Carotid stenosis is a powerful predictor of a positive exercise electrocardiogram in a large hyperlipidemic population.

Hypercholesterolemia is a major risk factor in coronary heart disease (CHD) and ischemic stroke. However, there is no general agreement on the usefulness of systematic screening of patients with hyperlipidemia by stress exercise electrocardiogram (ECG). The feasibility of this approach would depend on selecting patients with a high risk of CHD, since the sensitivity and specificity of the test depends on the prevalence of the disease. In view of the association of CHD and ischemic stroke, we undertook a study to determine whether the presence of atherosclerosis in the carotid arteries was predictive of a positive exercise ECG in a group of 778 asymptomatic patients referred to their hyperlipidemia. We a much higher percentage of positive exercise ECG in patients with carotid atherosclerosis in our ultrasonographic examinations. In a multiple regression analysis which included 13 parameters (age, sex, body mass index, arterial blood pressure, lipid parameters, serum level of glucose, smoking status and the severity of carotid lesions), the strongest predictors of a positive exercise ECG test were age (P = 0.014) and the degree of carotid atherosclerosis (P = 0.010). We therefore conclude that hyperlipidemic patients with atherosclerotic lesions on carotid arteries would benefit most from screening by the exercise ECG.