Trends of heavy metal components in the Arctic aerosols and their relationship to the emissions in the Northern Hemisphere.

Twenty-one years of observations (1980-2000) of weekly mean concentrations of major anthropogenic and natural metals in the aerosol of the lower Arctic troposphere at Alert have been analyzed by time series analysis for seasonal and long-term trends and by positive matrix factorization for major aerosol components with which metals are associated. Metals at Alert exhibit distinct seasonal variations depending on the source and origin of the metals. Anthropogenic metals such as Pb, Zn and Cu and the sea-salt components Na and Mg exhibit maxima in winter and minima in summer. Similar variations were observed for non-soil fractions of V and Mn. Weak seasonal variations were found for soil-related metals such as Al, Ba, Ca and Fe. If any trend is evident in anthropogenic metals, it is a slight decrease from 1980 to mid-1990s but generally the variation is not monotonic. It is found through the winter observations of Pb, Zn, Ni and Cu concentrations that the decline trends have been leveled off and started to increase again around 1995. No long-term trends were detected in Na, Mg and Ca concentrations but a slight decrease is observed for soil components Al, Fe and Ti after 1995. Analysis showed that these trends are mostly associated with the anthropogenic emission variations surrounding the Arctic regions.