Literature DB >> 15920936

Predicting survival in terminal cancer patients: clinical observation or quality-of-life evaluation?

Pietro Toscani1, Cinzia Brunelli, Guido Miccinesi, Massimo Costantini, Michele Gallucci, Marcello Tamburini, Eugenio Paci, Paolo Di Giulio, Carlo Peruselli.   

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: This study compares the relative prognostic power of clinical variables and quality-of-life (QoL) measures in a population of terminal cancer patients.
METHODS: A prospective cohort study in 58 Italian Palliative Care Units. Of the 601 randomly selected terminal cancer patients, 574 were followed until death in order to compare clinical and QoL variables (using the Therapy Impact Questionnaire (TIQ) as predictors of survival, and assess whether their combined implementation makes prediction more accurate.
RESULTS: The clinical variables most strongly associated with survival were dyspnoea, cachexia, Katz's ADL, oliguria, dysphagia, dehydration, liver and acute kidney failure and delirium (hazard ratios (HR) ranging from 2.10 to 3.01). Only the first four kept their strength once introduced in the Cox model (HRs ranging from 1.95 to 2.22). In the TIQ primary scale the strongest predictors were physical wellbeing, fatigue, functional status and cognitive status (HRs ranging from 1.42 to 1.71), but only fatigue showed an independent prognostic relevance (90% of selection). In the TIQ global scales, the Physical Symptom Index showed a stronger association with survival (HR 1.71) than the Therapy Impact Index (HR 1.47). The former marginally improved the prognostic power of the model when added to clinical variables. Internal validation confirmed that the results were not spurious.
CONCLUSIONS: In terminal cancer patients, clinical variables are better predictors of survival than QoL. The large residual variability not accounted for by the model (approximately 70%) suggests that survival is also influenced by factors unlikely to be identified in a survey.

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Year:  2005        PMID: 15920936     DOI: 10.1191/0269216305pm1000oa

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Palliat Med        ISSN: 0269-2163            Impact factor:   4.762


  7 in total

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2.  The TEACHH model to predict life expectancy in patients presenting for palliative spine radiotherapy: external validation and comparison with alternate models.

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3.  International palliative care experts' view on phenomena indicating the last hours and days of life.

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Journal:  Support Care Cancer       Date:  2012-12-15       Impact factor: 3.603

4.  Imagine, scientists can predict my and your survival.

Authors:  Franz Porzsolt
Journal:  Support Care Cancer       Date:  2006-08-29       Impact factor: 3.359

5.  A computer-assisted model for predicting probability of dying within 7 days of hospice admission in patients with terminal cancer.

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Journal:  Jpn J Clin Oncol       Date:  2010-01-22       Impact factor: 3.019

6.  Survival prediction score: a simple but age-dependent method predicting prognosis in patients undergoing palliative radiotherapy.

Authors:  Kent Angelo; Astrid Dalhaug; Adam Pawinski; Ellinor Haukland; Carsten Nieder
Journal:  ISRN Oncol       Date:  2014-03-19

7.  Prevalence and Intensity of Dyspnea in Advanced Cancer and its Impact on Quality of Life.

Authors:  Anuja Damani; Arunangshu Ghoshal; Naveen Salins; Jayita Deodhar; MaryAnn Muckaden
Journal:  Indian J Palliat Care       Date:  2018 Jan-Mar
  7 in total

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