Characteristics associated with HIV-1 infection in pregnant women in Brazzaville, Congo.

Maternal human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection in sub-Saharan Africa is a major public health concern because of the high prevalence among women of childbearing age and the poor prognosis for perinatally infected children. Characteristics associated with HIV seroprevalence were studied in a population of 1,833 pregnant women seen in two large mother-child clinics in Brazzaville, Congo. The prevalence of HIV infection was 3.9% (95% confidence interval, 3.0-4.9%) and differed significantly according to the district of residence, marital status, duration of the relationship with the current partner, number of sexual partners in the year prior to pregnancy, number of living and dead children, and history of blood transfusion and/or hospitalization. Logistic regression analysis identified six significant factors independently associated with seropositivity; age, history of blood transfusion and/or hospitalization, district of residence, duration of the relationship, number of living children, and number of decreased children. However, the predictive value of the model was poor: while 80% of the truly positive women were correctly predicted positive by the model, 50% of the truly negative women were misclassified. Among pregnant women attending these clinics it is therefore difficult to identify a subgroup at risk toward which specific actions could be targeted.