Risk of Parkinson disease in carriers of parkin mutations: estimation using the kin-cohort method.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the risk of Parkinson disease (PD) in individuals with mutations in the Parkin gene.
DESIGN: We assessed point mutations and exon deletions and duplications in the Parkin gene in 247 probands with PD (age at onset < or =50 years) and 104 control probands enrolled in the Genetic Epidemiology of Parkinson's Disease (GEPD) study. For each first-degree relative, a consensus diagnosis of PD was established. The probability that each relative carried a mutation was estimated from the proband's Parkin carrier status using Mendelian principles and from the relationship of the relative to the proband.
SETTING: Tertiary care movement disorders center. Patients Cases, controls, and their first-degree relatives were enrolled in the GEPD study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Estimated age-specific penetrance in first-degree relatives.
RESULTS: Parkin mutations were identified in 25 probands with PD (10.1%), 18 (72.0%) of whom were heterozygotes. One Parkin homozygote was reported in 2 siblings with PD. The cumulative incidence of PD to age 65 years in carrier relatives (age-specific penetrance) was estimated to be 7.0% (95% confidence interval, 0.4%-71.9%), compared with 1.7% (95% confidence interval, 0.8%-3.4%) in noncarrier relatives of the cases (P = .59) and 1.1% (95% confidence interval, 0.3%-3.4%) in relatives of the controls (compared with noncarrier relatives, P = .52).
CONCLUSIONS: The cumulative risk of PD to age 65 years in a noncarrier relative of a case with an age at onset of 50 years or younger is not significantly greater than the general population risk among controls. Age-specific penetrance among Parkin carriers, in particular heterozygotes, deserves further study.