Serum albumin as a prognostic indicator for HIV disease progression.

Low albumin levels have been associated with HIV progression. The objective of this analysis was to confirm this association and to further examine the effect of albumin before and after HIV seroconversion on disease progression. The association was first examined among individuals already infected with HIV at entry into a community-based cohort (n = 453) and further assessed among HIV seroconverters with albumin concentrations measured after (n = 219) and before seroconversion (n = 138). The prognostic effect of albumin on AIDS, AIDS mortality, and all-cause mortality was examined using Cox regression. Among 453 HIV-infected individuals, albumin <35 g/liter was associated with faster progression to AIDS [adjusted relative hazard (ARH), 1.8; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.2-2.8], AIDS mortality (ARH, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.3-3.8), and all-cause mortality (ARH, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.6-3.5). Analyses restricted to HIV seroconverters were similar. Preseroconversion levels of albumin did not predict outcomes, but HIV seroconversion appeared to lower albumin levels. These data show that albumin <35 g/liter after HIV seroconversion is associated with faster HIV disease progression and suggest that low albumin levels are probably a consequence of HIV infection rather than merely reflective of some individuals inherently having low albumin levels.