Waiting for placement: an exploratory analysis of determinants of delayed discharges of elderly hospital patients.

This article examines the causes of delayed hospital discharge for 3,111 patients waiting for alternative placement in 80 North Carolina acute care general hospitals during May 1989. Almost all of the patients were elderly: their average age was 77. Delay is defined as the period between the day a patient was judged medically ready for discharge by a discharge planner and the day the patient was discharged (or May 31 if unplaced). The average delay was 16.7 days. The policy-relevant patient characteristics associated with delay are requirement for heavy care, race, source of reimbursement, and whether or not there was a financial problem in arranging discharge. The patient's age and whether or not a problem with behavior or family cooperativeness was noted also were predictors. Along with patient characteristics, hospital features such as bed size, occupancy rate, and total revenues were correlated with delay. Local nursing and rest home (domiciliary) bed supply were insignificant predictors, possibly because of their limited variance: the number of nursing home beds in all North Carolina counties is below the national mean; the number of rest home beds exceeds it. The conclusion reached is that the delay problem warrants more intensive analysis, particularly regarding financial problems encountered at discharge, and race. Guidelines for such an endeavor are provided. Further, there is a need to recognize the increasing preponderance of a new type of heavy care patient via more appropriate reimbursement levels and "transitional care" services.