Literature DB >> 17267098

Development and split-sample validation of a nomogram predicting the probability of seminal vesicle invasion at radical prostatectomy.

Andrea Gallina1, Felix K-H Chun, Alberto Briganti, Shahrokh F Shariat, Francesco Montorsi, Andrea Salonia, Andreas Erbersdobler, Patrizio Rigatti, Luc Valiquette, Hartwig Huland, Markus Graefen, Pierre I Karakiewicz.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: Seminal vesicle preservation may have a beneficial impact on erectile and urinary function after radical prostatectomy (RP). We hypothesized that contemporary patients, at very low risk of seminal vesicle invasion (SVI), can be highly accurately identified with an equally contemporary SVI nomogram.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: A nomogram predicting SVI was developed in a cohort study of 666 men diagnosed with 10 or more biopsy cores and treated with RP. Biopsy Gleason sum, prostate-specific antigen, clinical stage, and percentage of positive cores represented predictors in multivariable logistic regression models and formed the basis for the nomogram. The regression coefficient-based nomogram was then externally validated in a split-sample cohort of 230 patients. This cohort also served for a head-to-head comparison of external validity of the novel nomogram with two existing tools, namely Partin's SVI predictions and Koh's SVI nomogram.
RESULTS: Split-sample validation of the novel SVI nomogram demonstrated 79.2% accuracy versus 75.6% for Partin versus 77.7% for Koh. Our nomogram cutoff of 3% or less had 96.2% negative predictive value for identifying men at very low risk of SVI. This cutoff could have safely allowed omitting the removal of seminal vesicles in 45.2% of RP candidates, if incorrect classification of 1.7% of patients was judged acceptable.
CONCLUSIONS: The potential benefits of SV preservation can be safely accomplished in virtually 50% of contemporary men subjected to RP, if our tool's predictions are applied.

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Year:  2007        PMID: 17267098     DOI: 10.1016/j.eururo.2007.01.060

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Eur Urol        ISSN: 0302-2838            Impact factor:   20.096


  15 in total

Review 1.  Predictive and prognostic models in radical prostatectomy candidates: a critical analysis of the literature.

Authors:  Giovanni Lughezzani; Alberto Briganti; Pierre I Karakiewicz; Michael W Kattan; Francesco Montorsi; Shahrokh F Shariat; Andrew J Vickers
Journal:  Eur Urol       Date:  2010-08-06       Impact factor: 20.096

Review 2.  Role of nomograms for prostate cancer in 2007.

Authors:  Felix K-H Chun; Pierre I Karakiewicz; Hartwig Huland; Markus Graefen
Journal:  World J Urol       Date:  2007-02-27       Impact factor: 4.226

3.  Use of nomograms for predictions of outcome in patients with advanced bladder cancer.

Authors:  Shahrokh F Shariat; Pierre I Karakiewicz; Guilherme Godoy; Seth P Lerner
Journal:  Ther Adv Urol       Date:  2009-04

4.  [Type and extent of preoperative imaging before radical prostatectomy].

Authors:  H Isbarn; S Kellermann; G Salomon; T Steuber; H Huland; M Graefen
Journal:  Urologe A       Date:  2010-03       Impact factor: 0.639

5.  A nomogram for individualized estimation of survival among patients with brain metastasis.

Authors:  Jill S Barnholtz-Sloan; Changhong Yu; Andrew E Sloan; Jaime Vengoechea; Meihua Wang; James J Dignam; Michael A Vogelbaum; Paul W Sperduto; Minesh P Mehta; Mitchell Machtay; Michael W Kattan
Journal:  Neuro Oncol       Date:  2012-04-27       Impact factor: 12.300

Review 6.  Radical Prostatectomy for Locally Advanced Prostate Cancers-Review of Literature.

Authors:  N Srivatsa; H Nagaraja; S Shweta; S K Raghunath
Journal:  Indian J Surg Oncol       Date:  2017-01-05

7.  Novel predictive tools for Irish radical prostatectomy pathological outcomes: development and validation.

Authors:  D M Fanning; F Yue; J M Fitzpatrick; R W G Watson
Journal:  Ir J Med Sci       Date:  2009-07-14       Impact factor: 1.568

Review 8.  Critical review of prostate cancer predictive tools.

Authors:  Shahrokh F Shariat; Michael W Kattan; Andrew J Vickers; Pierre I Karakiewicz; Peter T Scardino
Journal:  Future Oncol       Date:  2009-12       Impact factor: 3.404

9.  Comparison of three different tools for prediction of seminal vesicle invasion at radical prostatectomy.

Authors:  Giovanni Lughezzani; Kevin C Zorn; Lars Budäus; Maxine Sun; David I Lee; Arieh L Shalhav; Gregory P Zagaya; Sergey A Shikanov; Ofer N Gofrit; Alan E Thong; David M Albala; Leon Sun; Angel Cronin; Andrew J Vickers; Pierre I Karakiewicz
Journal:  Eur Urol       Date:  2012-05-02       Impact factor: 20.096

10.  Using the weighted area under the net benefit curve for decision curve analysis.

Authors:  Rajesh Talluri; Sanjay Shete
Journal:  BMC Med Inform Decis Mak       Date:  2016-07-18       Impact factor: 2.796

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