Literature DB >> 18926994

Randomness in retrospect: exploring the interactions between memory and randomness cognition.

Christopher Y Olivola1, Daniel M Oppenheimer.   

Abstract

People tend to believe that sequences of random events produce fewer and shorter streaks than is actually the case. Although this error has been demonstrated repeatedly and in many forms, nearly all studies of randomness cognition have focused on how people think about random events occurring in the present or future. This article examines how our biased beliefs about randomness interact with properties of memory to influence our judgments about and memory for past random events. We explore this interaction by examining how beliefs about randomness affect our memory for random events and how certain properties of memory alter our tendency to categorize events as random. Across three experiments, we demonstrate an interaction between randomness cognition and three well-established but distinct properties of memory: (1) the reconstructive nature of memory, (2) primacy and recency effects, and (3) duration neglect. Theoretical and practical implications are discussed.

Entities:  

Mesh:

Year:  2008        PMID: 18926994     DOI: 10.3758/PBR.15.5.991

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Psychon Bull Rev        ISSN: 1069-9384


  4 in total

1.  What to do on spring break? The role of predicted, on-line, and remembered experience in future choice.

Authors:  Derrick Wirtz; Justin Kruger; Christie Napa Scollon; Ed Diener
Journal:  Psychol Sci       Date:  2003-09

2.  The hot hand fallacy and the gambler's fallacy: two faces of subjective randomness?

Authors:  Peter Ayton; Ilan Fischer
Journal:  Mem Cognit       Date:  2004-12

3.  Duration neglect in retrospective evaluations of affective episodes.

Authors:  B L Fredrickson; D Kahneman
Journal:  J Pers Soc Psychol       Date:  1993-07

4.  Random generation and the executive control of working memory.

Authors:  A Baddeley; H Emslie; J Kolodny; J Duncan
Journal:  Q J Exp Psychol A       Date:  1998-11
  4 in total
  4 in total

1.  Impulsivity, gambling cognitions, and the gambler's fallacy in university students.

Authors:  Harvey H C Marmurek; Jessica Switzer; Joshua D'Alvise
Journal:  J Gambl Stud       Date:  2015-03

2.  Extending the two faces of subjective randomness: From the gambler's and hot-hand fallacies toward a hierarchy of binary sequence perception.

Authors:  Ilan Fischer; Lior Savranevski
Journal:  Mem Cognit       Date:  2015-10

3.  A re-examination of "bias" in human randomness perception.

Authors:  Paul A Warren; Umberto Gostoli; George D Farmer; Wael El-Deredy; Ulrike Hahn
Journal:  J Exp Psychol Hum Percept Perform       Date:  2017-10-23       Impact factor: 3.332

4.  Latching dynamics as a basis for short-term recall.

Authors:  Kwang Il Ryom; Vezha Boboeva; Oleksandra Soldatkina; Alessandro Treves
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2021-09-15       Impact factor: 4.475

  4 in total

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