Literature DB >> 16286298

Modelling climate change: the role of unresolved processes.

Paul D Williams1.   

Abstract

Our understanding of the climate system has been revolutionized recently, by the development of sophisticated computer models. The predictions of such models are used to formulate international protocols, intended to mitigate the severity of global warming and its impacts. Yet, these models are not perfect representations of reality, because they remove from explicit consideration many physical processes which are known to be key aspects of the climate system, but which are too small or fast to be modelled. The purpose of this paper is to give a personal perspective of the current state of knowledge regarding the problem of unresolved scales in climate models. A recent novel solution to the problem is discussed, in which it is proposed, somewhat counter-intuitively, that the performance of models may be improved by adding random noise to represent the unresolved processes.

Mesh:

Year:  2005        PMID: 16286298     DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2005.1676

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci        ISSN: 1364-503X            Impact factor:   4.226


  2 in total

Review 1.  The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction.

Authors:  Peter Bauer; Alan Thorpe; Gilbert Brunet
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2015-09-03       Impact factor: 49.962

2.  Mathematics applied to the climate system: outstanding challenges and recent progress.

Authors:  Paul D Williams; Michael J P Cullen; Michael K Davey; John M Huthnance
Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci       Date:  2013-04-15       Impact factor: 4.226

  2 in total

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