| Literature DB >> 19034286 |
H D Hosgood1, R Chapman, M Shen, A Blair, E Chen, T Zheng, K-M Lee, X He, Q Lan.
Abstract
Domestic fuel combustion from cooking and heating, to which about 3 billion people worldwide are exposed, is associated with increased lung cancer risk. Lung cancer incidence in Xuanwei is the highest in China, and the attributable risk of lung cancer from unvented smoky coal burning is greater than 90%. To evaluate any lung cancer mortality reduction after changing from unvented stoves to portable stoves, we used lifetime smoky coal users in a retrospective cohort of all farmers born during 1917-1951 and residing in Xuanwei in 1976. Of the 42,422 enrolled farmers, 4054 lifetime smoky coal users changed to portable stoves, 4364 did not change, and 1074 died of lung cancer. Lung cancer morality associated with stove change was assessed by product-limit survival curves and multivariate Cox regression models. Both men (P<0.0001) and women (P<0.0001) who changed to portable stoves had a significantly increased probability of survival compared with those who did not change. Portable stoves were associated with decreased risk of lung cancer mortality in male participants (hazard ratio (HR)=0.62, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.46-0.82) and female participants (HR=0.41, 95% CI=0.29-0.57). Portable stove use is associated with reduced lung cancer mortality risk, highlighting a cost-effective intervention that could substantially benefit health in developing countries.Entities:
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Year: 2008 PMID: 19034286 PMCID: PMC2600700 DOI: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6604744
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Br J Cancer ISSN: 0007-0920 Impact factor: 7.640
Lifetime smoky coal users by stove use history in Xuanwei, China, 1976–1996
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| Person-years | 60 322.77 | 78 195.92 | 138 518.69 |
| Age as of 1 January 1976 | 42.4 (±11.0) | 37.2 (±10.4) | 39.9 (±11.0) |
| Age at exit from follow-up | 56.2 (±9.9) | 56.2 (±9.4) | 56.3 (±9.7) |
| Lung cancer death, 1976–1996 | 810 (18.6%) | 264 (6.5%) | 1074 (12.8%) |
| Died without lung cancer during follow-up | 1483 (34.0%) | 510 (12.6%) | 1993 (23.7%) |
| Alive in 1996 | 2071 (47.5%) | 3280 (80.9%) | 5351 (63.6%) |
| Age at stove improvement | Not applicable | 32.5 (±12.8) | Not applicable |
| Time from stove improvement until exit from follow-up | Not applicable | 24.0 (±10.9) | Not applicable |
| People in household, first residence | 4.9 (±1.7) | 5.3 (±1.4) | 5.1 (±1.6) |
| Rooms in home, first residence | 1.5 (±0.8) | 1.4 (±0.7) | 1.4 (±0.7) |
| Han nationality | 4206 (96.4%) | 4004 (98.8%) | 8210 (97.5%) |
| Literate | 1323 (30.3%) | 1759 (43.4%) | 3082 (36.6%) |
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| Chronic bronchitis | 940 (21.5%) | 356 (8.8%) | 1296 (15.4%) |
| Emphysaema | 253 (5.8%) | 71 (1.8%) | 324 (3.9%) |
| Tuberculosis | 77 (1.8%) | 19 (0.5%) | 96 (1.1%) |
| People with ⩾7 waking hours indoors per day | 2170 (63.9%) | 1237 (42.6%) | 3407 (54.1%) |
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| Tons used lifetime | 160.0 (±57.8) | 144.1 (±53.7) | 152.3 (±56.4) |
| Tons used annually | 3.0 (±0.9) | 2.8 (±0.9) | 2.9 (±0.9) |
