Literature DB >> 16779145

Issue a boil-water advisory or wait for definitive information? A decision analysis.

Michael M Wagner1, Garrick L Wallstrom, Agnieszka Onisko.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Study the decision to issue a boil-water advisory in response to a spike in sales of diarrhea remedies or wait 72 hours for the results of definitive testing of water and people.
METHODS: Decision analysis.
RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, the optimal decision is test-and-wait. If the cost of issuing a boil-water advisory is less than 13.92 cents per person per day, the optimal decision is to issue the boil-water advisory immediately.
CONCLUSIONS: Decisions based on surveillance data that are suggestive but not conclusive about the existence of a disease outbreak can be modeled.

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Year:  2005        PMID: 16779145      PMCID: PMC1560439     

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  AMIA Annu Symp Proc        ISSN: 1559-4076


  8 in total

1.  The emerging science of very early detection of disease outbreaks.

Authors:  M M Wagner; F C Tsui; J U Espino; V M Dato; D F Sittig; R A Caruana; L F McGinnis; D W Deerfield; M J Druzdzel; D B Fridsma
Journal:  J Public Health Manag Pract       Date:  2001-11

2.  Waterborne cryptosporidiosis outbreak, North Battleford, Saskatchewan, Spring 2001.

Authors:  R Stirling; J Aramini; A Ellis; G Lim; R Meyers; M Fleury; D Werker
Journal:  Can Commun Dis Rep       Date:  2001-11-15

3.  Shining light on "Dark Winter".

Authors:  Tara O'Toole; Michael Mair; Thomas V Inglesby
Journal:  Clin Infect Dis       Date:  2002-02-19       Impact factor: 9.079

4.  Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.

Authors:  A Tversky; D Kahneman
Journal:  Science       Date:  1974-09-27       Impact factor: 47.728

5.  Using laboratory-based surveillance data for prevention: an algorithm for detecting Salmonella outbreaks.

Authors:  L C Hutwagner; E K Maloney; N H Bean; L Slutsker; S M Martin
Journal:  Emerg Infect Dis       Date:  1997 Jul-Sep       Impact factor: 6.883

6.  Cost of illness in the 1993 waterborne Cryptosporidium outbreak, Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Authors:  Phaedra S Corso; Michael H Kramer; Kathleen A Blair; David G Addiss; Jeffrey P Davis; Anne C Haddix
Journal:  Emerg Infect Dis       Date:  2003-04       Impact factor: 6.883

7.  A massive outbreak in Milwaukee of cryptosporidium infection transmitted through the public water supply.

Authors:  W R Mac Kenzie; N J Hoxie; M E Proctor; M S Gradus; K A Blair; D E Peterson; J J Kazmierczak; D G Addiss; K R Fox; J B Rose
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  1994-07-21       Impact factor: 91.245

Review 8.  The economic impact of a bioterrorist attack: are prevention and postattack intervention programs justifiable?

Authors:  A F Kaufmann; M I Meltzer; G P Schmid
Journal:  Emerg Infect Dis       Date:  1997 Apr-Jun       Impact factor: 6.883

  8 in total

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