c=0, , while the c-axis is invariant. Thus, if f and c are initially positive, they remain so. The nullclines are given in the positive quadrant by and f=0 for , and for . These intersect at (c *,f *), which is a saddle point. Trajectories lying below the two stable separatrices that approach (c *,f *) tend towards the origin, which is a stable node, while those above asymptote towards the upper unstable separatrix from (c *,f *), and both c and f grow unboundedly. The phase portrait is shown in figure 1.
Figure 1

Phase portrait for (3.27) in the vicinity of the unstable fixed point at c≈1/(1−H), f≈δ/((1−H)(α−β)), using values α=20.5, β=15.4, δ=0.033 and H=0.8. The dashed lines are the nullclines.

Phase portrait for (3.27) in the vicinity of the unstable fixed point at c≈1/(1−H), f≈δ/((1−H)(α−β)), using values α=20.5, β=15.4, δ=0.033 and H=0.8. The dashed lines are the nullclines. The phase plane in figure 1 has a good point as well as a bad one. It suggests that if the tree is initially depleted of carbon , then, if there is insufficient initial foliage, the carbon store will be depleted and the foliage will die: the tree will not survive. If , then the same fate can occur, but only if the initial foliage is very small. Note that the initial foliage must be positive for the tree to survive; this is consistent with the fact that, at budbreak, the tree does indeed produce an initial positive foliage density, depleting its carbon store to do so, as indicated by the trajectories in . However, the model then predicts unbounded growth in both carbon and foliage through an uncontrolled positive feedback between the two. It is this unwanted behaviour that we seek to redress in §4.

Leaf shading

One simple way in which we might suppose that foliage growth is curtailed is through the same mechanism that limits the growth of trees themselves. Although other suggestions have been made, Ryan & Yoder (1997) plausibly suggested that tree growth becomes limited in association with the height of the tree h. The mechanism of this hydraulic limitation hypothesis is that, as h increases, the tension in the water column in the xylem must increase (ψ l decreases in (A 1)) to drive the same water flow, making the xylem more prone to cavitation and thus damage. To prevent this, leaf stomatal conductance (1/r s) is reduced, and this decreases photosynthetic rate and thus also the carbon available for woody (and perhaps foliage) growth. The hypothesis has been supported by Schäfer , Delzon and Addington , for example, although not conclusively, and others do not agree (e.g. Becker ). In the present model, hydraulic limitation does not seem a likely cause for reducing foliage growth, since our description is essentially appropriate for mature trees, and because there is actually no serious dynamic effect of reducing water flow in the model (3.19): reduced stomatal conductance 1/r s causes reduced μ in (3.10), and thus increased C 0 in (3.18). From (3.20), this reduces α and β proportionally, so that the critical inequality α>β is unaltered. The phase plane of figure 1 is unaltered, and the problem of unbounded foliage growth remains. We may note that the choice of respiratory terms in (3.14) is actually consistent with the respiration hypothesis (Ryan & Yoder 1997), although we should also emphasize that the issue of tree height is not central to our thesis. There are two covert assumptions in the model equation (3.1), which we might alter in seeking a resolution to the prediction of uncontrolled foliage growth. One was mentioned after (3.6); that is, the carbohydrate metabolization term M C must saturate at large C. Since in the dimensionless model this term is small, we do not expect that its modification at a large c will have any serious effect on the solution behaviour. The other assumption is that the rate of photosynthesis is proportional to leaf area and thus foliage density. This assumption ignores the fact that sunlight reaching the surface of a leaf will depend on the degree to which it lies in shade, and leaves deeper within the canopy will receive less sunlight. This leads to the assumption that photosynthesis is a saturable function of foliage F, such as described by McMurtrie & Wolf (1983) and West (1987) who supposed that P in (3.1) was given by where σ l is the leaf areal density introduced before; A c is the tree canopy area (assumed constant); and k l is a number, taken illustratively as 0.6 by McMurtrie & Wolf (1983). Introduction of (4.1) into the dimensionless model yields the corresponding dimensionless equations (in the approximated form analogous to (3.27)) where α retains its definition in (3.20) provided we define and the parameter κ is given by With the values in table 1, we find that a=0.1 (as estimated independently) for the value σ l=0.08 kgF m−2. Since, in fact, we hope that leaf shading will provide a limiting mechanism for carbon and foliage growth, it is natural to assume that κ∼O(1), and we can finally use this to choose F 0 so that κ=1, i.e. With the values in table 1, we find F 0=0.4 kgF, as previously assumed, and therefore the values of α, β and δ retain their previous estimated values. Taking κ=1, the model (4.2) takes the form This has a fixed point as before where f∼δ, and the local structure of the phase plane is the same as in figure 1. In addition, there is a further fixed point where c=c 0=1/(1−H), and f=f 0=O(1) is the larger root of the equation which has such an O(1) solution for . The fact that α and β are large (and ) enables us to describe the dynamics of the solution when f=O(1). First, c rapidly approaches a quasi-steady state given by The right-hand side of this expression is a monotonically decreasing function of f, which equals (α/β)>1 when f=0 and tends to zero as f→∞. The migration of f along this curve is given by The right-hand side of (4.9) is a unimodal (one-humped) function with a unique positive steady state at f=f 0 (the positive solution of (4.7)) which is globally stable. From this we understand that the steady state (c 0,f 0) is a stable node. The phase portrait for the system is shown in figure 2. The dynamics for small f are still described by figure 1, which is thus a close-up of figure 2 near the unsteady saddle (not readily discernible in figure 2).
Figure 2

Phase portrait for (4.6) using values α=20.5, β=15.4, δ=0.033 and H=0.8. The lowest curve on the left, which leaves the f-axis at (0, 0.257), is almost the separatrix to the unstable saddle at c=5, f≈0.032, which can be approximately seen by the kink in this trajectory. The dashed lines are the nullclines.

