Changes in inbreeding of U.S. Herefords during the twentieth century.

Genetic diversity in the U.S. Hereford population was characterized by examining the level and rate of inbreeding and effective population size. Pedigree records for 20,624,418 animals were obtained from the American Hereford Association, of which 96.1% had both parents identified. Inbreeding coefficients were computed and mean inbreeding (Fx) calculated by year from 1900 to 2001. Inbreeding increased rapidly between 1900 and 1945. From 1946, inbreeding increased linearly to a maximum of 11.5% in 1966. Throughout the 1970s and 1980s, mean inbreeding decreased to mid-century levels. Several alternatives were investigated to explain this decline. The average relationship between prominent sires fell from 20 to 12% during the time that the level of inbreeding decreased, which reflects an increase in the popularity of certain less fashionable sire lines that would have temporarily decreased inbreeding. Pedigrees were constructed for animals born after 1990. This subsample of animals with no missing ancestors in at least 12 generations did not exhibit a decrease in inbreeding. Missing ancestral information therefore contributed to the apparent decline. One cause of missing ancestry results from outcrossing to imported animals. The effect of missing ancestry was investigated by simulating the missing ancestors. In 2001, Fx was 9.8%, and approximately 95% of individuals were inbred. The maximal inbreeding coefficient was 76%. The annual change in mean inbreeding (DeltaFx) was estimated for Herefords born during five time periods from 1946 to 2001, where inbreeding was changing at different linear rates. The DeltaFx for the most recent generation (1990 to 2001) was 0.12%/yr. Assuming a generation interval of 4.88 yr, the estimated effective population size was 85. This study provides a benchmark of current genetic diversity in the Hereford population. Results indicate that inbreeding is accumulating linearly and below critical levels. Increases in the adoption of reproductive technologies could decrease genetic diversity, and in the future, we may need to consider strategies to minimize inbreeding.