Plasma cytokine and soluble receptor signature predicts outcome of patients with classical Hodgkin's lymphoma: a study from the Groupe d'Etude des Lymphomes de l'Adulte.

PURPOSE: Approximately 15% of patients with localized and 30% with disseminated classical Hodgkin's lymphoma fail to respond or relapse after first-line treatment. Usual prognosis scoring systems are actually unable to identify this small subset of patients with good confidence, pointing out the need for additional prognostic biomarkers. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We prospectively analyzed the prognosis value of plasma levels of tumor necrosis factor (TNF), its soluble receptors TNF-R1 and TNF-R2, IL-10, IL1-RA, IL-6, and soluble CD30 (sCD30) when taken before any treatment in 519 consecutive patients with a first diagnosis of classical Hodgkin's lymphoma.
RESULTS: Levels of TNF higher than 46 pg/mL, TNF-R1 higher than 3 ng/mL, TNF-R2 higher than 5 ng/mL, IL-10 higher than 30 pg/mL, IL1-RA higher than 668 pg/mL, IL-6 higher than 30 pg/mL, and sCD30 higher than 80 U/mL were associated with poor event-free and overall survival. In multivariate analysis, high levels of IL1-RA, IL-6, and sCD30 were independent poor prognosis factors, and the cytokine signature based on their combination allowed the stratification of patients in four prognosis classes, reaching a 5-year event-free survival probability of 92%, 85%, 76%, and 15%, respectively. This index was more potent than other scoring systems to predict patient event-free survival, and remained independent from the international prognostic score (P < .001), adding significant prognostic information to its predictive power.
CONCLUSION: Plasma cytokine signature is sufficient to predict disease-related outcome in classical Hodgkin's lymphoma, and allows the identification of patients with very high risk of treatment failure.