Literature DB >> 18647448

Improving the estimation of tuberculosis infection prevalence using T-cell-based assay and mixture models.

M Pai1, N Dendukuri, L Wang, R Joshi, S Kalantri, H L Rieder.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is traditionally estimated using the tuberculin skin test (TST). Highly specific blood-based interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs) are now available and could enhance the estimation of LTBI prevalence in combination with model-based methods.
DESIGN: We compared conventional and model-based methods for estimating LTBI prevalence among 719 Indian health care workers who underwent both TST and QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT-G). In addition to using standard cut-off points on TST and QFT-G, Bayesian mixture model analyses were performed with: 1) continuous TST data and 2) categorical data using both TST and QFT-G results in a latent class analysis (LCA), accounting for prior information on sensitivity and specificity.
RESULTS: Estimates of LTBI prevalence varied from 33.8% to 60.7%, depending on the method used. The mixture model based on TST alone estimated the prevalence at 36.5% (95%CI 28.5-47.0). When results from both tests were combined using LCA, the prevalence was 45.4% (95%CI 39.5-51.1). The LCA provided additional results on the sensitivity, specificity and predictive values of joint results.
CONCLUSION: The availability of novel, specific IGRAs and development of methods such as mixture analyses allow a more realistic and informative approach to prevalence estimation.

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Year:  2008        PMID: 18647448      PMCID: PMC2951984     

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Int J Tuberc Lung Dis        ISSN: 1027-3719            Impact factor:   2.373


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Authors:  Madhukar Pai; Kaustubh Gokhale; Rajnish Joshi; Sandeep Dogra; Shriprakash Kalantri; Deepak K Mendiratta; Pratibha Narang; Charles L Daley; Reuben M Granich; Gerald H Mazurek; Arthur L Reingold; Lee W Riley; John M Colford
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