A case-control study of nutrient status and invasive cervical cancer. II. Serologic indicators.

A study of 387 cases and 670 controls from four Latin American countries evaluated the hypothesis that lower serum levels of eight micronutrients were associated with a higher risk of invasive cervical cancer. The serologic analyses were restricted to a sample of subjects with stage I and II disease to minimize effects of the disease on the serologic markers. Ninety-four percent of eligible subjects donated blood samples, which were analyzed for carotenoids, retinol, and tocopherols by high-pressure liquid chromatography. Cases did not differ significantly from controls in mean serum levels of retinol, cryptoxanthin, lycopene, alpha-carotene, lutein, or alpha-tocopherol. The mean level of beta-carotene was lower and the mean level of gamma-tocopherol was higher among cases as compared with controls. After adjustment for age, study site, sexual and reproductive behavior, socioeconomic status, screening practices, detection of human papillomavirus types 16/18, cholesterol, and triglycerides, a trend of decreasing risk was associated with higher levels of beta-carotene (p for trend = 0.05), with the adjusted odds ratio decreasing to 0.72 for the highest versus the lowest quartile. beta-Carotene results were similar by stage of disease, which argues against an effect of disease progression on nutrient values. Unexpectedly, increasing risks were observed as the level of gamma-tocopherol increased (odds ratio = 2.09; p for trend = 0.03); however, levels were higher among stage II cases as compared with stage I cases, suggesting a metabolic alteration resulting from the disease process. The concordance in the strength and direction of the blood and dietary results, presented in the accompanying report (Herrero R, Potischman N, Brinton LA, et al., American Journal of Epidemiology 1991;134:1335-46), supports a role for beta-carotene or foods rich in beta-carotene in the etiology of cervical cancer. This study also indicates that simultaneous analysis using serologic and dietary nutrient indicators allows better discrimination of the association.