| Literature DB >> 18847481 |
Alexander Becker1, Alexander W Leber, Christoph Becker, Franz von Ziegler, Janine Tittus, Ines Schroeder, Gerhard Steinbeck, Andreas Knez.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To establish an efficient prophylaxis of coronary artery disease reliable risk stratification is crucial, especially in the high risk population of patients suffering from diabetes mellitus. This prospective study determined the predictive value of coronary calcifications for future cardiovascular events in asymptomatic patients with diabetes mellitus.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2008 PMID: 18847481 PMCID: PMC2569906 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2261-8-27
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Cardiovasc Disord ISSN: 1471-2261 Impact factor: 2.298
Baseline characteristics of 716 patients included in the study
| all | men | women | |
| number (n) | 716 | 430 | 286 |
| age (years) | 55.2 ± 15.2 | 55.5 ± 15.2 | 54.8 ± 15.2 |
| no additional risk factor, n (%) | 143 (20) | 83 (20) | 60 (21) |
| arterial hypertension, n (%) | 372 (52) | 249 (58) | 123 (43) |
| treated, BP < 140/90 n (%) | 125 (17) | 77 (18) | 48 (17) |
| treated, BP > 140/90 n (%) | 140 (20) | 96 (22) | 44 (15) |
| untreated, BP > 140/90 n (%) | 107 (15) | 76 (18) | 31 (11) |
| hyperlipidemia or statin therapy, n (%) | 301 (42) | 184 (44) | 117 (41) |
| statin therapy, cholesterol < 5 mmol/l n (%) | 99 (14) | 61 (14) | 38 (13) |
| statin therapy, cholesterol > 5 mmol/l n (%) | 124 (17) | 70 (16) | 54 (19) |
| untreated, cholesterol > 5 mmol/l n (%) | 78 (11) | 53 (12) | 25 (9) |
| MI in family history, n (%) | 451 (63) | 271 (63) | 186 (65) |
| smoking, n (%) | 243 (34) | 151 (35) | 94 (33) |
| HbA1c (%) | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.5 |
| average number of risk factors | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| body mass index (kg/m2) | 27.1 ± 6.1 | 28.3 ± 5.8 | 25.0 ± 4.9 |
| duration of Diabetes (years) | 6.5 ± 2.3 | 6.4 ± 2.2 | 6.6 ± 2.3 |
| microalbuminuria n (%) | 64 (9) | 41 (9) | 23 (8) |
| proteinuria n (%) | 41 (6) | 25 (6) | 16 (6) |
| peripheral neuropathy n (%) | 104 (15) | 60 (14) | 44 (15) |
| retinopathy n (%) | 145 (20) | 90 (21) | 55 (19) |
| atrial fibrillation n (%) | 95 (13) | 61 (14) | 24 (12) |
| insulin only n (%) | 105 (15) | 62 (15) | 43 (15) |
| insulin + oral agent n (%) | 109 (15) | 70 (16) | 39 (14) |
| oral agent only n (%) | 502 (70) | 298 (69) | 204 (71) |
Event rates for coronary revascularisation (CR), myocardial infarction (MI), and cardiac death (CD) in all patients, patients with Agatston score 0, and Agatston score above 400: Total number of events during observation period and annualised rate
| All patients | no event | CR | MI + CD | all events | ||||
| n | n | n | % per year | n | % per year | n | % per year | |
| Patients (n) | 716 | 553 | 87 | 1.5 | 76 | 1.3 | 163 | 2.8 |
| men (n) | 430 | 332 | 53 | 1.5 | 45 | 1.3 | 98 | 2.8 |
| Women (n) | 286 | 224 | 31 | 1.3 | 31 | 1.3 | 62 | 2.7 |
| Score 0 | 107 | 105 | 2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.2 |
| Score > 400 | 302 | 165 | 71 | 2.9 * | 66 | 2.7 * | 137 | 5.6 * |
| number of risk factors | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | |||
| age (years) | 55.7 ± 13.0 | 55.3 ± 13.2 | 57.4 ± 12.4 | 56.9 ± 13.1 | 57.1 ± 12.9 | |||
| Agatston score | 288 ± 153 | 236 ± 199 | 447 ± 228 * | 475 ± 208 * | 459 ± 219 * | |||
| Framingham risk score | 9.6 ± 3.4 | 8.6 ± 3.4 | 13.1 ± 3.9 * | 13.7 ± 4.1 * | 13.3 ± 3.8 * | |||
| UKPDS Score | 9.6 ± 2.8 | 8.4 ± 3.6 | 13.7 ± 4.0 * | 14.0 ± 4.3 * | 13.8 ± 4.1 * | |||
Score parameters (UKPDS score, Framingham score, and Agatston score) in patients with and without cardiovascular events * indicates a significant higher event rate and a significant difference in score, respectively, † indicates a significant lower event rate (p < 0.05) compared to the event rate in all patients (first row).
