Literature DB >> 18271351

Size doesn't really matter: ambiguity aversion in Ellsberg urns with few balls.

Briony D Pulford1, Andrew M Colman.   

Abstract

When attempting to draw a ball of a specified color either from an urn containing 50 red balls and 50 black balls or from an urn containing an unknown ratio of 100 red and black balls, a majority of decision makers prefer the known-risk urn, and this ambiguity aversion effect violates expected utility theory. In an experimental investigation of the effect of urn size on ambiguity aversion, 149 participants showed similar levels of aversion when choosing from urns containing 2, 10, or 100 balls. The occurrence of a substantial and significant ambiguity aversion effect even in the smallest urn suggests that influential theoretical interpretations of ambiguity aversion may need to be reconsidered.

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Year:  2008        PMID: 18271351     DOI: 10.1027/1618-3169.55.1.31

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Exp Psychol        ISSN: 1618-3169


  5 in total

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Journal:  Nat Rev Neurosci       Date:  2012-07-11       Impact factor: 34.870

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3.  Neural activity associated with the passive prediction of ambiguity and risk for aversive events.

Authors:  Dominik R Bach; Ben Seymour; Raymond J Dolan
Journal:  J Neurosci       Date:  2009-02-11       Impact factor: 6.167

4.  Does ambiguity aversion influence the framing effect during decision making?

Authors:  Anaïs Osmont; Mathieu Cassotti; Marine Agogué; Olivier Houdé; Sylvain Moutier
Journal:  Psychon Bull Rev       Date:  2015-04

5.  Decision-Making under Ambiguity Is Modulated by Visual Framing, but Not by Motor vs. Non-Motor Context. Experiments and an Information-Theoretic Ambiguity Model.

Authors:  Jordi Grau-Moya; Pedro A Ortega; Daniel A Braun
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2016-04-28       Impact factor: 3.240

  5 in total

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