BACKGROUND: For some years, there has been a debate as to the place of the crossover trial in assisted reproduction technology (ART). We aimed to investigate whether crossover and parallel designs result in different estimates of treatment effects. METHODS: We carried out computer simulation of cohorts of patients undergoing either intra-uterine insemination (IUI) or IVF under both parallel and crossover designs, under scenarios involving censoring and carryover effects. Results of the simulation were analysed using a maximum likelihood approach. RESULTS: No relevant difference was found between the designs. The crossover design resulted in slightly more pregnancies than the parallel design. Carryover effects may slightly distort the estimates of treatment effects. Crossover and parallel designs will produce essentially the same statistical estimates of treatment effect and percentage of pregnancies. The crossover design is an acceptable design in infertility research provided the data are analysed correctly.
BACKGROUND: For some years, there has been a debate as to the place of the crossover trial in assisted reproduction technology (ART). We aimed to investigate whether crossover and parallel designs result in different estimates of treatment effects. METHODS: We carried out computer simulation of cohorts of patients undergoing either intra-uterine insemination (IUI) or IVF under both parallel and crossover designs, under scenarios involving censoring and carryover effects. Results of the simulation were analysed using a maximum likelihood approach. RESULTS: No relevant difference was found between the designs. The crossover design resulted in slightly more pregnancies than the parallel design. Carryover effects may slightly distort the estimates of treatment effects. Crossover and parallel designs will produce essentially the same statistical estimates of treatment effect and percentage of pregnancies. The crossover design is an acceptable design in infertility research provided the data are analysed correctly.
Authors: Julian Marschalek; Christian Egarter; Elisabeth Vytiska-Binsdorfer; Andreas Obruca; Jackie Campbell; Philip Harris; Maarten van Santen; Bernd Lesoine; Johannes Ott; Maximilian Franz Journal: Sci Rep Date: 2020-05-07 Impact factor: 4.379