| Literature DB >> 16934162 |
David M Kristensen1, Thomas R Jørgensen, Rasmus K Larsen, Mads C Forchhammer, Kirsten S Christoffersen.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Major changes in climate have been observed in the Arctic and climate models predict further amplification of the enhanced greenhouse effect at high-latitudes leading to increased warming. We propose that warming in the Arctic may affect the annual growth conditions of the cold adapted Arctic charr and that such effects can already be detected retrospectrally using otolith data.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2006 PMID: 16934162 PMCID: PMC1560112 DOI: 10.1186/1472-6785-6-10
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Ecol ISSN: 1472-6785 Impact factor: 2.964
Statistical values from multiple linear regression modelling between growth rate residuals, autoregressing and climate parameters from Kangarssuk and Røde Elv in 2004 and 1990.
| Ta/GRt-1 | 0.53/0.99 | 9.2/0.01 | 12.98/0.46 | 0.15 |
| Ts/GRt-1 | ||||
| Tw/GRt-1 | - | |||
| Pa/GRt-1 | 0.24/0.77 | 1.58/0.13 | 1.09/0.39 | 0.41 |
| Ts/Ta/GRt-1 | ||||
| Tw/Ta/GRt-1 | ||||
| Pa/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.27/0.43/0.69 | 0.084/10.58/0.181 | 0.06/10.71/0.4 | 0.61 |
| Ts/Pa/GRt-1 | ||||
| Tw/Pa/GRt-1 | ||||
| Ts/Tw/GRt-1 | 0.96/0.07/0.42 | 0.142/-25.72/-0.07 | 2.09/2.83/0.05 | >0.99 |
| Ts/Ta/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.09/0.24/0.21/0.31 | 17.76/-8.18/0.04/0.14 | 2.37/3.21/0.01/0.08 | 0.99 |
| Ta/GRt-1 | ||||
| Ts/GRt-1 | 0.18/0.72 | -5.75/-0.21 | 2.8/0.5 | 0.73 |
| Tw/GRt-1 | 0.99/0.59 | 0.1/-0.6 | 7.4/0.8 | 0.37 |
| Pa/GRt-1 | 0.30/0.66 | 0.03/-0.38 | 0.02/0.61 | 0.57 |
| Ts/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.84/0.36/0.4 | 1.27/-15.65/1.9 | 4.95/9.97/1.39 | 0.92 |
| Pa/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.59/0.23/0.31 | 0.01/-11.5/1.34 | 0.01/4.31/0.72 | 0.95 |
| Ts/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.12/0.15/0.57 | -4.99/0.02/-0.14 | 0.96/0.01/0.17 | >0.99 |
| Ta/GRt-1 | 0.7/0.48 | -0.58/-0.36 | 1.39/0.46 | 0.2 |
| Ts/GRt-1 | 0.83/0.43 | -0.89/0.4 | 3.97/0.45 | 0.17 |
| Tw/GRt-1 | 0.55/0.42 | -0.33/-0.39 | 0.51/0.43 | 0.24 |
| Pa/GRt-1 | 0.12/0.18 | -0.1/-0.54 | 0.05/0.33 | 0.57 |
| Ts/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.92/0.77/0.58 | 0.77/-0.78/0.34 | 6.8/2.42/0.55 | 0.2 |
| Tw/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.54/0.63/0.41 | -1.22/2.51/-0.55 | 1.77/4.73/0.56 | 0.31 |
| Pa/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.07/0.21/0.09 | -0.17/2.07/-0.8 | 0.06/1.31/-0.8 | 0.77 |
| Ts/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.53/0.15/0.22 | 2.48/-0.12/-0.56 | 3.52/0.06/0.36 | 0.63 |
| Tw/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.07/0.17/0.9 | -0.21/1.02/-0.73 | 0.07/0.56/0.29 | 0.8 |
| Ts/Tw/GRt-1 | 0.91/0.63/0.5 | 0.68/-0.38/-0.38 | 5.25/0.7/0.5 | 0.24 |
| Ts/Ta/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.88/0.39/0.16/0.19 | -0.78/2.3/-0.18/-0.82 | 4.53/2.11/0.08/0.42 | 0.77 |
| Tw/Ta/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.64/0.9/0.16/0.19 | 0.83/0.46/-0.21/-0.75 | 1.5/3.27/0.09/0.39 | 0.8 |
| Ts/Tw/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.65/0.51/0.56/0.43 | -5.91/-2.47/7.24/-0.9 | 11.1/3.1/10.4/0.89 | 0.39 |
