Literature DB >> 15557003

Dynamical resonance can account for seasonality of influenza epidemics.

Jonathan Dushoff1, Joshua B Plotkin, Simon A Levin, David J D Earn.   

Abstract

Influenza incidence exhibits strong seasonal fluctuations in temperate regions throughout the world, concentrating the mortality and morbidity burden of the disease into a few months each year. The cause of influenza's seasonality has remained elusive. Here we show that the large oscillations in incidence may be caused by undetectably small seasonal changes in the influenza transmission rate that are amplified by dynamical resonance.

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Year:  2004        PMID: 15557003      PMCID: PMC534740          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0407293101

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


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  108 in total

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Review 5.  Influenza seasonality: underlying causes and modeling theories.

Authors:  Eric Lofgren; N H Fefferman; Y N Naumov; J Gorski; E N Naumova
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Authors:  David Alonso; Alan J McKane; Mercedes Pascual
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8.  Stochastic fluctuations in epidemics on networks.

Authors:  M Simões; M M Telo da Gama; A Nunes
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9.  Seasonal influenza in the United States, France, and Australia: transmission and prospects for control.

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Journal:  Epidemiol Infect       Date:  2007-07-18       Impact factor: 2.451

10.  Influenza seasonality: lifting the fog.

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Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2009-03-10       Impact factor: 11.205

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