Literature DB >> 18487176

Economics. The promise of prediction markets.

Kenneth J Arrow1, Robert Forsythe, Michael Gorham, Robert Hahn, Robin Hanson, John O Ledyard, Saul Levmore, Robert Litan, Paul Milgrom, Forrest D Nelson, George R Neumann, Marco Ottaviani, Thomas C Schelling, Robert J Shiller, Vernon L Smith, Erik Snowberg, Cass R Sunstein, Paul C Tetlock, Philip E Tetlock, Hal R Varian, Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz.   

Abstract

Year:  2008        PMID： 18487176     DOI： 10.1126/science.1157679

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Science        ISSN： 0036-8075            Impact factor:   47.728


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  25 in total

1.  Using prediction markets to estimate the reproducibility of scientific research.

Authors:  Anna Dreber; Thomas Pfeiffer; Johan Almenberg; Siri Isaksson; Brad Wilson; Yiling Chen; Brian A Nosek; Magnus Johannesson
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2015-11-09       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  Price dynamics in political prediction markets.

Authors:  Saikat Ray Majumder; Daniel Diermeier; Thomas A Rietz; Luís A Nunes Amaral
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2009-01-20       Impact factor: 11.205

3.  How psychological framing affects economic market prices in the lab and field.

Authors:  Ulrich Sonnemann; Colin F Camerer; Craig R Fox; Thomas Langer
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2013-07-01       Impact factor: 11.205

4.  A solution to the single-question crowd wisdom problem.

Authors:  Dražen Prelec; H Sebastian Seung; John McCoy
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2017-01-25       Impact factor: 49.962

5.  Optimal incentives for collective intelligence.

Authors:  Richard P Mann; Dirk Helbing
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-05-01       Impact factor: 11.205

6.  Decision accuracy in complex environments is often maximized by small group sizes.

Authors:  Albert B Kao; Iain D Couzin
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2014-04-23       Impact factor: 5.349

7.  Boosting medical diagnostics by pooling independent judgments.

Authors:  Ralf H J M Kurvers; Stefan M Herzog; Ralph Hertwig; Jens Krause; Patricia A Carney; Andy Bogart; Giuseppe Argenziano; Iris Zalaudek; Max Wolf
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2016-07-18       Impact factor: 11.205

8.  Bayesian markets to elicit private information.

Authors:  Aurélien Baillon
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-07-10       Impact factor: 11.205

9.  Individuals fail to reap the collective benefits of diversity because of over-reliance on personal information.

Authors:  Alan Novaes Tump; Max Wolf; Jens Krause; Ralf H J M Kurvers
Journal:  J R Soc Interface       Date:  2018-05       Impact factor: 4.118

10.  An experiment on prediction markets in science.

Authors:  Johan Almenberg; Ken Kittlitz; Thomas Pfeiffer
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2009-12-30       Impact factor: 3.240
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