OBJECTIVE: This study aimed at calculating and comparing the long-term outcomes of patients after aortic valve replacement with the Carpentier-Edwards bovine pericardial and porcine supraannular bioprostheses using microsimulation. METHODS: We conducted a meta-analysis of eight studies on the Carpentier-Edwards pericardial valves (2,685 patients, 12,250 patient-years) and five studies on the supraannular valves (3,796 patients, 20,127 patient-years) to estimate the occurrence rates of valve-related events. Eighteen-year follow-up data sets were used to construct age-dependent Weibull curves that described their structural valvular deterioration. The estimates were entered into a microsimulation model, which was used to calculate the outcomes of patients after aortic valve replacement. RESULTS: The annual hazard rates for thrombo-embolism after aortic valve replacement were 1.35% and 1.76% for the pericardial and supraannular valves, respectively. For a 65-year-old male, median time to structural valvular deterioration was 20.1 and 22.2 years while the lifetime risk of reoperation due to structural valvular deterioration was 18.3% and 14.0%, respectively. The life expectancy of the patient was 10.8 and 10.9 years and event-free life expectancy 9.0 and 8.8 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The microsimulation methodology provides insight into the prognosis of a patient after aortic valve replacement with any given valve type. Both the Carpentier-Edwards pericardial and supraannular valve types perform satisfactorily, especially in elderly patients, and show no appreciable difference in long-term outcomes when implanted in the aortic position.
OBJECTIVE: This study aimed at calculating and comparing the long-term outcomes of patients after aortic valve replacement with the Carpentier-Edwards bovine pericardial and porcine supraannular bioprostheses using microsimulation. METHODS: We conducted a meta-analysis of eight studies on the Carpentier-Edwards pericardial valves (2,685 patients, 12,250 patient-years) and five studies on the supraannular valves (3,796 patients, 20,127 patient-years) to estimate the occurrence rates of valve-related events. Eighteen-year follow-up data sets were used to construct age-dependent Weibull curves that described their structural valvular deterioration. The estimates were entered into a microsimulation model, which was used to calculate the outcomes of patients after aortic valve replacement. RESULTS: The annual hazard rates for thrombo-embolism after aortic valve replacement were 1.35% and 1.76% for the pericardial and supraannular valves, respectively. For a 65-year-old male, median time to structural valvular deterioration was 20.1 and 22.2 years while the lifetime risk of reoperation due to structural valvular deterioration was 18.3% and 14.0%, respectively. The life expectancy of the patient was 10.8 and 10.9 years and event-free life expectancy 9.0 and 8.8 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The microsimulation methodology provides insight into the prognosis of a patient after aortic valve replacement with any given valve type. Both the Carpentier-Edwards pericardial and supraannular valve types perform satisfactorily, especially in elderly patients, and show no appreciable difference in long-term outcomes when implanted in the aortic position.
Authors: Leigh G Griffiths; Leila Choe; Kelvin H Lee; Kenneth F Reardon; E Christopher Orton Journal: Electrophoresis Date: 2008-11 Impact factor: 3.535
Authors: Christopher Rao; Jonathan Hart; Andre Chow; Fotios Siannis; Polyxeni Tsalafouta; Bari Murtuza; Ara Darzi; Frank C Wells; Thanos Athanasiou Journal: J Cardiothorac Surg Date: 2008-04-23 Impact factor: 1.637
Authors: Simone A Huygens; Mostafa M Mokhles; Milad Hanif; Jos A Bekkers; Ad J J C Bogers; Maureen P M H Rutten-van Mölken; Johanna J M Takkenberg Journal: Eur J Cardiothorac Surg Date: 2016-03-29 Impact factor: 4.191