Phase portrait for (4.6) using values α=20.5, β=15.4, δ=0.033 and H=0.8. The lowest curve on the left, which leaves the f-axis at (0, 0.257), is almost the separatrix to the unstable saddle at c=5, f≈0.032, which can be approximately seen by the kink in this trajectory. The dashed lines are the nullclines.

Conclusions

In this paper, we have presented a relatively simple model, similar to others in the literature, in which we describe the dynamics of carbon assimilation, storage and use in mature trees, with a view to describing how the carbon storage evolves over the growing season. We have focused our attention on the mountain birch, because in a succeeding paper we will describe how this dynamic evolution is affected by the presence of the larvae of the moth E. autumnata. Our model presents two advances over previous work. First, the dynamics of carbon uptake and transport within the xylem is described physically, so that the nonlinearity of the model is based on coherent physical principles. Second, we study the global dynamic behaviour of the model in a way that has not been done before. In particular, we find that the model provides a descriptive reason for why at budbreak leaves form with a small but finite capacity for photosynthesis. In addition, we show that leaf shading provides a practical mechanism by which foliage growth is limited and the carbon storage reaches a steady state. Both of these features provide insight into the mechanisms of carbon regulation during tree growth. The stable steady state shown in figure 2 at c=5, f≈0.56 corresponds to a carbon store of 0.65 kgC and a foliage quantity of 0.22 kgF. During the winter the carbon store is depleted, so that in spring the initial values (in dimensionless units) will be c<5 and f small. For example, the separatrix in figure 2 from c=0, f=0.257 goes approximately through the values c=3, f=0.1. So if c=3 at the end of winter (corresponding to 0.39 kgC), then for an initial foliage less than f=0.1 (corresponding to 0.04 kgF), carbon will first increase, but then irreversibly decrease, and tree death will ensue. In reality, we would expect the carbon store to be less depleted. Figures 3 and 4 show the time series of foliage and carbon quantities as a function of time (in dimensional units) starting from dimensionless values c=4.8, f=0.2, corresponding to C=0.62 kgC and F=0.08 kgF. There is an initial slight dip in foliage quantity before it rises monotonically towards its final steady state. The carbon store initially rises as photosynthesis is initiated and then is depleted by the growth of foliage. Depending on the parameters that are chosen, the final approach to the steady state can be somewhat oscillatory, which is probably unphysical.
Figure 3

Foliage in kgF as a function of time in days, found by solving (4.6), using parameter values α=20.5, β=15.4 and δ=0.033, and with the choice of scales F 0=0.4 kg, C 0=0.13 kg, t 0=66.7 d and H=0.8.

Figure 4

Carbon store in kgC as a function of time in days, using the same parameters as in figure 3. Note that the axis for C starts at 0.6.

Foliage in kgF as a function of time in days, found by solving (4.6), using parameter values α=20.5, β=15.4 and δ=0.033, and with the choice of scales F 0=0.4 kg, C 0=0.13 kg, t 0=66.7 d and H=0.8. Carbon store in kgC as a function of time in days, using the same parameters as in figure 3. Note that the axis for C starts at 0.6. Figures 3 and 4 do highlight a shortcoming of this model. Although we have attempted to use the best estimates available for the parameters, we see that the time scale for approach to equilibrium is much too long, of the order of 1000 days. This is too long by a factor of perhaps 30. The time scale is given by t 0=1/m F, where m F is the specific respiration rate. In this simple model, somewhat analogous to simple first-order rate laws used in epidemiology, we are actually assuming an exponential distribution of foliage lifetime with a mean of 1/m F=67 days; evidently this is much too long, and the model ought to be refined, perhaps by means of specific inclusion of foliage lifetime as well as foliage respiration. A simpler alternative is just to shorten the time scale by increasing m F. There is then a consequent effect on α, β and δ. If one does increase m F, then indeed the time scale is shortened, but the dynamics becomes increasingly oscillatory, which also seems implausible. We think that this shortcoming represents an issue concerning the veracity of the model which needs to be addressed. For example, specific respiration rates decrease rapidly with foliage age (Kozlowski & Pallardy 1997), and this would have a compensating effect. However, we also think that the robust qualitative conclusions of the present model provide a useful basis on which more elaborate and realistic models can be built.
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Authors:  R N Addington; L A Donovan; R J Mitchell; J M Vose; S D Pecot; S B Jack; U G Hacke; J S Sperry; R Oren
Journal:  Plant Cell Environ       Date:  2006-04       Impact factor: 7.228

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Authors:  Eija M Kukkola; Sanna Koutaniemi; Eija Pöllänen; Mikaela Gustafsson; Pirkko Karhunen; Taina K Lundell; Pekka Saranpää; Ilkka Kilpeläinen; Teemu H Teeri; Kurt V Fagerstedt
Journal:  Planta       Date:  2003-09-12       Impact factor: 4.116

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