| Literature DB >> 19156146 |
J G H van Nes1, V T H B M Smit, H Putter, P J Kuppen, S J Kim, M Daito, J Ding, M Shibayama, S Numada, K Gohda, T Matsushima, H Ishihara, S Noguchi, C J H van de Velde.
Abstract
In a Japanese study, cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) based risk determined by CDK 1 and 2 activities was associated with risk of distance recurrence in early breast cancer patients. The aim of our study was to validate this risk categorization in European early breast cancer patients. We retrospectively analyzed frozen breast cancer specimens of 352 Dutch patients with histologically confirmed primary invasive early breast cancer. CDK-based risk was determined in tumour tissues by calculating a risk score (RS) according to kinases activity and protein mass concentration assay without the knowledge of outcome. Determination of CDK-based risk was feasible in 184 out of 352 (52%) tumours. Median follow-up of these patients was 15 years. In patients not receiving systemic treatment, the proportions of risk categories were 44% low, 16% intermediate, and 40% high CDK-based risk. These groups remained significant after univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analysis. Factors associated with a shorter distant recurrence-free period were positive lymph nodes, mastectomy with radiotherapy, and high CDK-based risk. There was no significant correlation with overall survival (OS). CDK-based risk is a prognostic marker of distance recurrence of patients with early breast cancer. More validation would be warranted to use of CDK-based risk into clinical practice.Entities:
Mesh:
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Year: 2009 PMID: 19156146 PMCID: PMC2658542 DOI: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6604870
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Br J Cancer ISSN: 0007-0920 Impact factor: 7.640
Patients/tumour/treatment characteristics.
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| <40 | 28 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 40–50 | 90 | 26 | 45 | 25 | 21 | 22 |
| 51–60 | 74 | 21 | 39 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
| >60 | 160 | 46 | 84 | 46 | 50 | 52 |
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| < 20 mm | 142 | 40 | 55 | 30 | 38 | 39 |
| ⩾20 mm | 210 | 60 | 129 | 70 | 59 | 61 |
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| I | 57 | 17 | 22 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| II | 163 | 48 | 86 | 48 | 49 | 53 |
| III | 120 | 35 | 71 | 40 | 31 | 33 |
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| Ductal | 318 | 94 | 169 | 94 | 88 | 95 |
| Lobular | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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| Negative | 186 | 53 | 87 | 47 | 76 | 78 |
| Positive | 166 | 47 | 97 | 53 | 21 | 22 |
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| Positive | 87 | 39 | 52 | 43 | 24 | 36 |
| Negative | 137 | 61 | 70 | 57 | 42 | 64 |
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| Positive | 104 | 46 | 65 | 52 | 33 | 49 |
| Negative | 123 | 54 | 60 | 48 | 34 | 51 |
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| <5 | 143 | 63 | 85 | 69 | 47 | 71 |
| ⩾5 | 84 | 37 | 39 | 32 | 19 | 29 |
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| 0+/1+ | 198 | 88 | 101 | 84 | 53 | 82 |
| 2+/3+ | 28 | 12 | 20 | 17 | 12 | 19 |
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| Negative | 287 | 84 | 149 | 83 | 81 | 86 |
| Positive | 54 | 16 | 31 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
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| MST without radiotherapy | 151 | 43 | 86 | 47 | 58 | 60 |
| MST with radiotherapy | 78 | 22 | 53 | 29 | 14 | 14 |
| BCS without radiotherapy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| BCS with radiotherapy | 118 | 34 | 43 | 23 | 25 | 26 |
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| Chemotherapy alone | 65 | 19 | 42 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| Hormonal therapy alone | 66 | 19 | 36 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| Both | 15 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| None | 206 | 59 | 97 | 53 | 97 | 100 |
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| Locoregional recurrence | 44 | 13 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Distant recurrence | 146 | 42 | 85 | 46 | 37 | 38 |
| Death | 197 | 56 | 110 | 60 | 56 | 58 |
| Total | 352 | 100 | 184 | 100 | 97 | 100 |
BCS=breast conserving surgery; MST=mastectomy.
