PURPOSE: We estimated lifetime risk and age-conditional risk of being diagnosed with HIV in 33 states with name-based HIV reporting. METHODS: We used vital statistics data on general and HIV-specific mortality, census data, and HIV surveillance data to calculate cross-sectional, period-specific (2004-2005), and age-specific probabilities of an HIV diagnosis. The probabilities were applied to a hypothetical cohort of 10 million live births, and estimates were derived for the lifetime risk, from birth, of being diagnosed with HIV. RESULTS: The estimated lifetime risk of being diagnosed with HIV was 1.87% for males (95% confidence limit: 1.86 to 1.89) or 1 in 53 males and 0.71% for females (95% confidence limit: 0.70-0.72) or 1 in 141 females. Blacks and Hispanics experienced higher estimated lifetime risk of HIV than whites: 6.23% or 1 in 16 for blacks, 2.88% or 1 in 35 for Hispanics, 0.96% or 1 in 104 for white males; 3.29% or 1 in 30 for blacks, 0.88% or 1 in 114 for Hispanics, and 0.17% or 1 in 588 for white females. The highest risk of HIV diagnosis was observed among people in their 30s. CONCLUSIONS: These estimates may help to communicate the risk of HIV infection to affected communities, increase public awareness, and promote early detection and prevention efforts for HIV.
PURPOSE: We estimated lifetime risk and age-conditional risk of being diagnosed with HIV in 33 states with name-based HIV reporting. METHODS: We used vital statistics data on general and HIV-specific mortality, census data, and HIV surveillance data to calculate cross-sectional, period-specific (2004-2005), and age-specific probabilities of an HIV diagnosis. The probabilities were applied to a hypothetical cohort of 10 million live births, and estimates were derived for the lifetime risk, from birth, of being diagnosed with HIV. RESULTS: The estimated lifetime risk of being diagnosed with HIV was 1.87% for males (95% confidence limit: 1.86 to 1.89) or 1 in 53 males and 0.71% for females (95% confidence limit: 0.70-0.72) or 1 in 141 females. Blacks and Hispanics experienced higher estimated lifetime risk of HIV than whites: 6.23% or 1 in 16 for blacks, 2.88% or 1 in 35 for Hispanics, 0.96% or 1 in 104 for white males; 3.29% or 1 in 30 for blacks, 0.88% or 1 in 114 for Hispanics, and 0.17% or 1 in 588 for white females. The highest risk of HIV diagnosis was observed among people in their 30s. CONCLUSIONS: These estimates may help to communicate the risk of HIV infection to affected communities, increase public awareness, and promote early detection and prevention efforts for HIV.
Authors: J A Catania; M M Dolcini; G W Harper; D P Dowhower; L G Dolcini-Catania; S L Towner; A Timmons; D N Motley; D H Tyler Journal: Transl Behav Med Date: 2015-06-09 Impact factor: 3.046
Authors: Joseph A Catania; M Margaret Dolcini; Gary W Harper; E Roberto Orellana; Donald H Tyler; April Timmons; Darnell Motley; Luciano G Dolcini-Catania; Senna L Towner Journal: Am J Public Health Date: 2015-04-23 Impact factor: 9.308
Authors: Adedeji S Adefuye; Titilayo C Abiona; Joseph A Balogun; Mainza Lukobo-Durrell Journal: BMC Public Health Date: 2009-08-04 Impact factor: 3.295
Authors: Stephanie L Sansom; Vimalanand S Prabhu; Angela B Hutchinson; Qian An; H Irene Hall; Ram K Shrestha; Arielle Lasry; Allan W Taylor Journal: PLoS One Date: 2010-01-18 Impact factor: 3.240