Modeling tree water deficit from microclimate: an approach to quantifying drought stress.

Tree water deficit estimated by measuring water-related changes in stem radius (DeltaW) was compared with tree water deficit estimated from the output of a simple, physiologically reasonable model (DeltaWE), with soil water potential (Psisoil) and atmospheric vapor pressure deficit (VPD) as inputs. Values of DeltaW were determined by monitoring stem radius changes with dendrometers and detrending the results for growth. We followed changes in DeltaW and DeltaWE in Pinus sylvestris L. and Quercus pubescens Willd. over 2 years at a dry site (2001-2002; Salgesch, Wallis) and in Picea abies (L.) Karst. for 1 year at a wet site (1998; Davos, Graubuenden) in the Swiss Alps. The seasonal courses of DeltaW in deciduous species and in conifers at the same site were similar and could be largely explained by variation in DeltaWE. This finding strongly suggests that DeltaW, despite the known species-specific differences in stomatal response to microclimate, is mainly explained by a combination of atmospheric and soil conditions. Consequently, we concluded that trees are unable to maintain any particular DeltaW. Either Psisoil or VPD alone provided poorer estimates of DeltaW than a model incorporating both factors. As a first approximation of DeltaWE, Psisoil can be weighted so that the negative mean Psisoil reaches 65 to 75% of the positive mean daytime VPD over a season (Q. pubescens: approximately 65%, P. abies: approximately 70%, P. sylvestris: approximately 75%). The differences in DeltaW among species can be partially explained by a different weighting of Psisoil against VPD. The DeltaW of P. sylvestris was more dependent on Psisoil than that of Q. pubescens, but less than that of P. abies, and was less dependent on VPD than that of P. abies and Q. pubescens. The model worked well for P. abies at the wet site and for Q. pubescens and P. sylvestris at the dry site, and may be useful for estimating water deficit in other tree species.