Literature DB >> 1915787

The use of AIDS surveillance data for short-term prediction of AIDS cases in Madrid, Spain.

G F Medley1, V Zunzunegui, R Bueno, D Lopez Gai.   

Abstract

The paper presents a preliminary attempt to predict the numbers of AIDS cases in the Community of Madrid (CAM) up to 1992. Using AIDS case surveillance data gathered by CAM, and a statistical procedure that includes a distribution for reporting delays, the numbers of new diagnoses, reports, AIDS deaths and numbers of patients alive is predicted. Approximate confidence limits for the numbers of new diagnoses are given. We emphasise that these predictions are tentative given the nature of the reporting delays, and discuss the use of such predictions and the requirements for their improvement.

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Year:  1991        PMID： 1915787     DOI： 10.1007/bf00144999

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Eur J Epidemiol        ISSN： 0393-2990            Impact factor:   8.082


  10 in total

1.  A simple correction of AIDS surveillance data for reporting delays.

Authors:  P S Rosenberg
Journal:  J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr (1988)       Date:  1990

2.  A process of events with notification delay and the forecasting of AIDS.

Authors:  D R Cox; G F Medley
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  1989-09-05       Impact factor: 6.237

3.  The value of AIDS incidence data in assessing the spread of HIV infection.

Authors:  V De Gruttola; S W Lagakos
Journal:  Stat Med       Date:  1989-01       Impact factor: 2.373

4.  Statistical methods for short-term projections of AIDS incidence.

Authors:  R Brookmeyer; A Damiano
Journal:  Stat Med       Date:  1989-01       Impact factor: 2.373

Review 5.  Mathematical and statistical studies of the epidemiology of HIV.

Authors:  R M Anderson
Journal:  AIDS       Date:  1989-06       Impact factor: 4.177

Review 6.  Natural history of HIV infection.

Authors:  A R Moss; P Bacchetti
Journal:  AIDS       Date:  1989-02       Impact factor: 4.177

7.  Correcting reported AIDS incidence: a statistical approach.

Authors:  S H Heisterkamp; J C Jager; E J Ruitenberg; J A Van Druten; A M Downs
Journal:  Stat Med       Date:  1989-08       Impact factor: 2.373

8.  [AIDS in Spain: prediction of new cases by the use of mathematical models].

Authors:  F Villar Alvarez; A Bolea Laguarta; F Rodríguez Artalejo; M J Medrano Albero; O Tello Anchuela; J García Caballero
Journal:  Rev Clin Esp       Date:  1988-06       Impact factor: 1.556

9.  AIDS in Europe: current trends and short-term predictions estimated from surveillance data, January 1981-June 1986.

Authors:  A M Downs; R A Ancelle; H J Jager; J B Brunet
Journal:  AIDS       Date:  1987-05       Impact factor: 4.177

Review 10.  The natural history of human immunodeficiency virus infection.

Authors:  A R Lifson; G W Rutherford; H W Jaffe
Journal:  J Infect Dis       Date:  1988-12       Impact factor: 5.226
  10 in total
  2 in total

1.  Short-term predictions of HIV prevalence and AIDS incidence.

Authors:  J C Hendriks; G F Medley; S H Heisterkamp; G J Van Griensven; P J Bindels; R A Coutinho; J A Van Druten
Journal:  Epidemiol Infect       Date:  1992-08       Impact factor: 2.451

2.  Deliveries, abortion and HIV-1 infection in Rome, 1989-1994. The Lazio AIDS Collaborative Group.

Authors:  D D Abeni; D Porta; C A Perucci
Journal:  Eur J Epidemiol       Date:  1997-06       Impact factor: 8.082
  2 in total

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