Time and PSA threshold model prognosticates long-term overall and disease-specific survival in prostate cancer patients as early as 3 months after external beam radiation therapy.

The specific aim of this analysis was to evaluate the capability of a time and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) threshold model to prognosticate overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) based on early PSA kinetics after radiotherapy for prostate cancer by retrospective review of outcomes in 918 patients. Crossing below analyzed PSA thresholds at specific defined time points reduced disease-specific death hazard ratios to relative to the cohort above threshold. The time and PSA threshold model demonstrates the ability to prognosticate OS and DSS as early as 3 months post-radiotherapy for prostate cancer.