Figure 1Cox proportional hazards survival curves showing the cumulative event free survival for patients with scores from 0–10, 11–100, 101–400, and above 400.
Figure 2Risk stratification according to UKPDS score, Framingham score, and Agatston score in patients suffering from myocardial infarction (n = 76).
Univariable Cox proportional hazards model predicting the combined primary endpoint myocardial infarction and cardiac death (MI and CD) in dependence of cardiovascular risk factors and Agatston scores above the 75. percentile
| relative risk | 95% CI | p value | |
| no risk factors | 1 | - | - |
| arterial hypertension | 2.47 * | 2.21–2.81 | 0.005 |
| smoking | 2.14 * | 2.01–2.33 | 0.005 |
| hyperlipidemia | 2.75 * | 2.49–3.19 | 0.006 |
| microalbuminuria | 1.36 | 1.30–1.47 | 0.151 |
| proteinuria | 1.71 * | 1.56–1.97 | 0.018 |
| familiy history | 1.45 * | 1.28–1.73 | 0.012 |
| duration of diabetes | 1.51 | 1.39–1.69 | 0.013 |
| retinopathy | 1.76 * | 1.60–2.04 | 0.013 |
| HbA1C | 1.89 * | 1.69–2.19 | 0.009 |
| Framingham risk score | 6.0 * | 4.9–7.8 | 0.004 |
| UKPDS Score | 7.1 * | 6.0–8.9 | 0.003 |
| Agatston score > 400 | 14.2 * | 12.7–16.8 | 0.001 |
* indicates a significant difference (p < 0.05) compared to the patient group without cardiovascular risk factors and without coronary calcifications, respectively.
Cox proportional hazards model predicting the combined primary endpoint (MI and CD) in different score groups for men a) and women b) adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors
| a) men | |||||
| Score | number of events | number of patients | event rate (%) | hazard ratio (95% CI) | p value |
| 0–10 | 2 | 63 | 3.1 | 1 | |
| 11–100 | 8 | 80 | 10.0 | 1.9 (1.5–2.5) * | 0.04 |
| 101 – 400 | 23 | 86 | 26.7 | 5.4 (4.5–7.0) * | 0.02 |
| > 400 | 66 | 201 | 32.8 | 9.5 (8.0–11.9) * | 0.01 |
| All | 99 | 430 | 10.8 | ||
| b) women | |||||
| Score | number of events | number of patients | event rate (%) | hazard ratio (95% CI) | p value |
| 0–10 | 1 | 74 | 2.8 | 1 | |
| 11–100 | 5 | 82 | 6.1 | 1.6 (1.1–2.3) * | 0.02 |
| 101 – 400 | 22 | 60 | 36.7 | 5.2 (4.0–6.9) * | 0.02 |
| > 400 | 35 | 70 | 50.0 | 14.1 (12.0–16.8) * | 0.01 |
| All | 62 | 286 | 9.9 | ||
* indicates a significant difference (p < 0.05) compared to the patient group without coronary calcifications.
Figure 3ROC curves and area under the curve of UKPDS score, Framingham score, and Agatston score for the prediction of myocardial infarction.