Literature DB >> 19169034

POSSUM predicts survival in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer.

S M M de Castro1, J T Houwert, S M Lagard, O R C Busch, T M van Gulik, D J Gouma.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the physiological and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity (POSSUM) for patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer and to analyze whether POSSUM can predict the long-term outcome in these patients. Such a scoring system could be useful to aid in the decision between surgical and endoscopic palliation.
METHODS: Between January 1993 and December 2004, 241 patients were found to have unresectable pancreatic cancer during exploratory laparotomy and underwent a double bypass procedure consisting of a gastrojejunostomy and a hepaticojejunostomy.
RESULTS: Overall, 64 of 240 patients (27%) had one or more complications after bypass surgery and 4 patients (2%) died. POSSUM predicted morbidity in 114 patients (47%). The observed:predicted (O:P) ratio for morbidity was 0.56 and the model had a significant lack of fit (p < 0.001) using a goodness-of-fit analysis. The overall median survival was 7 months. The POSSUM scoring system was, however, an independent predictor of survival in multivariate analysis.
CONCLUSIONS: Overall, POSSUM overpredicted morbidity but was an independent predictor of survival. Copyright (c) 2009 S. Karger AG, Basel.

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Year:  2009        PMID: 19169034     DOI: 10.1159/000194982

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Dig Surg        ISSN: 0253-4886            Impact factor:   2.588


  4 in total

1.  Unresectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma: do we know who survives?

Authors:  Mohammad H Jamal; Suhail A Doi; Eve Simoneau; Jad Abou Khalil; Mazen Hassanain; Prosanto Chaudhury; Jean Tchervenkov; Peter Metrakos; Jeffrey S Barkun
Journal:  HPB (Oxford)       Date:  2010-10       Impact factor: 3.647

Review 2.  POSSUM and its related models as predictors of postoperative mortality and morbidity in patients undergoing surgery for gastro-oesophageal cancer: a systematic review.

Authors:  Sumanta Dutta; Paul G Horgan; Donald C McMillan
Journal:  World J Surg       Date:  2010-09       Impact factor: 3.352

3.  Assessing the risk: Scoring systems for outcome prediction in emergency laparotomies.

Authors:  Deb Sanjay Nag
Journal:  Biomedicine (Taipei)       Date:  2015-11-28

4.  Double bypass for inoperable pancreatic malignancy at laparotomy: postoperative complications and long-term outcome.

Authors:  F Ausania; A E Vallance; D M Manas; J M Prentis; C P Snowden; S A White; R M Charnley; J J French; B C Jaques
Journal:  Ann R Coll Surg Engl       Date:  2012-11       Impact factor: 1.891

  4 in total

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