| Literature DB >> 18786275 |
Agnès Waret-Szkuta1, François Roger, David Chavernac, Laikemariam Yigezu, Geneviève Libeau, Dirk U Pfeiffer, Javier Guitián.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) is a contagious viral disease of small ruminants in Africa and Asia. In 1999, probably the largest survey on PPR ever conducted in Africa was initiated in Ethiopia where 13 651 serum samples from 7 out of the 11 regions were collected and analyzed by competitive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (cELISA). The objective of this paper is to present the results of this survey and discuss their practical implications for PPR-endemic regions.Entities:
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Year: 2008 PMID: 18786275 PMCID: PMC2561016 DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-4-34
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Vet Res ISSN: 1746-6148 Impact factor: 2.741
Structure of the different administrative levels of sampling
| Total | 7 | 84 | ||
| Mode | 9 | 5 | 5 | |
| Average | 12.14 | 4.98* | 4.45** | |
| Range | 8 – 19 | 2 – 9 | 1 – 5 |
*average number of kebelle per wereda where kebelle level was available
**average number of villages per kebelle where village level was available
The table shows the 4 administrative levels of sampling in the 1999 national serological survey on PPR in Ethiopia. The first level of selection was the region with 7 regions selected. Within each of the regions weredas, kebelles and villages were randomly selected. For each level the mode, average and range of units included in the above administrative level are presented.
List of relevant variables included in the database along with the number of observations available
| Region | 13 651 | 100 |
| | 13 613 | 99.7 |
| | 9 328 | 68.3 |
| Village | 980 | 7.2 |
| 13 651 | 100 | |
| 4 648 | 34 | |
| 5 868 | 43 | |
| OD | 13 651 | 100 |
| PI | 13 651 | 100 |
| Interpretation | 13 651 | 100 |
a: categories defined in Table 4
For each variable recorded during the 1999 serological survey on PPR in Ethiopia and stored in the database, the number of samples for which information was recorded and the % out of the total number of samples it represents are shown.
Prevalence of PPR in the seven surveyed regions
| Afar | 1653 (12.1%) | 15.3% (13.6–17.0) |
| Amhara | 5992 (43.9%) | 4.6% (4.0–5.1) |
| Benishangul Gumuz | 729 (5.3%) | 8.0% (6.0–9.9) |
| Oromia | 2290 (16.8%) | 1.7% (1.2–2.2) |
| SNNPR | 1622 (11.9%) | 1.8% (1.1–2.4) |
| Somali | 465 (3.4%) | 21.3% (17.6–25.0) |
| Tigray | 900 (6.6%) | 15.3% (13.6–15.9) |
| Total | 13651 (100%) | 6.4% (6.0–6.8) |
Number of samples collected and prevalence of PPR in each of the surveyed regions. In brackets: % of the whole survey they represent and 95% confidence intervals.
Figure 1Seroprevalence of PPR across wereda in Ethiopia. Administrative map of Ethiopia indicating the regions and weredas boundaries. For each wereda seroprevalence of PPR was calculated by dividing the number of positive valid samples by the number of individual sampled in the wereda. As the colour gets browner higher is the seroprevalence found in the area. In grey, wereda for which no data was available.
Descriptive statistics of qualitative variables and univariate associations with seropositive status against PPR (two-tailed P-values for the χ2 – test of association).
| 13 651 | 100 | < 0.001 | |||
| Sheep | 4 211 | 31 | 8.3 | ||
| Goats | 4 585 | 33.5 | 9.4 | ||
| Shoats* | 4 855 | 35.5 | 1.9 | ||
| Not available | 1 000 | 10 | |||
| 4 648 | 34 | 0.003 | |||
| Under 1 year old | 41 | 0.9 | 0 | ||
| Between 1 and 2 years old | 392 | 8.4 | 10.5 | ||
| Between 2 and 3 years old | 2 014 | 43.3 | 9.7 | ||
| Over 3 years old | 2 201 | 47.4 | 12.6 | ||
| Not available | 9 003 | 66 | |||
| 5 868 | 43 | 0.013 | |||
| Males | 1 007 | 17.2 | 7.0 | ||
| Females | 4 861 | 82.8 | 9.4 | ||
| Not available | 7 783 | 57 | |||
* Sheep and goats not being distinguished
Results of 2-tailed chi-squared tests of the hypothesis that species, age group and sex differed between positive and negative animals. A description of each variable is presented including the number and % of each category in the sampled population and the % of positive. The proportions of seropositive animals significantly differ between species, age groups and sex categories (P-value (P) < 0.05).
Results of a logistic regression of sex, age and species on serological status against PPR with wereda as random effect.
| male | ref | ||
| female | 1.15 | 0.37 | 0.85–1.54 |
| < 2 | ref | ||
| 2 – 3 | 1.27 | 0.23 | 0.86–1.88 |
| > 3 | 1.78 | < 0.01 | 1.20–2.62 |
| sheep | ref | ||
| goat | 1.08 | 0.50 | 0.86–1.35 |
| shoat | 1.42 | 0.51 | 0.50–4.04 |
Results of the logistic regression model used to assess the association between the potential risk factors sex, age and species and the outcome variable PPR serological status. Wereda is included as a random effect to account for clustering within weredas. The only factor significantly associated with the odds of positive serological status is the age of the animal (P < 0.01). Animals over 3 years old have almost twice the odds of been positive than animals under 2 years old.
Figure 2Distribution of the correlation coefficient (ρ) across wereda. Histogram showing the values of the intra-cluster correlation coefficient calculated for 43 weredas for which information about the kebelle of origin of the samples was available as indicated in the Methods section. Two groups can be distinguished: one including almost 80% of the weredas with low values of ρ (ρ < 0.12) and the other with 9.3% of the weredas showing a strong intracluster correlation (ρ > 0.37).
Figure 3Distribution of wereda ρ values across Ethiopia in 1999. Geographical distribution of the values for the intra-cluster correlation coefficient (ρ) by wereda. The red is more intense in the weredas with a higher value for ρ.