| | 694 (15.9%) | 1211 (29.9%) | 1905 (22.6%) |
| Coal miner | 167 (3.8%) | 18 (0.4%) | 185 (2.2%) |
| Driver | 24 (0.6%) | 34 (0.8%) | 58 (0.7%) |
| Construction worker | 141 (3.2%) | 407 (10.0%) | 548 (6.5%) |
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| Total included in analysis | 2303 (52.8%) | 2082 (51.4%) | 4385 (52.1%) |
| Person-years | 32 132.00 | 39 963.67 | 72 095.67 |
| Lung cancer in first-degree relatives | 140 (6.1%) | 194 (9.3%) | 334 (7.6%) |
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| Ever | 2040 (88.6%) | 1921 (92.3%) | 3961 (90.3%) |
| Years, in ever smokers | 35.2 (±10.7) | 34.5 (±9.6) | 34.9 (±10.2) |
| Age started, in ever smokers | 21.2 (±3.8) | 21.8 (±3.9) | 21.5 (±3.9) |
| Ever quit, in ever smokers | 35 (1.5%) | 43 (2.1%) | 78 (1.8%) |
| Filtered cigarettes per day, in ever smokers | 10.8 (±7.2) | 13.0 (±7.9) | 11.8 (±7.6) |
| Non-filtered cigarettes per day, in ever smokers | 13.2 (±6.0) | 15.5 (±5.8) | 14.5 (±6.0) |
| Dry pipes (cigars) per month, in ever smokers | 11.7 (±6.9) | 11.6 (±6.1) | 11.7 (±6.6) |
| Water pipes per month, in ever smokers | 6.7 (±4.9) | 6.5 (±8.2) | 6.7 (±5.7) |
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| Ever | 331 (14.4%) | 226 (10.9%) | 597 (13.6%) |
| Years, in ever cookers | 24.7 (±13.6) | 24.4 (±11.9) | 24.6 (±12.8) |
| Age started, in ever cookers | 25.3 (±14.0) | 27.6 (±11.9) | 26.3 (±13.1) |
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| Total included in analysis | 2061 (47.2%) | 1972 (48.6%) | 4033 (47.9%) |
| Person-years | 28 190.76 | 38 232.25 | 66 423.01 |
| Lung cancer in first-degree relatives | 92 (4.5%) | 136 (6.9%) | 228 (5.7%) |
| Ever smoked tobacco | 16 (0.8%) | 6 (0.3%) | 22 (0.5%) |
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| Ever | 1992 (96.7%) | 1934 (98.1%) | 3926 (97.3%) |
| Years, in ever cookers | 34.6 (±10.4) | 32.1 (±9.9) | 33.4 (±10.2) |
| Age started, in ever cookers | 16.8 (±4.4) | 18.7 (±3.1) | 17.8 (±4.0) |
Through age 20 years.
Percentages by gender.
Figure 1Product-limit survival curves for probability of lung cancer mortality for those who changed to a portable stove compared with those with no change.
Cox model HR and 95% CI for lung cancer mortality in lifetime smoky coal users in Xuanwei, China, 1976–1996a
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| No stove change | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| Stove change | 0.52 (0.41–0.64) | <0.0001 | 0.62 (0.46–0.82) | 0.001 | 0.41 (0.29–0.57) | <0.0001 |
| Used annual average <2 tons of smoky coal | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| Used annual average ⩾2 to <3 tons of fuel | 1.61 (1.27–2.03) | <0.0001 | 1.27 (0.93–1.73) | 0.133 | 2.07 (1.43–3.00) | 0.0001 |
| Used annual average ⩾3 to <4 tons of fuel | 2.19 (1.73–2.79) | <0.0001 | 1.77 (1.29–2.43) | 0.0004 | 2.70 (1.85–3.93) | <0.0001 |
| Used annual average ⩾4 tons of fuel | 2.37 (1.84–3.06) | <0.0001 | 1.69 (1.21–2.38) | 0.002 | 3.32 (2.24–4.92) | <0.0001 |
| No lung cancer in spouse | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| Lung cancer in spouse | 1.77 (1.43–2.18) | <0.0001 | 1.47 (1.07–2.02) | 0.019 | 2.12 (1.60–2.82) | <0.0001 |