The numbers and percentage are calculated on available data. Missing data are not shown.
First of all patients treated in the Leiden University Medical Centre between 1985 and 1996 with available fresh frozen tumour tissue, second of patients in which cyclin dependent kinase (CDK) determination was feasible, third of patients in which CDK-determination was feasible and who were only treated with local therapy.
Association between cyclin dependent kinase (CDK)-based risk groups and well established prognostic factors
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| 0.022 | ||||||
| <40 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 75 | |
| 40–50 | 13 | 29 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 62 | |
| 50–60 | 20 | 51 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 33 | |
| >60 | 40 | 48 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 38 | |
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| 0.261 | ||||||
| <20 mm | 23 | 42 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 40 | |
| ⩾20 mm | 53 | 41 | 13 | 10 | 63 | 49 | |
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| 0.01 | ||||||
| Negative | 43 | 49 | 14 | 16 | 30 | 35 | |
| Positive | 33 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 57 | |
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| 0.01 | ||||||
| I | 8 | 36 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 46 | |
| II | 44 | 51 | 14 | 16 | 28 | 33 | |
| III | 23 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 61 | |
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| 0.046 | ||||||
| Ductal | 69 | 41 | 20 | 12 | 80 | 47 | |
| Other | 6 | 60 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 10 | |
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| 0.123 | ||||||
| Negative | 17 | 33 | 6 | 12 | 29 | 56 | |
| Positive | 32 | 46 | 12 | 17 | 26 | 37 | |
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| 0.183 | ||||||
| Negative | 21 | 32 | 11 | 17 | 33 | 51 | |
| Positive | 29 | 48 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 40 | |
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| 0.387 | ||||||
| <5 | 37 | 44 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 42 | |
| ⩾5 | 12 | 31 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 54 | |
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| 0.444 | ||||||
| Negative | 40 | 40 | 16 | 16 | 45 | 45 | |
| Positive | 9 | 45 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 50 | |
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| 0.84 | ||||||
| Negative | 62 | 42 | 20 | 13 | 67 | 45 | |
| Positive | 13 | 42 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 48 | |
High CDK-based risk is higher in younger patients, node-positive disease and grade III tumours.
Figure 1Distant recurrence-free period according to CDK-based risk. Patients with a low CDK-based risk have a longer distant recurrence-free period than patients with a high CDK-based risk.
Univariate and multivariate analysis of distant recurrence-free period (DRFP). Independent factors for a shorter DRFP are positive nodal status, mastectomy with radiotherapy, no systemic treatment and intermediate/high CDK-based risk
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| <50 | 61 | 1.00 | 0.720 | ||||
| ⩾50 | 123 | 0.92 | 0.59–1.44 | ||||
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| <20 mm | 55 | 1.00 | 0.013 | 1.00 | 0.660 | ||
| ⩾20 mm | 129 | 1.96 | 1.15–3.34 | 1.21 | 0.52–2.84 | ||
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| Negative | 87 | 1.00 | 0.000 | 1.00 | 0.004 | ||
| Positive | 97 | 3.08 | 1.92–4.95 | 2.86 | 1.40–5.87 | ||
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| I/II | 108 | 1.00 | 0.231 | ||||
| III | 71 | 1.30 | 0.85–2.01 | ||||
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| Ductal | 169 | 1.00 | 0.967 | ||||
