| Literature DB >> 17850648 |
Richard E Paul1, Sarah Bonnet, Christian Boudin, Timoleon Tchuinkam, Vincent Robert.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Despite a long history of attempts to model malaria epidemiology, the over-riding conclusion is that a detailed understanding of host-parasite interactions leading to immunity is required. It is still not known what governs the duration of an infection and how within-human parasite dynamics relate to malaria epidemiology. PRESENTATION OF THE HYPOTHESIS: Immunity to Plasmodium falciparum develops slowly and requires repeated exposure to the parasite, which thus generates age-structure in the host-parasite interaction. An age-structured degree of immunity would present the parasite with humans of highly variable quality. Evolutionary theory suggests that natural selection will mould adaptive phenotypes that are more precise (less variant) in "high quality" habitats, where lifetime reproductive success is best. Variability in malaria parasite gametocyte density is predicted to be less variable in those age groups who best infect mosquitoes. Thus, the extent to which variation in gametocyte density is a simple parasite phenotype reflecting the complex within-host parasite dynamics is addressed. TESTING THE HYPOTHESIS: Gametocyte densities and corresponding infectiousness to mosquitoes from published data sets and studies in both rural and urban Cameroon are analysed. The mean and variation in gametocyte density according to age group are considered and compared with transmission success (proportion of mosquitoes infected). Across a wide range of settings endemic for malaria, the age group that infected most mosquitoes had the least variation in gametocyte density, i.e. there was a significant relationship between the variance rather than the mean gametocyte density and age-specific parasite transmission success. In these settings, the acquisition of immunity over time was evident as a decrease in asexual parasite densities with age. By contrast, in an urban setting, there were no such age-structured relationships either with variation in gametocyte density or asexual parasite density. IMPLICATIONS OF THE HYPOTHESIS: Gametocyte production is seemingly predicted by evolutionary theory, insofar as a reproductive phenotype (gametocyte density) is most precisely expressed (i.e. is most invariant) in the most infectious human age group. This human age group would thus be expected to be the habitat most suitable for the parasite. Comprehension of the immuno-epidemiology of malaria, a requisite for any vaccine strategies, remains poor. Immunological characterization of the human population stratified by parasite gametocyte allocation would be a step forward in identifying the salient immunological pathways of what makes a human a good habitat.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2007 PMID: 17850648 PMCID: PMC2040156 DOI: 10.1186/1475-2875-6-123
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Malar J ISSN: 1475-2875 Impact factor: 2.979
Age-specific gametocyte densities with measures of transmission success in rural Cameroon [11] and published data sets [9,10].
| Gametocyte density | ||||||||
| Study Site | age group | N | Geometric mean/ | Normalized 95%Confidence Intervals | Standardized Morisita Index | Variance/mean | Mean proportion mosquitoes infected ± s.e. (n) | Proportional contribution to human infectious reservoir |
| Cameroon | 0–5 | 40 | 3.56 | 1.04 | 0.521 | 12.4 | 0.22 ± 0.05 | 0.32 |
| 6–9 | 36 | 3.54 | ||||||
| 10–15 | 28 | 2.84 | 1.05 | 0.531 | 11.6 | 0.13 ± 0.06 | 0.11 | |
| 15+ | 33 | 1.20 | 0.528 | 13.6 | 0.09 ± 0.04 | 0.10 | ||
| Kenya | 1–4 | 33 | 29.3 | |||||
| 5–9 | 36 | 1.33 | 0.14 (20) | 0.34 | ||||
| 10–14 | 17 | 29 | 1.50 | 0.07 (18) | 0.09 | |||
| Gametocytes/red blood cells | ||||||||
| Sri Lanka | 0–5 | 47 | 1.85 | 0.14 | 0.11 | |||
| 6–15 | 122 | 1.3 ± 2 | 0.27 | |||||
| 16–25 | 75 | 1.9 ± 2 | 1.42 | 0.28 | ||||
| 26–50 | 82 | 1.4 ± 2 | 1.11 | 0.23 | 0.28 | |||
| 0–5 | 26 | 0.07 ± 0.3 | 1.17 | 0.08 | 0.01 | |||
| 6–20 | 130 | 0.09 ± 0.4 | ||||||
| 21–50 | 187 | 0.13 ± 0.5 | 1.27 | 0.39 | 0.30 | |||
| 50+ | 27 | 2.20 | 0.04 | 0.01 | ||||
Differences in the upper and lower 95% confidence intervals are normalized within each study by dividing by the lowest value. The proportional contribution to the infectious reservoir is the proportion of an age group that are infectious to mosquitoes multiplied by the proportion of mosquitoes that become infected. In bold, values for the least dispersed gametocyte densities and the highest mosquito infection rates; in italics the highest gametocyte densities. N is the number of individuals with gametocyte parasites and n is the number of individuals infecting mosquitoes.