| No lung cancer in parents, siblings, and children | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| Lung cancer in parents, siblings, and children | 1.36 (1.08–1.70) | 0.008 | 1.48 (1.10–1.99) | 0.010 | 1.20 (0.85–1.69) | 0.311 |
| No history of COPD | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| History of COPD | 1.24 (1.08–1.43) | 0.003 | 1.33 (1.10–1.62) | 0.004 | 1.19 (0.97–1.46) | 0.103 |
| No history of tuberculosis | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| History of tuberculosis | 1.38 (0.80–2.39) | 0.252 | 1.95 (0.96–3.95) | 0.065 | 0.89 (0.37–2.15) | 0.789 |
| <7 waking hours indoors per day, until 20 years old | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| ⩾7 waking hours indoors per day, until 20 years old | 1.11 (0.98–1.26) | 0.089 | 1.03 (0.86–1.23) | 0.747 | 1.21 (1.02–1.45) | 0.034 |
| Average of <2 rooms in all houses throughout life | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| Average of ⩾2 rooms in all houses throughout life | 1.10 (0.97–1.25) | 0.155 | 1.18 (0.98–1.42) | 0.075 | 1.03 (0.85–1.24) | 0.755 |
| Illiterate | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| Literate | 1.19 (1.02–1.38) | 0.023 | 1.15 (0.95–1.39) | 0.146 | 1.27 (0.97–1.65) | 0.082 |
| Never coal miner | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | Not applicable | |||
| Ever coal miner | 3.34 (2.56–4.36) | <0.0001 | 3.39 (2.57–4.47) | <0.0001 | Not applicable | |
| <20 years of smoking | 1.00 (reference) | 1.00 (reference) | Not applicable | |||
| ⩾20 years of pipe smoking | 0.86 (0.69–1.08) | 0.197 | 0.84 (0.64–1.11) | 0.223 | Not applicable | |
| 20–40 years of cigarette smoking | 1.21 (0.96–1.53) | 0.114 | 1.22 (0.91–1.63) | 0.179 | Not applicable | |
| ⩾40 years of cigarette smoking | 1.42 (1.04–1.94) | 0.027 | 1.44 (0.99–2.09) | 0.054 | Not applicable | |
| Never cooked | Not applicable | 1.00 (reference) | Not applicable | |||
| Ever cooked | Not applicable | 0.94 (0.73–1.22) | 0.650 | Not applicable | ||
| <20 years of cooking | 1.00 (reference) | Not applicable | 1.00 (reference) | |||
| 20–40 years of cooking | 1.27 (1.03–1.55) | 0.023 | Not applicable | 1.45 (0.91–2.32) | 0.121 | |
| ⩾40 years of cooking | 1.44 (1.12–1.86) | 0.004 | Not applicable | 1.53 (0.92–2.54) | 0.103 | |
CIs=confidence intervals; HRs=hazard ratios.
Cox models include the time-dependent variables for change to portable stove, average tons of fuel used annually (2–<3 tons, 3–<4 tons, ⩾4 tons, compared with <2 tons), years of smoking (20–40 years, ⩾40 years, compared with <20 years), and years of cooking (20–40 years, ⩾40 years, compared with <20 years), along with dummy variables for history of spousal lung cancer (yes vs no), family history of lung cancer (parents, siblings, or children) (yes vs no), history of chronic bronchitis (yes vs no), history of tuberculosis (yes vs no), number of hours spent indoors until the age of 20 years (<7 vs ⩾7 h), average number of rooms in all households throughout life (<2 rooms vs ⩾2 rooms), educational status (illiterate vs literate), and history of working as a miner (yes vs no). Sex-specific Cox-regression models include the same covariates, as well as, history of ever cooking (ever vs never) in men. Birth cohort effects are controlled by stratification within the model by 5-year intervals (born during 1917–1921, 1922–1926, 1927–1931, 1932–1936, 1937–1941, 1942–1946, and 1947–1951).