Therapy conversion to insulin detemir among patients with type 2 diabetes treated with oral agents: a modeling study of cost-effectiveness in the United States.

The aim of this study was to gain a preliminary indication of the long-term clinical and economic implications of converting treatment for patients with type 2 diabetes to insulin detemir+/-oral hypoglycemic agents (OHAs) in a routine clinical practice setting in the United States. With the use of outcome data and patient characteristics reported from an ongoing prospective observational trial, a validated computer simulation model of diabetes was used to project the clinical and cost outcomes associated with therapy conversion to insulin detemir over a 35-y period from (1) OHA only, (2) neutral protamine Hagedorn insulin (NPH)+/-OHA, and (3) insulin glargine+/-OHA. Cost-effectiveness was assessed from a third-party healthcare payer perspective for the year 2005. Costs and clinical outcomes were discounted at a rate of 3%. Treatment with insulin detemir+/-OHA was associated with increases in quality-adjusted life expectancy of 0.309, 0.350, and 0.333 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) versus treatment with OHA alone, NPH+/-OHA, and insulin glargine+/-OHA, respectively. Increases in pharmacy costs were partially offset by reduced complications, rticularly renal complications and neuropathy. Projected incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were well within the range considered to represent good value in the United States, at $7412, $6269, and $3951 per QALY gained for treatment with Idet+/-OHA versus OHA alone, NPH+/-OHA, and Iglarg+/-OHA, respectively. On the basis of preliminary evidence of short-term improvements in glycemic control and reduced hypoglycemia, therapy conversion to insulin detemir+/-OHA from OHA alone, NPH+/-OHA, or insulin glargine+/-OHA was projected to increase quality-adjusted life expectancy and to represent a cost-effective treatment option in the United States.