The influence of contests on optimal clutch size: a game-theoretic model.

We develop a game-theoretic model to predict the effect of size-dependent contest outcomes on optimal-clutch-size decisions. We consider the case where larger individuals develop from smaller clutches and, as adults, are advantaged in competition for limiting resources. The relationship between fitness and size thus depends on the sizes of other members of the population. We show that clutch-size optima are decreased by body-size-dependent contest outcomes, with larger effects when body size is most affected by clutch size, when prior resource ownership has less influence on contest outcome and when contests occur more frequently. We also show the existence of polymorphisms in clutch-size optima and that clutch-size driven changes in population density can, via an effect on the probability of host finding, further influence optimal clutch size. Our model is formulated to match the life history of a parasitoid wasp, in which clutch size affects offspring size and females engage in direct contests for host ownership, which larger females tend to win; we confirm that female-female competition is likely to influence clutch size in this species. However, the model is also relevant to clutch size in other taxa and supports recent suggestions concerning reproductive decisions in great tits.