Modeling the formation of trihalomethanes in drinking waters of Lebanon.

The current research aims at developing predictive models for trihalomethane (THM) formation in Lebanon based on field-scale investigations as well as laboratory controlled experimentations. Statistical analysis on field data revealed significant correlations for TTHM with chlorine dose, Specific UV-A, and UV(254) absorbing organics. Simulated distribution system-THM tests showed significant correlations with applied chlorine dose, total organic carbon, bromides, contact time, and temperature. Predictive models, formulated using multiple regression approaches, exhibiting the highest coefficients of determination were quadratic for the directly after chlorination (DAC; r(2) = 0.39, p < 0.036) and network (r(2) = 0.33, p < 0.064) THM databases, and logarithmic for the laboratory simulated THM database (r(2) = 0.70, p < 0.001). Computed r(2) values implied low correlations for the DAC and network THM database, and high correlation for the laboratory simulated THM database. Significance of the models were at the 0.05 level for DAC database, 0.10 level for the network database, and very high (<0.01 level) for the laboratory simulated THM database. It is noteworthy to mention that no previous attempts to assess, monitor, and predict THM concentrations in public drinking water have been reported for the country although a large fraction of the population consumes chlorinated public drinking water.