| Ts/Tw/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.75/0.31/0.14/0.17 | 1.19/0.94/-0.21/-0.72 | 3.25/0.7/0.09/0.34 | 0.81 |
| Ts/Tw/Ta/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.74/0.66/0.79/0.36/0.58 | 4.51/2.19/-3.56/-0.25/-0.54 | 10.6/3.74/10.4/0.15/0.70 | 0.83 |
| Ta/GRt-1 | 0.3/0.62 | 0.55/-0.25 | 0.46/0.46 | 0.26 |
| Ts/GRt-1 | 0.47/0.99 | 1.12/0.002 | 1.41/0.49 | 0.14 |
| Tw/GRt-1 | 0.56/0.66 | 0.14/-0.27 | 0.22/0.56 | 0.1 |
| Pa/GRt-1 | 0.6/0.91 | -0.02/0.07 | 0.03/0.56 | 0.08 |
| Ts/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.82/0.51/0.64 | -0.7/0.76/-0.37 | 2.86/1.01/0.71 | 0.28 |
| Tw/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.25/0.17/0.68 | -0.78/2.29/0.24 | 0.54/1.28/0.53 | 0.57 |
| Pa/Ta/GRt-1 | ||||
| Ts/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.1/0.11/0.22 | 3.25/-0.06/0.72 | 1.37/0.03/0.47 | 0.68 |
| Tw/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.09/0.09/0.72 | 0.55/-0.07/-0.15 | 0.22/0.03/0.38 | 0.7 |
| Ts/Tw/GRt-1 | 0.72/0.97/0.98 | 1.05/0.01/-0.02 | 2.64/0.40/0.88 | 0.14 |
| Ts/Ta/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.54/0.23/0.09/0.54 | 1.2/0.9/-0.06/0.32 | 1.61/0.53/0.02/0.43 | 0.87 |
| Tw/Ta/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.84/0.31/0.21/0.77 | -0.12/1.42/-0.05/0.14 | 0.54/1.06/0.03/0.40 | 0.84 |
| Ts/Tw/Ta/GRt-1 | 0.72/0.34/0.72/0.92 | -1.07/-0.81/2.68/0.08 | 2.63/0.64/1.78/16.0 | 0.60 |
| Ts/Tw/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.27/0.26/0.09/0.54 | 2.05/0.36/-0.08/0.34 | 1.36/0.23/0.02/0.45 | 0.86 |
| Ts/Tw/Ta/Pa/GRt-1 | 0.7/0.92/0.79/0.38/0.7 | 1.37/0.1/0.68/-0.07/0.31 | 2.68/0.8/1.97/0.05/0.61 | 0.87 |
Statistical significant results are shown in bold (Ta = Mean annual temperature; Ts = Mean summer temperature; Tw = Mean winter temperature; Pa = Mean annual precipitation; GR: autoregression).
Figure 1Growth rates obtained from otoliths of Arctic charr caught in Røde Elv 2004 and 1990 plotted against fluctuations in mean annual temperature. (a) Data from 2004 showing GR(GR= Growth rate residuals) in Arctic charr from Røde Elv plotted against fluctuations in Ta (Ta = Mean annual temperature). (b) Data from 1990 showing GRin Arctic charr from Røde Elv plotted against fluctuations in Ta data from Aasiaat.
Figure 2Growth rates obtained from otoliths of Arctic charr caught in Kangarssuk 2004 and 1990 plotted against fluctuations in mean annual temperature and precipitation. (a) Data from 2004 showing GR(GR= Growth rate residuals) in Arctic charr from Kangarssuk plotted against fluctuations in Ts (Ts = Mean summer temperature) (b) and Tw multiplied by 5 (Tw = Mean winter temperature). (c) Data obtained from otoliths collected in 1990 showing GRin Arctic charr from Kangarssuk plotted against fluctuations in Pa divided by 20 from Aasiaat (Pa = Mean summer temperature).
Figure 3Comparison of growth rates of Arctic charr from Kangarssuk and Røde Elv sampled in 1990 and 2004. (a) Changes in values of fork length estimated means showing growth during life history of fish living at Røde Elv in 1982–1989 and 1995–2003 (Fem = Values of fork length estimated means; error bars: ± 95% C.L; ANOVA: p = 0.008; d.f. = 7) and (b) at Kangarssuk in respectively 1982–1989 and 1995–2003 (Fem = Values of fork length estimated means; Error bars: ± 95% C.L; ANOVA: p = 0.0004; d.f. = 7).