| Literature DB >> 16934140 |
René G English1, Max O Bachmann, Eric D Bateman, Merrick F Zwarenstein, Lara R Fairall, Angeni Bheekie, Bosielo P Majara, Carl Lombard, Robert Scherpbier, Salah Eddine Ottomani.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the integrated Practical Approach to Lung Health in South Africa (PALSA) guideline in identifying patients requiring bacteriological screening for tuberculosis (TB), and to determine which clinical features best predict suspected and bacteriologically-confirmed tuberculosis among patients with respiratory symptoms.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2006 PMID: 16934140 PMCID: PMC1569870 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2466-6-22
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Pulm Med ISSN: 1471-2466 Impact factor: 3.317
Figure 1Flow chart of patients with diagnoses of suspected tuberculosis as made by nurse, primary care physician and respiratory physician, and proven tuberculosis as made by the primary care physician.
Patients' characteristics and respiratory physicians' diagnoses
| Age (range), years | 48 (15–89) |
| Female, No. (%) | 876 (63) |
| Previous tuberculosis | 202 (15) |
| On tuberculosis treatment** | 2 (0.1) |
| Asthma | 592 (43) |
| Chronic obstructive respiratory disease (COPD) | 281 (20) |
| Cardiovascular disease | 523 (38) |
| Diabetes | 107 (8) |
| Allergic rhinitis | 225(16) |
| Never smoked | 330 (24) |
| Ex-smoker | 407 (29) |
| Current smokers | 653 (47) |
| Suspected tuberculosis | 260 (19%) |
| Asthma | 508 (36%) |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 381 (27%) |
| Acute exacerbation of asthma/COPD | 293 (21%) |
| Lower respiratory tract infection | 283 (20%) |
| Allergic rhinitis | 245 (17%) |
| Chronic bronchitis | 66 (5%) |
| Upper respiratory tract infection | 40 (3%) |
* Missing data for two patients ** Excluded from subsequent analyses
† Up to four diagnoses per patient
Diagnostic accuracy of nurse practitioner diagnosis of suspected tuberculosis, compared to primary care physician diagnoses of suspected tuberculosis, and tuberculosis
| Tuberculosis suspected by the primary care physician | Tuberculosis diagnosed by the primary care physician | |
| True positives | 276 | 36 |
| False positives | 240 | 462 |
| False negatives | 89 | 4 |
| True negatives | 787 | 867 |
| Sensitivity % (95%CI) | 76 (71–79) | 90 (76–97) |
| Specificity % (95%CI) | 77 (74–79) | 65 (63–68) |
| Positive predictive value % (95%CI) | 53 (49–58) | 7 (5–10) |
| Negative predictive value % (95%CI) | 90 (88–92) | 99.5 (98.8–99.8) |
| Likelihood ratio for positive test | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Likelihood ratio for negative test | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| Area under the ROC curve (95%CI) | 0.76 (0.74–0.79) | 0.78 (0.73–0.82) |
Increasing probability of bacteriological confirmation of tuberculosis as primary care physicians' strength of suspicion increased.
| Strength of suspicion | Positive predictive value n/N (%) |
| 1 (weakest suspicion) | 1/29 (3) |
| 2 | 3/76 (4) |
| 3 | 6/85 (7) |
| 4 | 7/65 (11) |
| 5 (strongest suspicion) | 23/87 (26) |
| All tuberculosis suspects | 40/342 (12) |
Non-parametric test for trend: P < 0.01
Prevalence of symptoms among patients diagnosed with TB
| Symptom | Proven TB (n = 40) |
| Cough | 40 (100) |
| Difficult breathing | 28 (70) |
| New sputum production | 25 (63) |
| Current smoker | 21 (53) |
| Loss of weight | 20 (50) |
| Night sweats | 20 (50) |
| Male | 20 (50) |
| Pleuritic chest pain | 11 (30) |
| Previous TB | 12 (30) |
| No tight chest | 10 (25) |
| No wheeze | 8 (20) |
| Ex-smoker | 7 (18) |
| Increased sputum production | 6 (15) |
| Haemoptysis | 5 (13) |
| Sputum colour change | 5 (13) |
| Fever | 2 (5) |
Independent and combined likelihood ratios for predictors of suspected or diagnosed tuberculosis: logistic regression models
| Reference standard | Predictors | Positive likelihood ratio | (95% CI) | Negative likelihood ratio | (95% CI) |
| Tuberculosis suspected by respiratory physician* | |||||
| Previous tuberculosis | 2.6 | (1.9–3.5) | 0.75 | (0.67–0.84) | |
| Haemoptysis | 4.8 | (2.2–10.3) | 0.91 | (0.86–0.96) | |
| Night sweating | 2.8 | (1.8–4.2) | 0.77 | (0.68–0.87) | |
| Weight loss | 3.5 | (2.3–5.6) | 0.75 | (0.66–0.84) | |
| Pleuritic pain | 2.5 | (1.5–4.1) | 0.90 | (0.84–0.95) | |
| No difficulty breathing | 1.6 | (1.2–2.1) | 0.88 | (0.80–0.96) | |
| No wheeze | 1.2 | (1.1–1.4) | 0.70 | (0.53–0.92) | |
| All 7 predictors | 594 | (232–1821) | 0.22 | (0.17–0.29) | |
| Tuberculosis diagnosed by primary care physician** | |||||
| Weight loss | 2.9 | (1.3–5.8) | 0.81 | (0.67–0.96) | |
| Night sweats | 2.0 | (1.0–4.6) | 0.76 | (0.54–0.97) | |
| Pleuritic pain | 2.9 | (1.0–4.8) | 0.82 | (0.63–1.00) | |
| All 3 predictors | 16.7 | (5.9–29.4) | 0.50 | (0.36–0.65) |
* area under ROC curve for model = 0.85. ** area under ROC curve for model = 0.74