Figure 1Age group variation in gametocyte density with corresponding infectiousness to mosquitoes. Data shown in Table 1. The higher minus the lower 95% confidence intervals are taken as a measure of gametocyte density variation and are normalized within each study area by dividing by the lowest value, thus giving the lower value of 1. Circles – P. vivax Sri Lanka [9]; Triangles – P. falciparum Sri Lanka [9]; Squares – P. falciparum Kenya [10]; Crosses – P. falciparum Cameroon [11].
Age-specific asexual Plasmodium spp. prevalence rates and densities.
| Study Site | age group | Trophozoite prevalence (%) | N | Mean trophozoite density (± CI95%) |
| Cameroon | 0–5 | 66.4 | 42 | 3965 |
| Rural | 6–9 | 71 | 119 | 1726 |
| 10–15 | 69.5 | 104 | 1387 | |
| 15+ | 39.5 | 148 | 829 | |
| Cameroon | 5–10 | NA | 14 | 7600 |
| Urban | 11–14 | 25 | 8471 | |
| 15–20 | 20 | 9721 | ||
| 21–25 | 19 | 5842 | ||
| 25+ | 17 | 5934 | ||
| Kenya | 1–4 | 89 | 63 | 1603 |
| 5–9 | 94 | 83 | 654 | |
| 10–14 | 90 | 88 | 188 | |
| Trophozoite Incidence (%) | ||||
| Sri Lanka | ||||
| 0–5 | 10 | 753 | NA | |
| 6–15 | 13.8 | 829 | ||
| 16–25 | 9.4 | 712 | ||
| 26–50 | 6.5 | 1080 | ||
| 50+ | 3.9 | 251 | ||
| 0–5 | 7.4 | 753 | ||
| 6–15 | 20.1 | 829 | ||
| 16–25 | 17.4 | 712 | ||
| 26–50 | 12.8 | 1080 | ||
| 50+ | 7.6 | 251 | ||
N is the number of individuals contributing to the calculation of mean trophozoite densities or, for the case of Sri Lanka, the incidence rates. NA is Not Available.
Age-specific gametocyte densities with measures of transmission success in urban Cameroon [15].
| Gametocyte density | |||||||
| age group | N | Geometric mean/ | Normalized 95%Confidence Intervals | Standardized Morisita Index | Variance/mean | Mean proportion of mosquitoes infected ± s.e. (n) | Proportional contribution to human infectious reservoir |
| 5–10 | 26 | 78.2 (± 51.2) | 0.2 ± 0.05 (17) | 0.23 | |||
| 11–14 | 24 | 2.34 | 0.536 | 369.6 | 0.16 ± 0.04 (15) | 0.17 | |
| 15–20 | 26 | 107.2 (± 93.4) | 1.82 | 0.528 | 290.0 | 0.22 | |
| 21–25 | 33 | 76.5 (± 52.4) | 1.02 | 0.519 | 168.1 | 0.21 ± 0.05 (24) | |
| 25+ | 29 | 48.9 (± 59.4) | 1.16 | 0.539 | 233.6 | 0.12 ± 0.03 (16) | 0.11 |
Differences in the upper and lower 95% confidence intervals are normalized by dividing by the lowest value. The proportional contribution to the infectious reservoir is the proportion of an age group that are infectious to mosquitoes multiplied by the proportion of mosquitoes that become infected. In bold, values for the least dispersed gametocyte densities and the highest mosquito infection rates; in italics the highest gametocyte densities. N is the number of individuals with gametocyte parasites and n is the number of individuals infecting mosquitoes. No age was recorded for 4 of the 90 urban individuals infecting mosquitoes.