| Other | 10 | 1.02 | 0.41–2.52 | ||||
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| MST−RT | 86 | 1.00 | 0.000 | 1.00 | 0.003 | ||
| MST+RT | 53 | 2.35 | 1.46–3.78 | 2.67 | 1.36–5.25 | ||
| BCT | 45 | 0.80 | 0.34–1.46 | 0.73 | 0.31–1.73 | ||
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| Negative | 52 | 1.00 | 0.222 | ||||
| Positive | 70 | 1.40 | 0.81–2.42 | ||||
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| Negative | 65 | 1.00 | 0.512 | ||||
| Positive | 60 | 0.84 | 0.51–1.40 | ||||
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| <5 | 85 | 1.00 | 0.100 | 1.00 | 0.618 | ||
| ⩾5 | 39 | 1.56 | 0.92–2.64 | 1.15 | 0.66–2.01 | ||
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| Negative | 101 | 1.00 | 0.873 | ||||
| Positive | 20 | 0.94 | 0.46–1.93 | ||||
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| Negative | 149 | 1.00 | 0.039 | 1.00 | 0.699 | ||
| Positive | 31 | 1.70 | 1.03–2.82 | 1.15 | 0.56–2.38 | ||
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| No | 97 | 1.00 | 0.020 | 1.00 | 0.011 | ||
| Yes | 87 | 1.66 | 1.08–2.56 | 0.40 | 0.20–0.81 | ||
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| Low | 76 | 1.00 | 0.014 | 1.00 | 0.023 | ||
| Intermediate | 23 | 1.50 | 0.74–3.05 | 1.89 | 0.82–4.39 | ||
| High | 85 | 2.04 | 1.26–3.28 | 2.36 | 1.27–4.37 | ||
BCT=breast conserving therapy; MST=mastectomy; RT=radiotherapy.
Figure 2Distant recurrence-free period according to CDK-based risk in patients treated with local therapy only. Patients with a low CDK-based risk have a longer distant recurrence-free period than patients with a high CDK-based risk.
Univariate and multivariate analysis of distant recurrence-free period (DRFP) for patients receiving only local treatment to examine the real prognostic value of CDK-based risk
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| <50 | 28 | 1.00 | 0.237 | ||||
| ⩾50 | 69 | 1.58 | 0.74–3039 | ||||
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| <20 mm | 38 | 1.00 | 0.065 | 1.00 | 0.582 | ||
| ⩾20 mm | 59 | 1.98 | 0.96–4.10 | 1.26 | 0.56–2.83 | ||
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| Negative | 76 | 1.00 | 0.000 | 1.00 | 0.004 | ||
| Positive | 21 | 3.50 | 1.81–6.77 | 2.70 | 1.37–5.34 | ||
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| I/II | 62 | 1.00 | 0.467 | ||||
| III | 31 | 1.28 | 0.66–2.51 | ||||
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| Ductal | 88 | 1.00 | 0.352 | ||||
| Other | 5 | 0.39 | 0.05–2.85 | ||||
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| MST-RT | 58 | 1.00 | 0.000 | 1.00 | 0.000 | ||
| MST+RT | 14 | 4.98 | 2.36–10.51 | 4.71 | 2.06–10.79 | ||
| BCT | 25 | 0.53 | 0.21–1.36 | 0.46 | 0.16–1.29 | ||
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| Negative | 24 | 1.00 | 0.788 | ||||
| Positive | 42 | 1.12 | 0.50–2.48 | ||||
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| Negative | 33 | 1.00 | 0.934 | ||||
| Positive | 34 | 0.97 | 0.47–2.01 | ||||
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| <5 | 47 | 1.00 | 0.165 | ||||
| ⩾5 | 19 | 1.72 | 0.80–3.70 | ||||
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| Negative | 53 | 1.00 | 0.166 | ||||
| Positive | 12 | 1.84 | 0.78–4.37 | ||||
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| Negative | 81 | 1.00 | 0.049 | 1.00 | 0.057 | ||
| Positive | 13 | 2.20 | 1.00–4.84 | 2.32 | 0.97–5.51 | ||
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| Low | 43 | 1.00 | 0.068 | 1.00 | 0.018 | ||
| Intermediate | 15 | 1.40 | 0.49–3.99 | 2.33 | 0.76–7.15 | ||
| High | 39 | 2.31 | 1.13–4.73 | 2.99 | 1.40–6.39 | ||
BCT=breast conserving therapy; MST=mastectomy; RT=radiotherapy.
Independent factors for a shorter DRFP are positive nodal status, mastectomy with radiotherapy and intermediate/high CDK-based risk.